Alaves welcome Valencia to Mendizorrotza on Monday evening with kick-off set for 8:00pm, with both sides seeking to kickstart their seasons after mixed starts. The fixture brings together two teams tied across their last thirteen meetings, but with Valencia’s leaky defence and Alaves’s efficient attack, there are clear storylines for punters to follow. Find our best bets and match preview below.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, defensive records and attacking efficiency, here are our top betting recommendations for Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia. We’re particularly confident in backing the home win due to Valencia’s struggles at the back and Alaves’s proven edge in finishing chances.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves to Win | 27/20 @ Bet365 (42.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Valencia have conceded 14 goals in 8 matches – Alaves more efficient in attack at home. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1/2 @ Bet365 (66.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Alaves matches average just over 2 goals; both teams have struggled for high-scoring matches. |
Our approach: Start with Alaves to win, add under 2.5 goals for accumulator potential.
- Bet £10 get £30
- Excellent Football Betting Options
- Extensive Bet-Builder
- Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker
New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.
- Fantastic Promotions
- Fun Social Media Content
- New Bookmaker
#AD 18+ 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org
- Enhanced Offers
- Extensive Bet-Builder
- Very Competitive Odds
#AD 18+ New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports Bet). Valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date: Deportivo Alaves sit 10th with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3, GD +1), while Valencia are 15th, on 8 points (W2 D2 L4, GD -4). Alaves have been more solid at the back, conceding just 8 to Valencia’s 14, and have a slightly better win percentage (38% vs 25%).
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| Valencia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Carlos Vicente Robles (Alaves): 3 goals, 50% shot accuracy, 8 big chance assists – most efficient and creative attacking threat.
- Hugo Duro (Valencia): 3 goals, but just 25% shot accuracy – volume shooter, less clinical.
- Carles Alena (Alaves): 3 assists, 84.5% pass accuracy – midfield engine, strong distributor.
- Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia): 3 goals, 37.5% shot accuracy – main goal threat if given space.
Head-to-Head
Across their last 13 meetings, nothing separates these teams: five wins each and three draws. Recent fixtures have tended to be tight, with Alaves taking two of the last three.
Last 7 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 14/05/25 | Alaves 1-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| 22/12/24 | Valencia 2-2 Alaves | La Liga |
| 05/05/24 | Valencia 0-1 Alaves | La Liga |
| 02/09/23 | Alaves 1-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| 13/02/22 | Alaves 2-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| 27/08/21 | Valencia 3-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| 24/04/21 | Valencia 1-1 Alaves | La Liga |
Conclusion
Will Deportivo Alaves’ defensive edge and home efficiency be enough to see off Valencia’s unpredictable attack? The hosts look well positioned, with Carlos Vicente Robles in top creative form and Valencia struggling to keep clean sheets. For those looking to get involved, the home win at 27/20 with Bet365 (42.6% implied probability) stands out as a value pick for this La Liga clash.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
