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Squawka / News / Liverpool vs PSV: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Liverpool vs PSV: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Liverpool welcome PSV to Anfield in a Champions League clash on Wednesday evening, with kick-off set for 8:00pm. The Reds were beaten 3-0 at home to Nottingham Forest on Saturday and will be looking to bounce back immediately with a victory over the Dutch outfit. Find our full match preview and best bets below. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
PSV to Win15/2 @ Bet365
(11.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Liverpool are going through an incredibly difficult patch at the moment, with their latest defeat coming at home to Nottingham Forest last weekend. The Reds have now lost eight of their last 11 matches across all formats and at 15/2, the visitors are worth taking a chance on here. 
Dominik Szoboszlai to score or assist 2/1 @ Bet365⭐⭐⭐Even though Liverpool have faced a rocky start in domestic competitions this season, Dominik Szoboszlai has been a standout in the UEFA Champions League. The Hungarian midfielder leads the tournament in assists with three and has consistently influenced games, creating at least three scoring opportunities in three of his four matches so far. His vision and creativity have made him a key figure for the Reds on the European stage.
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Liverpool vs PSV

Liverpool’s 3-0 loss to Nottingham Forest on Saturday continued their troubling run in the Premier League. After already losing 3-0 to Manchester City and 1-0 to Forest last season, Arne Slot’s side now sit 12th after 12 games, struggling in nearly every area of the pitch.

Defensive issues are glaring, with Alisson Becker unable to stop consecutive three-goal defeats, and the backline missing leadership and cohesion following key departures and contract uncertainties. Midfield and attack are also underperforming, with Szoboszlai occasionally forced out of position, Salah far from his best, and new signings yet to make an impact.

Despite domestic struggles, Liverpool have fared better in the Champions League, winning three of four matches and currently holding the final automatic spot for the round of 16. Their European form may offer a rare bright spot in an otherwise disappointing season.

PSV are unbeaten in 11 games across all competitions but have had a mixed start in Europe, with one win, two draws, and one loss in four matches. They have scored nine and conceded seven, showing their high-risk, attacking style under Bosz. After an opening 3-1 loss to Union Saint-Gilloise, they bounced back with 1-1 draws at Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiacos, and a 6-2 win over Napoli, placing them 18th in the 36-team league phase and on track for the knockout playoffs.

Their position is far from secure, with Marseille, Juventus, Athletic Club, and Union SG close behind on three points. PSV fans may approach the trip to Anfield cautiously, aware of their club winning only once in the last 14 European games against English teams, but confident that Bosz’s side can exploit a struggling Liverpool.

Liverpool team news

Liverpool will likely be without long-term absentee Giovanni Leoni, Jeremie Frimpong, and Conor Bradley, leaving Dominik Szoboszlai to continue as a makeshift right-back, while Andrew Robertson covers the opposite flank. Up front, Mohamed Salah, aiming to become the first African player to reach fifty Champions League goals, should start alongside Cody Gakpo, the former PSV forward, and Hugo Ekitike, who could replace Alexander Isak in the lineup.

PSV team news

PSV come into the match with no new injuries from their win over NAC Breda, leaving only Ruben van Bommel and Alassane Plea unavailable. Guus Til is expected to continue as a makeshift striker, building on a hot streak of six goal involvements in his last five games. He shares ten goal contributions in the Eredivisie with Ismael Saibari, just behind Joey Veerman, and leads the team in European assists with two, though Ricardo Pepi has more overall goal involvements.

Season Form & Standings

Liverpool and PSV have both found the net nine times from their four group matches, but their paths diverge sharply in both performance and points. Liverpool, currently 8th, boasts a 75% win rate with a +5 goal difference and a defensive record of just four conceded, while PSV have struggled for wins, sitting 18th with only a 25% win rate and a +2 differential, despite their goal tally. The 2025/26 season to date has seen Liverpool’s relentless pressure often overwhelm opponents, while PSV’s efficiency has kept them competitive but unable to secure more victories.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Liverpool8430194+59
PSV18412197+25

Liverpool’s set-piece prowess, with defenders chipping in for four goals already, is another storyline to watch, especially against a PSV side yet to keep a clean sheet.

Conclusion

Liverpool are on the rocks at the moment, and it would take a brave man to go near the 1/3 for the hosts to collect three points here. Instead, at a massive 15/2, it’s worth taking a chance on the visitors. If looking for something shorter, backing Szoboszlai to score or assist looks like a nice way into the market.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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