Premier League 2024-25 Golden Boot: Favourites, standings and most clinical strikers
The 2024-25 Premier League Golden Boot race could be interesting late into the season.
Erling Haaland is a back-to-back Golden Boot winner and went into 2024-25 looking to become the third player to win the Premier League Golden Boot in three successive seasons.
Alan Shearer was the first to do so, finishing as top scorer in 1994-95, 1995-96 and 1996-97. Thierry Henry joined him, bagging the Golden Boot in 2003-04, 2004-05 and 2005-06. Haaland scored a record-breaking 36 in his debut Premier League campaign, before netting 27 last season. He won’t win a third in a row, with injury, Mo Salah and Alexander Isak getting in his way. Salah leads the scoring with just a few weeks left, while Isak sits second ahead of Haaland — with all three players hitting the 20-goal mark.
Premier League most goals 2024-25
Here’s how the 2024-25 Premier League Golden Boot race is shaping up.
| Player | Goals | Minutes played | Expected Goals |
| Mo Salah | 28 | 3,197 | 22.67 |
| Alexander Isak | 23 | 2,679 | 19.45 |
| Erling Haaland | 21 | 2,573 | 20.93 |
| Chris Wood | 20 | 2,796 | 13.15 |
| Yoane Wissa | 18 | 2,747 | 17.01 |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 18 | 3,235 | 10.97 |
| Ollie Watkins | 16 | 2,434 | 15.15 |
| Matheus Cunha | 15 | 2,487 | 8.04 |
| Cole Palmer | 15 | 2,925 | 16.98 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 14 | 2,583 | 11.34 |
Players with the same amount of goals are ranked by fewer minutes played. Stats correct as of 19:45 on 11/05/25.
Who is the most clinical finisher in the Premier League right now?
Expected Goals is commonplace in football as a stat now. Most people understand what is meant by it, and what it is intended to measure. But there are better metrics to use when discerning the better finishers in a league. Expected Goals on Target measures the post-shot quality of efforts on target. It takes into account where the shot is placed in the goal. With xGOT, you can generally work out who scores because of their finishing, and who might be scoring against poorer goalkeepers.
But which players improve their chances of scoring by their shot placement? That’s where shot placement ratio comes in — it’s the ratio of xG to xGOT. For example, a shot placement ratio of 2.0 would mean xGOT are double the value of xG. The higher the shot placement ratio, the better a player essentially is at finishing. So, who’s top in the Premier League? Of course, there may be one-hit wonders, so we’ve looked at those to have taken at least 50 shots in the Premier League this season. Because if you include all players, Harry Clarke has a shot placement ratio of 5.77, from his one shot with an xG of 0.08 and xGOT of 0.47.
| Player | Shot Placement Ratio | Expected Goals | Expected Goals On Target |
| Alex Iwobi | 1.59 | 3.84 | 6.13 |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 1.46 | 10.56 | 15.40 |
| Chris Wood | 1.42 | 11.11 | 15.80 |
| Justin Kluivert | 1.21 | 9.62 | 11.68 |
| Son Heung-min | 1.20 | 7.12 | 8.56 |
| Bukayo Saka | 1.20 | 5.86 | 7.04 |
| Liam Delap | 1.19 | 9.02 | 10.77 |
| Danny Welbeck | 1.17 | 8.04 | 9.38 |
| Mohamed Salah | 1.14 | 23.84 | 27.19 |
| Phil Foden | 1.14 | 5.12 | 5.83 |
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