C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week. Cleveland converts 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL. Our Texans vs Browns prediction sets a passing attack against a scoring problem.
The Houston Texans are 3-5 but +17; the Cleveland Browns are 5-4 but -35. Only one of those records fits the points behind it.
Texans vs Browns: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Texans vs Browns: 2026 form so far
A 3-5 club outscoring its record visiting a 5-4 one being outscored by 35. The columns put each team’s output next to what the other has conceded to date.
Texans attack against the Browns defence
| Per game | Texans offence | Browns allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 269.4 | 201.0 |
| Rushing yards | 87.1 | 130.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| Passer rating | 104.1 | 84.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.8% | 39.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 62.1% | 46.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.9 |
Browns attack against the Texans defence
| Per game | Browns offence | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 210.4 | 235.6 |
| Rushing yards | 97.3 | 103.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 93.7 | 95.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.2% | 38.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 39.1% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 4.2 | 3.6 |
Cleveland converts 39.1% of its red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, and runs for 97 yards a game.
Houston Texans 3-5 · average margin +2.1
Cleveland Browns 5-4 · average margin -3.9
Texans vs Browns quarterback matchup
C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating in a 44-22 win. Shedeur Sanders completed 19 of 31 for 297 and two scores at 114.6.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | C.J. Stroud | 21/35, 384 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT, 125.5 rtg | 181/282, 2251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT, 104.8 rtg (8 games) |
| Browns | Shedeur Sanders | 19/31, 297 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 114.6 rtg | 22/34, 299 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 112.3 rtg (3 games) |
Texans vs Browns injury report and team news
Stroud threw five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week.
The Browns convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst mark in the NFL.
Houston is 3-5 at +17; Cleveland is 5-4 at -35.
The third-best passing offence against the worst red zone in football
The Texans throw for 269 yards a game, third in the league, and Stroud rates 104.1 across the season.
Running it is another matter: 87 yards a game at 3.57 a carry rank 29th and 30th, and that is the half Cleveland defends well.
The Browns stall inside the 20. A 39.1% red-zone rate is the league’s lowest, which is how a club with the sixth-best pass defence is at -35.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): Threw for 384 yards and five scores at 125.5 last week.
- Tank Dell (HOU, WR): Primary target in an attack throwing for 269 a game.
- Shedeur Sanders (CLE, QB): Threw for 297 yards and two scores at 114.6 last week.
- Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Carries a run game producing 97 yards a game.
How to watch Texans vs Browns in Canada
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Texans vs Browns |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Browns prediction and score projection
Our Texans vs Browns prediction is Houston by 26-17. Cleveland’s defence keeps it close; the red zone is why that is not enough.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 10 game on the same model. This is an AFC game, so the AFC Championship odds are the ones that shift on it. The NFC Championship odds sit alongside them.
Texans vs Browns FAQ
Houston, despite the records. The Texans are 3-5 at +17 and Cleveland 5-4 at -35. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Huntington Bank Field.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Cleveland, at 39.1% — the lowest conversion rate in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change