Outright Odds

Premier League top scorer odds: Outright odds for Premier League Golden Boot 2022/23

By Dean Smith

Premier League top scorer odds: Outright odds for Premier League Golden Boot 2022/23

Published: 9:50, 1 October 2022 | Updated: 10:00, 1 November 2022

The race for the 2021/22 Premier League Golden Boot went down to the wire with Mohamed Salah and Son Heung-min sharing the award. But who will take it in 2022/23?

Find the latest Premier League top scorer odds* for the 2022/2023 season here:

 Player  SkyBet  Paddy Power  Betway
Erling Haaland 1/12 1/7 1/8
Harry Kane 12/1 10/1 11/1
Gabriel Jesus 40/1 40/1 33/1
Mohamed Salah 40/1 40/1 40/1
Ivan Toney 40/1 66/1 100/1
Wilfried Zaha 40/1 100/1 N/A
Raheem Sterling 50/1 150/1 200/1
*You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (07:15, 31/10/22). BeGambleAware.

Premier League Top Scorers 2022/2023

Here’s the current ranking for top scorers in the Premier League.

Position Player Goals xG Minutes Played
1st Erling Haaland 17 9.92 925
2nd Harry Kane 10 8.88 1,156
3rd Aleksandar Mitrovic 9 7.8 1,018
4th Ivan Toney 8 7.04 1,170
5th Leandro Trossard 7 4.2 1,010
6th Miguel Almiron 7 4.17 1,093
7th Rodrigo 6 4.22 723
8th Callum Wilson 6 6.07 735
9th Roberto Firmino 6 3.94 787
10th Phil Foden 6 3.28 794

Players with the same amount of goals are ranked by fewer minutes played. Stats correct as of 07:15, 31/10/22.

Erling Haaland the runaway favourite

Erling Haaland was the favourite to win the Golden Boot for 2022/23 before he even kicked a ball and, after his start to life in the Premier League, it’s not hard to see why. The Norwegian joined Manchester City from Borussia Dortmund with a phenomenal goalscoring record, netting 83 goals in 87 games across all competitions and 59 in 65 in the Bundesliga.

Haaland will also be watching the winter World Cup from home after Norway failed to qualify, so should be fresh when the Premier League returns on Boxing Day while some of his rivals will undoubtedly be tired due to the tournament.

If Haaland is to win the Golden Boot he’ll become City’s third-ever winner after Carlos Tevez and Aguero. And with 17 goals in his first 11 games, he’s well on his way!

This is something fellow new signee Julian Alvarez will be made aware of. The 22-year-old Argentine forward hopes to follow in his compatriot’s footsteps, but playing time could be an issue, though Pep Guardiola knows what the former River Plate marksman is capable of as he’s previously won Argentina’s Primera Division top scorer prize.

Haaland can “definitely” set unprecedented Golden Boot bar — Guardiola

Mohamed Salah and Son Heung-min claimed the Golden Boot last season with 23 goals; Haaland is just six shy of that tally, or in Haaland parlance, just two hat-tricks — and we’ve only just reached November!

As things currently stand, Andy Cole and Alan Shearer share the status for a record-breaking Golden Boot campaign, netting 34 goals in 1993/94 and 1994/95 respectively. Those tallies were set during the 42-game era, with Salah holding the record for the current 38-game format (32 in 2017/18).

On his current trajectory, averaging 1.54 goals per game, Haaland would match Cole and Shearer in just 11 matches, and Guardiola certainly believes he can, not only draw level with the former English strikers but shatter their joint record.

Guardiola told reporters: “We don’t have to be a genius, if he continues in this rhythm, with the average every game, he’s going to break the record, definitely. But in football maybe you score and in a few days stop scoring. I don’t know.

“I didn’t speak with him, I think he’s happy when the team wins and not when they lose. All the strikers I have seen in my career, Samuel Eto’o, Messi, Robert Lewandowski, Thomas Muller, Sergio Aguero, they all have incredible ambition to score goals. It’s normal. He has to be like that.”

Haaland’s rivals were given a brief reprieve at the weekend, however, with the Norwegian missing Man City’s win over Leicester through injury.

Premier League top scorer without Erling Haaland

What if Manchester City never acquired the services of Haaland? This dream of defenders up and down the land is something we can only imagine, but even with the lethal Norwegian marksman around, we can ignore him in this scenario. In other words, who are the favourites to claim this season’s golden boot sans Haaland?

Player William Hill
Harry Kane 8/11
Mohamed Salah 12/1
Gabriel Jesus 12/1
Aleksandar Mitrovic 16/1
Ivan Toney 16/1
Phil Foden 18/1
Roberto Firmino 20/1

Premier League Outright Odds: Other Markets

There are plenty of other outright markets to bet on alongside Top Goalscorer and with some bookmakers, you can combine your top scorer bet with an outright winner bet, even if your chosen player doesn’t play for the team that you’re backing to win the title. You’ll also be able to combine top scorer bets from different leagues and divisions for a pre-season or mid-season accumulator.

Markets such as Outright Winner and To Be Relegated are known to most punters but you can now also bet on markets including a Top Four Finish, a Top Half Finish and next manager to leave their post. With some firms, you can now even bet on certain teams to finish above other teams come the end of the campaign. For example, Arsenal to finish the season as the highest placed London club anyone?

PFA Player of the Year Odds

Mohamed Salah was awarded the PFA Player of the Year for the 2020/21 season after ending the campaign with the Carabao Cup, FA Cup and 23 goals and 13 assists in the Premier League. However, Kevin De Bruyne may feel hard done by after his contribution to Man City winning their fourth Premier League title in five years. And he may come up short yet again, with team-mate Haaland naturally an early favourite to take the 2022/23 PFA Player of the Year award.

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