Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction favours Pittsburgh, kicking off at 6pm BST on the opening Sunday of the 2026 NFL season. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below.
Pittsburgh won the AFC North at 10-7 and Atlanta missed out at 8-9. The underlying numbers sit closer: the Falcons recorded 57 sacks, more than any side in this round, and conceded only 26.
Falcons vs Steelers: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Falcons vs Steelers: 2025 season form
Pittsburgh finished 10-7 at plus 10. Atlanta went 8-9 at minus 48. Notably, though, the Falcons closed on a four-game winning run.
| 2025 regular season | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-9 | 10-7 |
| Points for | 353 | 397 |
| Points against | 401 | 387 |
| Point differential | -48 | +10 |
| Sacks recorded | 57 | 48 |
| Sacks allowed | 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions made | 16 | 15 |
| Third-down offence | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Red-zone offence | 62.0% | 58.8% |
| Red zone allowed | 54.9% | 50.9% |
| Opponent passer rating | 88.4 | 92.2 |
The sack rows tell it. Atlanta recorded 57 and allowed 26, both the better marks, while Pittsburgh managed 48 and conceded 31 with a weaker 92.2 opponent passer rating.
Falcons vs Steelers injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land. Notably, for now, the quarterback picture is settled on one side only.
The Falcons have not confirmed a starter. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster. Bijan Robinson leads the backfield regardless, moreover, with Drake London the primary target.
Aaron Rodgers starts for Pittsburgh. DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. lead a rebuilt receiving group, meanwhile, and Rico Dowdle joins Jaylen Warren in the backfield.
The matchup that settles it: Atlanta’s pass rush against Pittsburgh’s protection
Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, ahead of every other side in this round, with James Pearce Jr. claiming 10 and Brandon Dorlus eight. Consequently the pressure tilts one way.
Pittsburgh allowed 31, respectable rather than secure. However, Rodgers threw for 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, so the offence functions when the pocket holds.
Players to watch
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): 1,478 rushing yards, indeed fourth in the league.
- James Pearce Jr. (ATL, DE): 10 sacks, notably for the round’s most productive pass rush.
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB): 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, the better passer rating here.
- DK Metcalf (PIT, WR): Now leads the Pittsburgh receivers alongside Michael Pittman Jr.
How to watch Falcons vs Steelers
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, which is 6pm BST in the UK. That makes it one of the friendliest windows of the week for British viewers, indeed, landing in the early evening rather than the small hours. Sky Sports has the coverage, and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game.
| Detail | Falcons vs Steelers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6:00pm BST / 1:00 PM ET, Sunday 13 Sep |
| Venue | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Falcons vs Steelers prediction and score projection
Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction is a narrow Pittsburgh win. Home field and a settled quarterback carry it, although not by much.
Atlanta’s pass rush is the best unit on the field, and 57 sacks against a line allowing 31 decides close games. Nevertheless the Falcons still have to name a quarterback. So we will take the Steelers, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub. Kickoff times are confirmed on NFL.com.
Falcons vs Steelers FAQ
Pittsburgh, narrowly. The Steelers finished 10-7 and won the AFC North, whereas Atlanta went 8-9. Ultimately the live win probability sits in the Signal block on this page.
Notably 6pm BST on Sunday 13 September, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game. Moreover kickoff is Notably 6pm BST on Sunday 13 September, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Atlanta had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster.
Steelers 24-20. The Steelers have home field and a settled quarterback; Atlanta’s 57 sacks, however, were the most in this round.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change