Brighton welcome Newcastle to the Amex Stadium in a 3:00pm kick-off on Saturday. Find our predictions, best bets along with odds and stats below.
After a series of closely fought draws between these teams, each will be eyeing three points to break the deadlock and gain momentum in the early stages of the season. Kick-off is set for Saturday at the Amex, with plenty at stake for two teams locked on points and separated only by goal difference.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season-long trends and recent head-to-head results, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We’re especially confident in Both Teams To Score, with both sides creating plenty of chances and a history of sharing the goals.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score – Yes | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | No team in the Premier League has seen more of their matches feature both teams scoring this season than Brighton. The Seagulls have seen BTTS land in six of their seven matches and although Newcastle have failed to scored in three away matches so far, we believe they can here against a Brighton side that have struggled to keep clean sheets. Both teams average 11+ shots per game and have scored in 13 of last 17 H2Hs. |
| Draw | 13/5 @ Bet365 (27.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Six of last ten meetings have ended level and another looks likely here. Brighton have only lost one of their last 11 Premier League home games (W6 D4), alternating between drawing (4) and winning (3) their last seven since a 0-3 defeat to Aston Villa in April. Newcastle United have won just two of their 16 Premier League games against Brighton (D8 L6), a win rate of 13% – their lowest ratio against any side they have faced 3+ times in the competition. |
Our approach: Start with Both Teams To Score as a core selection, add Draw or Over 2.5 Goals for value or an accumulator angle.
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How both teams go into Brighton vs Newcastle
Brighton enter the weekend looking to steady their form after a mixed start to the 2025/26 campaign. Roberto De Zerbi’s side have taken just two wins from their opening seven games, but goals have never been in short supply with 20 in total so far. Their most recent outing saw them snatch a 1-1 draw away at Wolves, thanks to a late leveller from Jan Paul van Hecke.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are beginning to find their rhythm after a summer of heavy investment and adjustment. Eddie Howe’s men looked sharp in their 2-0 win over Nottingham Forest before the international break. This result extended their strong run of one defeat in five across all competitions, with that lone loss coming narrowly against Arsenal. The Magpies now head south brimming with quiet confidence and a growing sense of momentum.
Brighton team news
Adam Webster, Solly March and Jack Hinshelwood are all confirmed absentees. Joel Veltman and Kaoru Mitoma are both a doubt and will be assessed before kick-off.
Newcastle team news
Lewis Hall, Valentino Livramento and Yoane Wissa are all ruled out. Jacob Ramsey and Lewis Miley could feature, but are unlikely to start.
Season Form & Standings
The 2025/26 Premier League season to date sees both Brighton and Newcastle sitting on 9 points from 7 games, with only goal difference separating them in mid-table. Both teams have won twice, drawn three and lost two, underlining how evenly matched they are at this stage.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
Brighton have found the net more often but have conceded at a higher rate, resulting in a neutral goal difference. Newcastle, meanwhile, have been slightly tighter at the back and boast a slim positive goal difference.
Potential Match-Winners
- Danny Welbeck (Brighton): 2 goals so far, averaging one goal every 3.5 games, and involved in multiple big chances. Not the most clinical (25% shot accuracy), but always a threat in the box.
- Nick Woltemade (Newcastle): Leading Newcastle’s scoring with 3 goals, though his shot accuracy is unusually low—he’s a classic poacher who can punish loose defending.
- Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle): Their main playmaker, with 6 big chance assists and a solid passing percentage. If Newcastle are to break through, expect him to be at the heart of it.
Head-to-Head
This fixture has been notoriously difficult to call, with nine of the last 17 meetings ending in a draw. Brighton hold the historical edge with six wins to Newcastle’s two, and have scored more than 50% more goals across these matchups.
Last 8 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/05/25 | Brighton 1-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 02/03/25 | Newcastle 1-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| 19/10/24 | Newcastle 0-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| 11/05/24 | Newcastle 1-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| 02/09/23 | Brighton 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 18/05/23 | Newcastle 4-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| 13/08/22 | Brighton 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 05/03/22 | Newcastle 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
Six of the previous eight matches have seen both teams score, with four ending all square.
Conclusion
With both sides showing a knack for creating chances but struggling to convert dominance into wins, it’s hard to split Brighton and Newcastle. Will Brighton’s home edge and attacking spark tip the balance, or will Newcastle’s resilience continue to frustrate them? Our top tip is Both Teams To Score at 8/11 with Bet365 (57.9%), a selection that matches both the stats and the head-to-head trends in this fixture.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
