Green Bay have thrown for 2,168 yards, more than any team in the NFL, and run for 485 at 2.85 a carry — fewer and slower than anyone. Our Packers vs Patriots prediction puts that imbalance at Gillette.
The New England Patriots are 5-3 at +22 and have 22 sacks. The Green Bay Packers are 5-3 and have taken 71 penalties, second only to Cleveland.
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
Green Bay PackersSquawka36%Market41%▼ Slight lay
New England PatriotsSquawka64%Market59%▲ ValueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Packers vs Patriots: our editor’s props
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Packers vs Patriots: 2026 form so far
Two 5-3 teams, 15 points of differential apart. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Packers attack against the Patriots defense
| Per game | Packers offense | Patriots allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 271.0 | 217.2 |
| Rushing yards | 60.6 | 92.6 |
| Yards per carry | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 92.4 | 93.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.7% | 38.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 51.7% | 54.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Patriots attack against the Packers defense
| Per game | Patriots offense | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.1 | 204.0 |
| Rushing yards | 123.1 | 110.9 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 100.2 | 78.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 40.0% | 42.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 54.5% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.8 |
Green Bay’s 485 rushing yards at 2.85 a carry are the lowest totals in the NFL on both counts.
Packers vs Patriots quarterback matchup
Jordan Love has 16 touchdown passes to six interceptions at 92.4. Drake Maye has 15 to eight at 100.4 and rated 141.5 last week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | Jordan Love | 30/41, 288 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 106.6 rtg | 192/312, 2246 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT, 92.4 rtg (8 games) |
| Patriots | Drake Maye | 16/20, 199 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 141.5 rtg | 157/234, 1983 yds, 15 TD, 8 INT, 100.4 rtg (8 games) |
Packers vs Patriots injury report and team news
Green Bay have thrown for 2,168 yards, more than any team in the NFL.
Green Bay have run for 485 yards at 2.85 a carry, the lowest figures in the league.
Green Bay have taken 71 penalties, second only to Cleveland’s 72.
Green Bay PackersNew England PatriotsThe most one-dimensional team in the league
Two thousand one hundred and sixty-eight passing yards and 485 on the ground. No team in the NFL throws more or runs less, and the ratio is not close.
New England are built to punish that: 22 sacks and a 93.9 opponent rating.
What keeps Green Bay in it is their own pass defense at 78.2, which is among the four best marks in football, and a Patriots attack that converts just 54.5% in the red zone.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 2,246 passing yards and 16 touchdowns in eight games.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): A primary target in an offense with no ground game.
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): 1,983 passing yards and 15 touchdowns at 100.4.
- Hunter Henry (NE, TE): A steady outlet in an attack with 22 touchdowns.
How to watch Packers vs Patriots
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Gillette Stadium, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Packers vs Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Patriots prediction and score projection
New England win 24-20. Both are 5-3, but the Patriots are +22 to Green Bay’s +7 and have the pass rush to make a one-dimensional offense uncomfortable.
Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | You are here |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see our pick record and the NFL odds page. The outright markets are priced in the AFC board. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.
Packers vs Patriots FAQ
New England. Our Signal model has the Patriots favored and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Both are 5-3, but New England are +22 and Green Bay +7.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Gillette Stadium, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT.
Green Bay, with 2,168 — more than any team in the NFL.
Four hundred and eighty-five yards at 2.85 a carry, the lowest figures in the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change