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Premier League top scorers: 2023/24 Golden Boot prediction, odds and favourites

By Dean Smith

Premier League top scorer: 2023/24 Golden Boot race current standings

Published: 18:00, 25 February 2024

Last season, Erling Haaland won the Premier League’s Golden Boot with consummate ease — but can anyone dethrone him in 2023/24?

When the Norwegian first signed for Manchester City, some doubted how his goalscoring form in the Bundesliga would translate to the Premier League. He quickly shut them up after a fast start and scored a record-breaking 36 goals in the Premier League, even beating Andy Cole and Alan Shearer’s record of 34 goals in a 42-game season.

The Norwegian finished six clear of his closest rival in the Premier League, with Harry Kane the only other player to hit 30 goals. But that rival has moved away from the Premier League, joining Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga to start his Torjägerkanone campaign. After Kane, the next highest scorer was Ivan Toney, who had 20 goals, but the Englishman missed the start of the season through suspension and is set to return in the New Year.

Mohamed Salah netted 19 goals and will be among those hoping to push Haaland in 2023/24. As we move into March, Haaland now has 17 goals in the Premier League, reopening the gap over Salah on 15.

But things are close. We now have 11 players in the Premier League on double figures for goals, with Dominic Solanke and Ollie Watkins closest to Haaland and Salah on 14 each.

Keep up with the latest 2023/24 Golden Boot standings throughout the season below.

PREMIER LEAGUE GOLDEN BOOT ODDS

Player CopyBet
Erling Haaland (Man City) 1/4
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) 9/2
Son Heung-min (Tottenham) 12/1
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) 25/1
Dominic Solanke (Bournemouth) 25/1
Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) 33/1
Alexander Isak (Newcastle) 50/1
Richarlison (Tottenham) 50/1
Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea) 66/1
Hwang Hee-chan (Wolves) 66/1
Julian Alvarez (Man City) 80/1
Darwin Nunez (Liverpool) 100/1

Premier League most goals 2023/2024

Here are the current rankings for top scorers in the Premier League.

Player Goals Minutes played Expected Goals
Erling Haaland 17 1,744 19.23
Mohamed Salah 15 1,789 14.75
Dominic Solanke 14 2,231 14.62
Ollie Watkins 14 2,298 13.56
Bukayo Saka 13 2,136 11.24
Son Heung-min 12 1,816 7.12
Jarrod Bowen 11 2,156 8.28
Alexander Isak 10 1,250 10.14
Richarlison 10 1,351 8.59
Cole Palmer 10 1,577 8.43

Players with the same amount of goals are ranked by fewer minutes played. Stats correct as of 18:00, 25/02/24.

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Who are the favourites?

Erling Haaland

It’s early days of course, but if Haaland sustains this level of brilliance throughout his career then we may have to hand him Roberto Baggio’s ‘Divine Ponytail’ moniker. Sorry, Robby. The 23-year-old netted 52 goals in total last term and became the first player to claim both the Young Player of the Season and Premier League Player of the Season awards in a single campaign — a campaign that also saw Pep Guardiola’s men claim a historic Treble.

Mohamed Salah

‘The Egyptian King’ endured his joint-worst Premier League scoring campaign for Liverpool in 2022/23, but he still ended it with 19 strikes. That’s certainly not to be sniffed at, especially considering 19 goals would have been enough to land him a Golden Boot in three Premier League seasons (1997/98, 1998/99 and 2008/09). Liverpool are bouncing back from a hugely underwhelming campaign this time around, with Salah already scoring 15 goals.

Son Heung-Min

There is a sense that Ange Postecoglou is building something special at Tottenham, and that notion can perhaps be best attributed to Son Heung-min’s scoring rate under him. The South Korean forward has stepped up following Harry Kane’s departure, bagging 12 goals already.

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