Washington convert 31.9% of their third downs and concede on 79.2% of opponent red-zone trips. Both are among the three worst marks in the NFL. Our Rams vs Commanders prediction finds them hosting a 4-4 team that scores.
The Los Angeles Rams have 25 touchdowns and 2,071 passing yards. The Washington Commanders are 2-4-1 and lost Terry McLaurin to injured reserve on 28 October.
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders
Los Angeles RamsSquawka69%Market70%▬ Fair
Washington CommandersSquawka31%Market30%▬ FairSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Rams vs Commanders: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Rams vs Commanders: 2026 form so far
A team that scores against a team that cannot stop anyone in the red zone. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Rams attack against the Commanders defense
| Per game | Rams offense | Commanders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 258.9 | 243.0 |
| Rushing yards | 125.5 | 99.1 |
| Yards per carry | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 93.0 | 100.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 42.7% | 42.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 68.8% | 79.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.5 | 2.3 |
Commanders attack against the Rams defense
| Per game | Commanders offense | Rams allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 200.6 | 191.9 |
| Rushing yards | 126.6 | 109.2 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 93.8 | 79.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Third-down conversion | 31.9% | 32.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 52.6% | 42.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 1.5 |
Los Angeles allow a 79.7 opponent passer rating and 42.9% in the red zone, both among the better marks in the league.
Rams vs Commanders quarterback matchup
Matthew Stafford has 15 touchdown passes to eight interceptions at 93.2. Jayden Daniels has six and no interceptions at 96.2 from five starts.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | Matthew Stafford | 17/25, 157 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 81.6 rtg | 204/303, 2146 yds, 15 TD, 8 INT, 93.2 rtg (8 games) |
| Commanders | Jayden Daniels | 16/29, 217 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 90.7 rtg | 91/145, 976 yds, 6 TD, 0 INT, 96.2 rtg (5 games) |
Rams vs Commanders injury report and team news
Washington placed Terry McLaurin on injured reserve on 28 October.
Washington concede on 79.2% of opponent red-zone trips, the third-worst rate in the NFL.
Washington convert 31.9% of their own third downs, second-lowest in the league.
Los Angeles RamsWashington CommandersA red-zone defense that does not hold
Seventy-nine point two per cent of opponent red-zone trips finished against them. Only Seattle and Carolina are worse, and Washington pair it with the second-worst third-down offense in football.
Los Angeles have the attack to punish that: 25 touchdowns, 2,071 passing yards and 1,004 on the ground.
Jayden Daniels is the reason it stays close. Six touchdown passes and no interceptions in five starts is the most efficient thing Washington have, even without McLaurin.
Players to watch
- Matthew Stafford (LA, QB): 2,146 passing yards and 15 touchdowns in eight games.
- Kyren Williams (LA, RB): Fronts a ground game with 1,004 yards at 4.71 a carry.
- Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Six touchdown passes and no interceptions at 96.2.
- Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS, WR): A senior target with McLaurin on injured reserve.
How to watch Rams vs Commanders
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Northwest Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Rams vs Commanders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Rams vs Commanders prediction and score projection
Los Angeles win 27-17. Daniels keeps Washington in it for a while, but a red-zone defense this soft against an attack with 25 touchdowns only ends one way.
The live line and our projected margin both update through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see this week’s Signal picks and our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. For the player side of this game, see prop markets for this game.
Rams vs Commanders FAQ
Los Angeles. Our Signal model has the Rams as clear favorites and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. The Rams are 4-4 at +26; Washington are 2-4-1 at -23.
No. Washington placed him on injured reserve on 28 October.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Northwest Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Opponents finish 79.2% of their trips, the third-worst rate in the NFL.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change