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Patriots vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions prediction, picks and odds for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season

Detroit concedes 261 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL, and rates 106.5 through the air itself. New England threw for 299 last week and gave up three interceptions doing it. Our Patriots vs Lions prediction heads to Munich.

The New England Patriots are 5-4 and the Detroit Lions 6-2. This is a neutral-site game at FC Bayern Munich Stadium, with the Lions as nominal hosts.

Week 10 · Editorial pick

Patriots vs Lions: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Patriots AT Lions

Our props

Player propDrake Maye 250+ passing yardsThe Lions give up 261 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propJared Goff 2+ passing touchdownsGoff rates 106.5 and the Patriots allow a 100.2 opponent rating, 27th in the league.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Patriots vs Lions: 2026 form so far

Two clubs that move the ball and neither of which stops the pass. Each attack in the table is measured against the defence it meets, not against the league.

Patriots attack against the Lions defence

Per gamePatriots offenceLions allow
Passing yards249.6260.9
Rushing yards119.994.1
Yards per carry4.24.1
Passer rating96.297.5
Touchdowns2.93.0
Third-down conversion40.4%44.4%
Red-zone conversion58.3%66.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.23.4

Lions attack against the Patriots defence

Per gameLions offencePatriots allow
Passing yards252.0231.9
Rushing yards127.896.7
Yards per carry4.43.9
Passer rating106.5100.2
Touchdowns3.12.4
Third-down conversion37.2%38.0%
Red-zone conversion61.8%58.6%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.42.8

Detroit gives up 261 passing yards a game, the highest figure in the NFL, while New England throws for 250.

New England Patriots 5-4 · average margin +0.4

+10−10+20−20+30−30Week 1: lost to the Seahawks 10-13 (away)@SEA1Week 2: beat the Steelers 20-3 (home)vPIT2Week 3: lost to the Jaguars 6-35 (away)@JAC3Week 4: beat the Bills 29-26 (away)@BUF4Week 5: beat the Raiders 45-17 (home)vLV5Week 6: beat the Jets 26-19 (home)vNYJ6Week 7: lost to the Bears 24-30 (away)@CHI7Week 8: beat the Dolphins 24-19 (away)@MIA8Week 9: lost to the Packers 27-45 (home)vGB9

Detroit Lions 6-2 · average margin +4.1

+10−10+20−20Week 1: beat the Saints 31-30 (home)vNO1Week 2: lost to the Bills 31-41 (away)@BUF2Week 3: beat the Jets 31-24 (home)vNYJ3Week 4: lost to the Panthers 26-32 (away)@CAR4Week 5: beat the Cardinals 45-21 (away)@ARI5Week 7: beat the Packers 20-17 (home)vGB7Week 8: beat the Vikings 19-15 (home)vMIN8Week 9: beat the Dolphins 19-9 (away)@MIA9
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.

Patriots vs Lions quarterback matchup

Drake Maye threw for 299 yards and three touchdowns in a 45-27 loss, with three interceptions at a 74.3 rating. Jared Goff completed 17 of 25 for 170 at 70.4.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
PatriotsDrake Maye21/38, 299 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT, 74.3 rtg178/272, 2282 yds, 18 TD, 11 INT, 96.8 rtg (9 games)
Tommy DeVito1/3, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 59.0 rtg4/8, 51 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 70.3 rtg (2 games)
LionsJared Goff17/25, 170 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 70.4 rtg185/273, 2134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT, 106.4 rtg (8 games)
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Patriots vs Lions injury report and team news

The game is at FC Bayern Munich Stadium on a neutral site, with Detroit the nominal home club.

The Lions concede 261 passing yards a game, the most in the NFL.

Detroit rates 106.5 through the air, fourth in the league.

A passing offence in Munich against the league’s softest secondary

Detroit is 6-2 at +33 and the throw game is why: 252 yards an afternoon at 106.5, fourth in the NFL, with 3.1 touchdowns a game.

What the Lions have not done is stop anyone else. The 261 passing yards they concede a game is the worst figure in football.

New England keeps handing it back. Maye threw three picks last week, and Detroit scores too easily for that to hold up twice.

New England PatriotsDetroit Lions

Their own numbers

Touchdowns per gameNew England Patriots: 2.9, 12th of 32Detroit Lions: 3.1, 5th of 3212th2.93.15thPassing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 250, 9th of 32Detroit Lions: 252, 8th of 329th2502528thRushing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 120, 10th of 32Detroit Lions: 128, 8th of 3210th1201288thYards per carryNew England Patriots: 4.21, 14th of 32Detroit Lions: 4.44, 10th of 3214th4.214.4410thThird-down conversionNew England Patriots: 40.4%, 11th of 32Detroit Lions: 37.2%, 21st of 3211th40.4%37.2%21stRed-zone conversionNew England Patriots: 58.3%, 18th of 32Detroit Lions: 61.8%, 14th of 3218th58.3%61.8%14thSacks per gameNew England Patriots: 2.8, 11th of 32Detroit Lions: 3.4, 3rd of 3211th2.83.43rdInterceptions per gameNew England Patriots: 0.6, 23rd of 32Detroit Lions: 0.8, 14th of 3223rd0.60.814th
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.

What opponents have managed against them

Touchdowns per gameNew England Patriots: 2.4, 13th of 32Detroit Lions: 3.0, 25th of 3213th2.43.025thPassing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 232, 25th of 32Detroit Lions: 261, 32nd of 3225th23226132ndRushing yards per gameNew England Patriots: 97, 9th of 32Detroit Lions: 94, 8th of 329th97948thYards per carryNew England Patriots: 3.87, 9th of 32Detroit Lions: 4.09, 17th of 329th3.874.0917thThird-down conversionNew England Patriots: 38.0%, 12th of 32Detroit Lions: 44.4%, 27th of 3212th38.0%44.4%27thRed-zone conversionNew England Patriots: 58.6%, 15th of 32Detroit Lions: 66.7%, 22nd of 3215th58.6%66.7%22ndSacks per gameNew England Patriots: 2.2, 16th of 32Detroit Lions: 2.4, 17th of 3216th2.22.417thInterceptions per gameNew England Patriots: 1.2, 30th of 32Detroit Lions: 0.2, 2nd of 3230th1.20.22nd
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.

Players to watch

  • Jared Goff (DET, QB): Rates 106.5 on the season, fourth in the NFL.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR): First read in an attack scoring 3.1 touchdowns a game.
  • Drake Maye (NE, QB): Threw for 299 yards and three scores last week, with three picks.
  • DeMario Douglas (NE, WR): Led the Patriots receivers in Green Bay.

How to watch Patriots vs Lions in Canada

Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 15 at FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich. This one kicks off in the morning Eastern time, outside the usual Sunday afternoon window, so check your local listings for the Canadian broadcaster. RDS carries the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailPatriots vs Lions
DateSunday, November 15, 2026
Kickoff9:30 AM ET / 8:30 AM CT / 6:30 AM PT
VenueFC Bayern Munich Stadium, Munich
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 10, 2026 NFL season

Patriots vs Lions prediction and score projection

Our Patriots vs Lions prediction is Detroit by 31-24. Neither secondary holds up, so the club rating 106.5 should come out ahead of a turnover-heavy afternoon.

Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.

Every Week 10 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMCommanders @ GiantsGiants 23-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMPatriots @ LionsLions 31-24You are here
Sun 1:00 PMBills @ JetsBills 30-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ SaintsSaints 27-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ BrownsTexans 26-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMJaguars @ TitansJaguars 27-13Read
Sun 1:00 PMChiefs @ FalconsChiefs 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMDolphins @ ColtsColts 20-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMVikings @ PackersPackers 20-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMRams @ CardinalsRams 24-16Read
Sun 4:05 PMSeahawks @ RaidersSeahawks 27-13Read
Sun 4:25 PM49ers @ Cowboys49ers 34-24Read
Sun 8:20 PMSteelers @ BengalsBengals 27-23Read
Mon 8:15 PMChargers @ RavensRavens 23-13Read

Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 10 game on the same model. An inter-conference game, which means the AFC Championship odds and the NFC Championship odds are each in play rather than just one of them.

Patriots vs Lions FAQ

Who is favoured, the Patriots or the Lions?

Detroit. The Lions are 6-2 at +33 against a 5-4 New England club. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.

What time is Patriots vs Lions in Canada?

9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 15 in Munich, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT.

How can I watch Patriots vs Lions in Canada?

It kicks off in the morning Eastern time, outside the usual Sunday afternoon window, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Where is the game being played?

FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich, on a neutral site, with Detroit the nominal home club.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change