Cincinnati rate 111.6 through the air and convert 52.9% of their third downs. Both are the best figures in the NFL. Our Bengals vs Falcons prediction takes the league to Madrid.
The Atlanta Falcons are 3-5 and Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions last week at a 12.0 rating. The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-2 at +48.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
Cincinnati BengalsSquawka70%Market60%▲ Strong value
Atlanta FalconsSquawka30%Market40%▼ OverpricedSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Bengals vs Falcons: our editor’s props
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Bengals vs Falcons: 2026 form so far
The league’s best passing attack against a team coming off four interceptions. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Bengals attack against the Falcons defense
| Per game | Bengals offense | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 288.4 | 223.4 |
| Rushing yards | 80.3 | 118.2 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| Passer rating | 111.6 | 91.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 52.9% | 41.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 67.9% | 63.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 2.2 |
Falcons attack against the Bengals defense
| Per game | Falcons offense | Bengals allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 188.4 | 237.7 |
| Rushing yards | 134.8 | 122.3 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 76.6 | 90.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 33.3% | 47.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.6% | 41.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 3.3 |
Cincinnati have 23 sacks and hold opponents to 41.7% in the red zone. Atlanta rate 76.6 through the air.
Bengals vs Falcons quarterback matchup
Joe Burrow has 20 touchdown passes to six interceptions at 111.6 and threw for 462 yards last week. Michael Penix Jr. has nine to five at 90.9.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | Joe Burrow | 38/48, 462 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 115.5 rtg | 195/267, 2115 yds, 20 TD, 6 INT, 111.6 rtg (7 games) |
| Falcons | Michael Penix Jr. | 8/24, 125 yds, 0 TD, 4 INT, 12.0 rtg | 104/168, 1282 yds, 9 TD, 5 INT, 90.9 rtg (6 games) |
Bengals vs Falcons injury report and team news
The game is at the Bernabéu in Madrid, with Atlanta the designated home team.
Cincinnati convert 52.9% of their third downs, the best rate in the NFL.
Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions last week at a 12.0 passer rating.
Cincinnati BengalsAtlanta FalconsMadrid gets the best passing offense in football
A 111.6 team passer rating and 52.9% on third down. Cincinnati lead the NFL in both, and Burrow has thrown for 2,019 yards with 20 touchdowns.
Atlanta’s counter is on the ground, where 1,078 rushing yards at 4.61 a carry is a genuine strength against a Bengals front conceding 4.84.
What they cannot afford is another afternoon like last week. Four interceptions at a 12.0 passer rating is about as poorly as a game can go.
Players to watch
- Joe Burrow (CIN, QB): 2,115 passing yards and 20 touchdowns at 111.6.
- Ja’Marr Chase (CIN, WR): The first read in the league’s best third-down offense.
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): Fronts a ground game with 1,078 yards at 4.61 a carry.
- Drake London (ATL, WR): A primary target in an attack rating 76.6 through the air.
How to watch Bengals vs Falcons
Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 8 at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT. NFL Network has the broadcast.
| Detail | Bengals vs Falcons |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9:30 AM ET / 8:30 AM CT / 6:30 AM PT |
| Venue | Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain |
| TV | NFL Network |
| Live stream | NFL+ / NFL Network |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Bengals vs Falcons prediction and score projection
Cincinnati win 27-17. Atlanta can run it, but the Bengals lead the league in passer rating and third-down rate and Penix is coming off four interceptions.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
You can find our weekly NFL picks alongside the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in who wins the NFC. For the player side of this game, see player prop betting.
Bengals vs Falcons FAQ
Cincinnati. Our Signal model has the Bengals as clear favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. Cincinnati are 5-2 at +48; Atlanta are 3-5.
The Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid. Atlanta are the designated home team, so this is not at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
9:30 AM ET on Sunday, November 8, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT.
Cincinnati, converting 52.9% — the highest rate in the NFL.
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