Jacksonville concede 3.23 yards a carry, the best run defense in the NFL, and have given up 11 touchdowns in six games. Our Colts vs Jaguars prediction sends a 69.4 passing game at them.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2 at +50 and back at EverBank after two home games in London. The Indianapolis Colts are 2-5 and Daniel Jones has four touchdown passes to seven interceptions.
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
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Colts vs Jaguars: our editor’s props
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Colts vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far
A +50 team against a -26 team, and the gap is mostly one side of the ball. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Colts attack against the Jaguars defense
| Per game | Colts offense | Jaguars allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 180.4 | 273.8 |
| Rushing yards | 117.6 | 72.2 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Passer rating | 69.4 | 87.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.8% | 36.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.7 | 1.8 |
Jaguars attack against the Colts defense
| Per game | Jaguars offense | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 234.8 | 215.9 |
| Rushing yards | 112.8 | 124.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 106.2 | 97.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Third-down conversion | 47.9% | 30.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 60.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Jacksonville have conceded 11 touchdowns in six games, behind only Minnesota and Kansas City, and allow 40.0% in the red zone.
Colts vs Jaguars quarterback matchup
Trevor Lawrence has 14 touchdown passes to four interceptions at 106.2. Daniel Jones has four to seven at 69.4, the second-lowest team rating in the NFL.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | Daniel Jones | 13/22, 108 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 52.8 rtg | 143/240, 1398 yds, 4 TD, 7 INT, 69.4 rtg (7 games) |
| Jaguars | Trevor Lawrence | 24/41, 306 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 104.3 rtg | 120/184, 1480 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT, 106.2 rtg (6 games) |
Colts vs Jaguars injury report and team news
Jacksonville concede 3.23 yards a carry, the lowest figure in the NFL.
Jacksonville allow 40.0% of red-zone trips to be converted, the fourth-best rate in the league.
Indianapolis rate 69.4 through the air, second-lowest in the NFL, and have conceded 19 sacks.
Indianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsThe best run defense nobody is talking about
Three point two three yards a carry conceded — the best mark in the NFL — with 40.0% allowed in the red zone and 11 touchdowns given up in six games.
They score too: a 106.2 team passer rating and Trevor Lawrence on 14 touchdown passes to four interceptions.
Indianapolis are not equipped for it. Daniel Jones has thrown seven interceptions to four touchdowns, the Colts rate 69.4, and they have conceded 19 sacks.
Players to watch
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): 1,480 passing yards and 14 touchdowns at 106.2.
- Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC, WR): The first read in an offense converting 47.9% on third down.
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): 823 rushing yards at 4.12 a carry.
- Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A central target in a passing game rating 69.4.
How to watch Colts vs Jaguars
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at EverBank Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Colts vs Jaguars |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Colts vs Jaguars prediction and score projection
Jacksonville win 27-16. The Jaguars have the best run defense in the league and the Colts have the second-worst passing game, which is a short route to a comfortable afternoon.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
NFL predictions for the round and our NFL hub carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in who wins the AFC. For the player side of this game, see player prop betting.
Colts vs Jaguars FAQ
Jacksonville, clearly. Our Signal model has the Jaguars as strong favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. Jacksonville are 4-2 at +50; Indianapolis are 2-5 at -26.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at EverBank Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Jacksonville, conceding 3.23 yards a carry — the lowest figure in the NFL.
Yes. This is their first game at EverBank after back-to-back home games in London.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change