Miami allow a 119.5 opponent passer rating and let opponents convert 50.6% of third downs. Both are among the two worst marks in the NFL. Our Lions vs Dolphins prediction sends Jared Goff at them.
The Detroit Lions rate 110.0 through the air and have 24 sacks. The Miami Dolphins are 1-6 and have recorded nine sacks of their own.
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Detroit LionsSquawka77%Market75%▬ Fair
Miami DolphinsSquawka23%Market25%▬ FairSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Lions vs Dolphins: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Lions vs Dolphins: 2026 form so far
A 5-2 team against a 1-6 team whose defense does not get off the field. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Lions attack against the Dolphins defense
| Per game | Lions offense | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 264.0 | 221.0 |
| Rushing yards | 131.4 | 113.1 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 110.0 | 119.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.0% | 50.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 64.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Dolphins attack against the Lions defense
| Per game | Dolphins offense | Lions allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 166.7 | 276.6 |
| Rushing yards | 123.3 | 96.6 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 79.7 | 101.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 42.7% | 45.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.6% | 74.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 3.4 |
Detroit have 24 sacks, third-most in the league. Miami have nine, which is joint-fewest.
Lions vs Dolphins quarterback matchup
Jared Goff has 15 touchdown passes to one interception at 110.0. Malik Willis has six to five at 79.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | Jared Goff | 18/25, 176 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 88.1 rtg | 168/248, 1964 yds, 15 TD, 1 INT, 110.0 rtg (7 games) |
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 21/32, 211 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 92.1 rtg | 108/183, 1268 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT, 79.7 rtg (7 games) |
Lions vs Dolphins injury report and team news
Miami allow a 119.5 opponent passer rating, the worst figure in the NFL.
Miami let opponents convert 50.6% on third down, second only to Dallas.
Detroit have 24 sacks, third-most in the league; Miami have nine, joint-fewest.
Detroit LionsMiami DolphinsA defense at the bottom of the league in three places
A 119.5 opponent rating, 50.6% allowed on third down and nine sacks. Miami are worst, second-worst and joint-fewest on those three.
Detroit are equipped to use all of it: a 110.0 team rating, 24 touchdowns and Goff on 15 scores to one interception.
The Lions’ own defense is the reason this is not a formality. Twenty-four touchdowns conceded and 74.1% allowed in the red zone are poor numbers attached to a good team.
Players to watch
- Jared Goff (DET, QB): 1,964 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and one interception.
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): Fronts a ground game with 920 yards at 4.55 a carry.
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): Six touchdown passes at a 79.7 rating.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Fronts the one Miami phase that works, at 4.45 a carry.
How to watch Lions vs Dolphins
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Hard Rock Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Lions vs Dolphins |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Lions vs Dolphins prediction and score projection
Detroit win 30-17. Miami cannot pressure a quarterback or get off the field, and Goff has thrown one interception all season.
The live spread and our projected margin both update through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
The rest of the round sits in this week’s Signal picks and our NFL betting coverage. The outright markets are priced in NFC Championship odds. Player markets sit with NFL player props.
Lions vs Dolphins FAQ
Detroit, clearly. Our Signal model has the Lions as strong favorites and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Detroit are 5-2 at +23; Miami are 1-6 at -64.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Hard Rock Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Miami, at 119.5 — the worst figure in the NFL.
One, in seven games, against 15 touchdown passes.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change