Dallas have scored 25 touchdowns and conceded 25. They allow 51.4% on third down, the worst rate in the NFL, and have given up 1,222 rushing yards — also the most. Our Cowboys vs Colts prediction expects a shootout.
The Indianapolis Colts rate 68.9 through the air, the joint-lowest figure in the league, and Daniel Jones has five touchdown passes to nine interceptions. The Dallas Cowboys are 3-5.
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts
Dallas CowboysSquawka55%Market70%▼ Overpriced
Indianapolis ColtsSquawka45%Market30%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Cowboys vs Colts: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Cowboys vs Colts: 2026 form so far
A 3-5 team that cannot defend against a 2-6 team that cannot throw. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Cowboys attack against the Colts defense
| Per game | Cowboys offense | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 247.9 | 211.8 |
| Rushing yards | 94.1 | 131.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Passer rating | 93.2 | 102.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 47.5% | 32.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 71.9% | 61.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.4 | 2.0 |
Colts attack against the Cowboys defense
| Per game | Colts offense | Cowboys allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 174.6 | 232.6 |
| Rushing yards | 116.5 | 152.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Passer rating | 68.9 | 102.8 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.5% | 51.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 59.1% | 68.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.9 | 1.9 |
Indianapolis have conceded 23 sacks and 24 touchdowns. Dallas have given up 1,222 rushing yards, more than any team in the league.
Cowboys vs Colts quarterback matchup
Dak Prescott has 14 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 93.2. Daniel Jones has five to nine at 68.7, and Indianapolis rate 68.9 as a team.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | Dak Prescott | 19/29, 195 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 96.2 rtg | 197/302, 2046 yds, 14 TD, 5 INT, 93.2 rtg (8 games) |
| Colts | Daniel Jones | 19/28, 144 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 62.2 rtg | 162/268, 1542 yds, 5 TD, 9 INT, 68.7 rtg (8 games) |
Cowboys vs Colts injury report and team news
Dallas allow opponents to convert 51.4% on third down, the worst rate in the NFL.
Dallas have conceded 1,222 rushing yards, the most in the league, at 5.03 a carry.
Indianapolis rate 68.9 through the air, joint-lowest in the NFL with the Chargers.
Dallas CowboysIndianapolis ColtsThe most rushing yards conceded in football, against a team that can run
One thousand two hundred and twenty-two rushing yards conceded, more than any team in the league, at 5.03 a carry — a figure only Las Vegas beat. They allow 51.4% on third down as well, which no team matches.
Indianapolis should be able to use it: 932 rushing yards at 4.12 a carry is the one phase that works for them.
Through the air they are the problem. Nine interceptions to five touchdowns from Daniel Jones, and a 68.9 team rating that only the Chargers match.
Players to watch
- Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): 2,046 passing yards and 14 touchdowns at 93.2.
- CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): The first read in an offense converting 71.9% in the red zone.
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): 932 rushing yards at 4.12 a carry.
- Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A central target in a passing game rating 68.9.
How to watch Cowboys vs Colts
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Cowboys vs Colts |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Cowboys vs Colts prediction and score projection
Dallas win 26-20. The Cowboys concede too much to be comfortable, but Indianapolis have thrown nine interceptions and cannot keep pace through the air.
Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Our weekly NFL picks and our NFL betting coverage carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in our Super Bowl board. Individual lines are covered in player prop betting.
Cowboys vs Colts FAQ
Dallas, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Cowboys as slight favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page, despite the Colts playing at home.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Dallas, with 1,222 — more than any team in the NFL, at 5.03 a carry.
Five touchdown passes to nine interceptions, at a 68.7 rating.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change