Arsenal odds to finish in Premier League top four: Prediction, best players and stats
Arsenal came into the 2024-25 Premier League season hoping to go one better than back-to-back runner-up finishes.
The Gunners were second to Manchester City in each of the past two campaigns, and were looking to go one better this time round. But they will be the bridesmaids once again, with Liverpool securing the title.
Now, Arsenal must turn their focus to the top four — or top five — race, with just a few games left to play. They’ve got a 98.04% implied probability of finishing in the top four, per Sky Bet‘s odds.
Will they do it? Read on for everything you need to know about the 2024-25 season.
Latest Arsenal odds to win the 2024-25 Premier League
| Betting Market | Odds | Implied Probability | Opta Probability |
| Arsenal to finish in 2024-25 Premier League top four | 1/50 | 98.04% | 99.92% |
Arsenal transfer window business
Arsenal looked to add quality across their spine in the summer, with signings in midfield, defence and goalkeeper. David Raya’s loan move was made permanent, while Riccardo Calafiori and Mikel Merino also came in. Raheem Sterling and Neto were loan arrivals for the first team.
Going the other way were the likes of Emile Smith Rowe, Eddie Nketiah and Aaron Ramsdale as Arsenal looked to trim the fat of their squad. There weren’t any real departures of note in January, while despite a bid for Ollie Watkins, Arteta failed to bolster his squad before deadline day. And that has come back to bite them.
Who are Arsenal’s most important players?
Arsenal’s top Premier League Golden Boot contender: Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz could return from injury before the season is up, but he missed a big chunk due to injury. And the German’s absence has been telling. He’s endured a couple of barren runs, but the German remained Arsenal’s go-to man in attack. He did play in midfield at times, which also hampered his scoring numbers. Nonetheless, Havertz has scored nine goals in the Premier League this season, still more than any other Arsenal player.
The German still sits joint-second among the Arsenal squad shots on target (21) and top for non-penalty Expected Goals (9.47). There is also the quirk that Havertz didn’t outside of London in the Premier League this season, with seven goals at the Emirates alongside two away goals in the capital.
Arsenal’s primary playmaker: Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka was running away with things at the top of the Playmaker Award charts. The Englishman was the first to hit double figures for assists in the Premier League this season, registering 10. But his creativity had to take a break with Saka missing a bit part of the season through injury.
It was a big blow for Arsenal, with Saka a creative threat from open play and set pieces. The Englishman has now returned from injury, and leads Arsenal for chances created with 50. Saka also sits third in the Premier League as a whole for big chances created (20), which is remarkable considering he’s played over 1,000 minutes fewer than the two players above him.
Arsenal’s card magnet & top tackler: Thomas Partey
Thomas Partey has been utilised in two different positions this season, and they’re both tackle-heavy. Of course, his main position is as a defensive midfielder, but Partey has also featured as a fill-in right-back. As a result, Partey leads Arsenal for tackles with 80 and fouls on 40. But, Partey’s tackles and fouls don’t exactly convert to yellow cards, with just four in the Premier League this season.
Arsenal’s rising star: Ethan Nwaneri
Arsenal have had a lot of bright young players on their books over the years. And Ethan Nwaneri appears to be the brightest. He’s the youngest-ever player in Arsenal’s history in the Premier League, making his debut aged 15 years and 181 days in 2022-23. Nwaneri has gone on to play 38 times for Arsenal, including 25 in the Premier League this season.
Nwaneri had been filling in for the injured Saka on the wing since just after Christmas, enjoying a good run of performances. This is despite a little injury of his own. He’s quietened down slightly towards the end of the season, but that’s to be expected in a teenager playing his first full campaign.
Arsenal’s set-piece specialists:
- Penalties: Bukayo Saka
- Free-kicks: Declan Rice
- Corners: Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice
Arsenal tactical analysis, formation & player ratings
Arsenal team stats from the 2023-24 Premier League season (avg per game):
- Corners: 7.0
- Shots on target: 6.0
- Shots conceded: 8.53
- Offsides: 2.3
Arsenal 2024-25 player ratings*
- GK: David Raya – 54% – Raya has kept 12 clean sheets in the league this season, but he isn’t a busy goalkeeper which works against his Score.
- RB: Jurrien Timber – 66% – Timber has played on both flanks for Arsenal this season and performed excellently wherever. The Dutchman has lost just 0.33 challenges per 90.
- CB: William Saliba – 60% – The Frenchman has been tough to beat on the floor this season, winning 61.46% of his ground duels in the Premier League. He remains an excellent passer too.
- CB: Gabriel – 75% – Gabriel has formed a perfect partnership with Saliba, with the pair providing the platform for another strong Arsenal defence.
- LB: Myles Lewis-Skelly – 54% – Lewis-Skelly hasn’t done too badly since being converted to a left-back, winning 72.73% of his ground duels. But his other numbers are quite low.
- DM: Thomas Partey – 68% – Playing both in midfield and at full-back, Partey has good tackle numbers averaging 1.74 tackles won per 90.
- CM: Declan Rice – 62% – Rice’s Score is hurt slightly by the fact that he hasn’t been influencing games in terms of key metrics as much as other central midfielders.
- CM: Martin Odegaard – 72% – Odegaard missed a bit of the season due to injury, but has averaged 3.33 successful passes into the penalty area per 90. Arsenal look a better side with him on the pitch.
- RW: Bukayo Saka – 79% – As mentioned, Saka has been a creative force of nature with 10 assists so far this season, alongside five goals. He’s averaged 9.44 touches in the opposition box per 90.
- LW: Leandro Trossard – 68% – Trossard has played both as a winger and a striker for Arsenal this season, finding his spot on the left recently. He’s scored 0.31 goals per 90 alongside 0.19 intentional assists.
- CF: Kai Havertz – 65% – Havertz’s 0.44 goals per 90 and 0.46 non-penalty xG has the German scoring pretty decently. Of course, his scoring has also been hampered by a stint in midfield.
Arteta has tested a few different formations this season, but he always goes back to 4-3-3. Arsenal are most dangerous with their two No.8s protected by a holding No.8. This allows Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard to push forward.
Odegaard plays so high he’s essentially alongside the striker. But the most-advanced man in the attack is, of course, Bukayo Saka. Arsenal have also switched between inverting their left-back and right back, trying to be fluid in that regard.
Arsenal’s full Premier League 2024-25 squad
| PLAYER NAME | POSITION | AGE | NATIONALITY |
| David Raya | Goalkeeper | 28 | Spain |
| Neto | Goalkeeper | 35 | Brazil |
| William Saliba | Defender | 23 | France |
| Gabriel Magalhães | Defender | 26 | Brazil |
| Riccardo Calafiori | Defender | 22 | Italy |
| Jurrien Timber | Defender | 23 | Netherlands |
| Jakub Kiwior | Defender | 24 | Poland |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko | Defender | 27 | Ukraine |
| Kieran Tierney | Defender | 27 | Scotland |
| Ben White | Defender | 26 | England |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | Defender | 25 | Japan |
| Declan Rice | Midfielder | 25 | England |
| Thomas Partey | Midfielder | 31 | Ghana |
| Jorginho | Midfielder | 32 | Italy |
| Mikel Merino | Midfielder | 25 | Spain |
| Martin Ødegaard | Midfielder | 25 | Norway |
| Gabriel Martinelli | Forward | 23 | Brazil |
| Leandro Trossard | Forward | 29 | Belgium |
| Raheem Sterling | Forward | 29 | England |
| Bukayo Saka | Forward | 23 | England |
| Kai Havertz | Forward | 25 | Germany |
| Gabriel Jesus | Forward | 27 | Brazil |
Arsenal FAQs
Where did Arsenal finish in the 2023-24 Premier League season?
Arsenal finished second in the Premier League in 2023-24, finishing only behind Manchester City for the second campaign running.
Who is the Arsenal manager?
Mikel Arteta is the current Arsenal manager, taking the job in December 2019. The Spaniard has won an FA Cup and two Community Shield titles with the club so far.
Who is the current Arsenal captain?
Martin Odegaard is the current Arsenal captain, taking the armband at the start of the 2022-23 season.
Will Arsenal play in Europe in 2024-25?
Arsenal will once again play in the Champions League in 2024-25 thanks to finishing second in the Premier League last season.
Arsenal upcoming fixtures
More Premier League 2024-25 content:
- Arsenal fixtures 2024-25 Premier League
- 2024-25 Premier League fixture list
- Premier League net spend
