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Squawka / News / World Cup / Uruguay vs Spain: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

Uruguay vs Spain: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

27 Jun · 01:00 Estadio AKRON · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Uruguay
    Maxi Araújo
    2
  • 2
    Spain
    Mikel Oyarzabal
    2
  • 3
    Uruguay
    Agustín Canobbio
    1
  • 4
    Spain
    Lamine Yamal
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Uruguay
    Federico Valverde
    10
  • 2
    Spain
    Mikel Oyarzabal
    10
  • 3
    Spain
    Lamine Yamal
    7
  • 4
    Spain
    Ferran Torres
    6
  • 5
    Uruguay
    Federico Viñas
    5
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Uruguay
    Rodrigo Bentancur
    3
  • 2
    Spain
    Pedro Porro
    3
  • 3
    Uruguay
    Agustín Canobbio
    3
  • 4
    Spain
    Rodri
    3
  • 5
    Spain
    Pedri
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Uruguay
    Maxi Araújo
    1
  • 2
    Spain
    Dani Olmo
    1
  • 3
    Spain
    Aymeric Laporte
    1
  • 4
    Spain
    Mikel Oyarzabal
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Uruguay
    Maxi Araújo
    8
  • 2
    Spain
    Pedri
    5
  • 3
    Uruguay
    Mathías Olivera
    5
  • 4
    Uruguay
    Nicolás de la Cruz
    4
  • 5
    Spain
    Rodri
    4
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Spain
    Rodri
    229
  • 2
    Spain
    Pau Cubarsí
    205
  • 3
    Spain
    Aymeric Laporte
    187
  • 4
    Uruguay
    Mathías Olivera
    173
  • 5
    Spain
    Pedri
    144
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Uruguay
    Federico Valverde
    4
  • 2
    Uruguay
    Rodrigo Bentancur
    4
  • 3
    Spain
    Lamine Yamal
    4
  • 4
    Spain
    Pedri
    3
  • 5
    Spain
    Ferran Torres
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Spain
    Pedri
    7
  • 2
    Uruguay
    Guillermo Varela
    5
  • 3
    Uruguay
    Rodrigo Bentancur
    4
  • 4
    Spain
    Aymeric Laporte
    4
  • 5
    Spain
    Pau Cubarsí
    3

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23
Muslera
25
Manuel Sanabria
16
Olivera
03
Cáceres
13
Varela
05
Ugarte
20
Araújo
08
Valverde
06
Bentancur
14
Canobbio
21
Viñas
15
Baena
21
Oyarzabal
19
Yamal
20
Pedri
16
Rodri
10
Olmo
24
Cucurella
14
Laporte
22
Cubarsí
12
Porro
23
Simón

League Standings table is not available yet.

Uruguay face a crucial fixture when they take on Spain in Group H at the 2026 World Cup on Friday. They know anything less than a win could spell the end of their time in the competition.

Marcelo Bielsa’s side stumbled in their opening games, drawing against Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde. Spain thrashed Saudi Arabia 4-0 following an opening draw. Kick-off is scheduled for 1am (UK time) on Saturday 27th June.

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Uruguay vs Spain predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Lamine Yamal to score anytime15/8 @ Sky Bet
(34.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Yamal is De la Fuente’s creative spark and arrives confidently into dangerous areas. He scored Spain’s opener against Saudi Arabia and registered the team’s most dynamic attacking output. Uruguay’s defence looked vulnerable against Cape Verde and struggled to track quick runners. Against a side needing to attack, Yamal will have space to exploit on the break. He is too electric to ignore at this price.
Correct score – Uruguay 1-2 Spain7/1 @ Betfred
(11.8%)
⭐⭐Spain scored four goals in their last match and look sharp. Uruguay managed two goals against Cape Verde but have conceded three times across two games. De la Fuente will not rotate heavily with top spot not yet secured. Spain’s attacking depth — Yamal, Oyarzabal, Olmo and Williams — makes a multi-goal win the most logical outcome. Uruguay’s desperation for points means they will likely score.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Uruguay vs Spain

Uruguay

Uruguay arrive in Guadalajara carrying the weight of disappointing opening results. Back-to-back draws with Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde left Marcelo Bielsa fielding uncomfortable questions. Darwin Nunez has struggled to impact games effectively. Uruguay look disjointed defensively. La Celeste enter this fixture knowing a win secures their knockout qualification. The talent at Bielsa’s disposal remains obvious. Federico Valverde drives the midfield with world-class ability. A core group including Manuel Ugarte, Rodrigo Bentancur and Maxi Araujo offer significant quality. Ronald Araujo misses this game with a calf injury. The pressure is considerable. Uruguay need to demonstrate they can compete with elite European opposition. Guadalajara offers them the perfect stage to do exactly that.

Spain

Spain arrive in Guadalajara on the back of a 4-0 thrashing of Saudi Arabia. That result leaves them needing only a draw to progress. La Roja recovered brilliantly from their frustrating opening stalemate against Cape Verde. Luis de la Fuente demands sustained excellence. Lamine Yamal scored his first World Cup goal against Saudi Arabia. This offered a glimpse of what their dynamic wide play can produce. De la Fuente’s side dominated possession and registered numerous shots on target. The step up to facing Uruguay brings different challenges. Their pre-tournament form underlined their quality. Spain look defensively solid while remaining potent going forward. De la Fuente has instilled genuine attacking fluidity. If Spain control the midfield tempo, they carry immense threat. A point secures their progression easily. A win guarantees top spot.

Uruguay team news

Ronald Araujo misses the Spain clash with a calf injury. His absence weakens a defence that was exposed by Cape Verde. Giorgian de Arrascaeta also remains sidelined. Bielsa faces selection questions across the squad. Darwin Nunez pushes for a starting berth in Guadalajara. Federico Valverde starts in midfield – that is not in doubt. Maxi Araujo, who scored against Saudi Arabia, will look to keep his place.

Spain team news

Luis de la Fuente faces a dilemma in attack after a brilliant display against Saudi Arabia. Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice and demands inclusion. Nico Williams pushes for a start on the wing. Lamine Yamal should start despite ongoing fitness management. The teenager carries immense attacking responsibility and exploits space brilliantly. Dani Olmo looks set to keep his midfield place over Fabian Ruiz.

Head-to-Head

These two nations have met seven times in international football. Friday’s fixture in Guadalajara represents a massive test for Uruguay. Spain remain unbeaten against the South Americans across their history. Uruguay have lost their last three encounters against La Roja.

Can Uruguay find the result they need to progress?

Both nations enter Friday’s fixture under pressure. A Spain win secures top spot and maintains their strong momentum. A Uruguay victory would rescue their campaign and guarantee knockout progression.

We’re backing Lamine Yamal to make his mark in Guadalajara. You can get 15/8 with Sky Bet for Yamal to score anytime. This represents strong value against a vulnerable Uruguayan defence.

A 2-1 Spain win at 7/1 with Betfred offers value. This reflects the expected outcome and Spain’s attacking threat.

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