New York gives up 79.0% of red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL. Washington converts 31.1% on third down, also the worst. Our Commanders vs Giants prediction opens Week 10 on Thursday night.
The Washington Commanders are 2-5-1 and the New York Giants 5-2-1. The only tie either club has been involved in this season came against the other.
Week 10 · Editorial pick
Commanders vs Giants: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
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Our props
Player propWashington 1+ red-zone touchdownThe Giants give up 79.0% of red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propJayden Daniels 230+ passing yardsDaniels threw for 274 last week. New York allows 178 a game, third-best in the league.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Commanders vs Giants: 2026 form so far
A 5-2-1 club hosting a 2-5-1 one, with less between them than the standings imply. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has actually allowed.
Commanders attack against the Giants defence
Per game
Commanders offence
Giants allow
Passing yards
207.1
177.8
Rushing yards
118.2
123.6
Yards per carry
4.5
4.7
Passer rating
94.8
87.0
Touchdowns
2.2
2.6
Third-down conversion
31.1%
37.3%
Red-zone conversion
52.4%
78.9%
Sacks conceded / recorded
2.5
2.0
Giants attack against the Commanders defence
Per game
Giants offence
Commanders allow
Passing yards
221.0
240.0
Rushing yards
112.1
102.2
Yards per carry
3.9
3.9
Passer rating
88.5
96.5
Touchdowns
2.4
2.9
Third-down conversion
40.4%
40.0%
Red-zone conversion
68.2%
75.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded
3.4
2.1
The Giants have conceded 79.0% of red-zone trips, the highest figure in the league, and it is the one route Washington has.
Washington Commanders2-5-1 · average margin -3.8
New York Giants5-2-1 · average margin +1.2
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.
Commanders vs Giants quarterback matchup
Jayden Daniels threw for 274 yards at a 101.4 rating last week. J.J. McCarthy completed 12 of 19 for 127 at 82.6 in a 19-11 win over Philadelphia.
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.
Commanders vs Giants injury report and team news
The clubs tied 27-27 in Week 5, the only tie either has played in this season.
The Giants concede 79.0% of red-zone trips, the worst mark in the NFL.
Washington converts 31.1% on third down, the lowest rate in the league.
The worst red zone in football against the worst third down
New York is 5-2-1 on the back of its defence. Opponents gain 178 passing yards a game, third-best in the league, and rate 87.0.
Inside the 20 it stops working. Of the red-zone trips against the Giants, 79.0% have ended in a touchdown, and no defence in the NFL has been worse.
Getting there is Washington’s problem. A 31.1% third-down rate is the lowest in football and has defined the Commanders’ year.
Washington CommandersNew York Giants
Their own numbers
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.
What opponents have managed against them
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.
Players to watch
Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Threw for 274 yards at a 101.4 rating in Los Angeles last week.
Rachaad White (WAS, RB): Leads a run game at 4.50 a carry, eighth in the NFL.
Darnell Mooney (NYG, WR): First read in a passing game rating 88.5.
Devin Singletary (NYG, RB): Carries the load for a club that wins low-scoring games.
How Commanders vs Giants last unfolded
Washington Commanders scored on 5 of 13 drives · New York Giants scored on 5 of 13 drives
Every drive of the last meeting, in order. Bar length is net yards and a solid bar is a drive that ended in points.The score through that game, one step per scoring play. Built from the drive feed rather than typed in, which is checkable: the derived final reads Washington Commanders 27, New York Giants 27, and that is the real final score.
How to watch Commanders vs Giants in Canada
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 12 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. TSN carries it nationally, because every primetime window in Canada sits with TSN, and RDS has the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
Commanders vs Giants prediction and score projection
Our Commanders vs Giants prediction is New York by 23-20. The Giants hold the better defence comfortably, and Washington’s third down is the worst in the league.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
New York. The Giants are 5-2-1 at +10 and at home; Washington is 2-5-1 at -30. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.
What time is Commanders vs Giants in Canada?
8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 12, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT, at MetLife Stadium.
How can I watch Commanders vs Giants in Canada?
TSN carries every primetime window nationally, with RDS on the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Did these two really tie?
Yes, 27-27 in Week 5 — the only tie either club has played in.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change
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