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Squawka / News / World Cup / United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

02 Jul · 01:00 Levi's Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Ermin Mahmic
    2
  • 2
    United States
    Folarin Balogun
    2
  • 3
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Jovo Lukic
    1
  • 4
    United States
    Giovanni Reyna
    1
  • 5
    United States
    Auston Trusty
    1
Shots
  • 1
    United States
    Folarin Balogun
    7
  • 2
    United States
    Malik Tillman
    5
  • 3
    United States
    Weston McKennie
    5
  • 4
    United States
    Ricardo Pepi
    5
  • 5
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Ivan Basic
    4
Tackles Won
  • 1
    United States
    Weston McKennie
    4
  • 2
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Nikola Katic
    4
  • 3
    United States
    Malik Tillman
    3
  • 4
    United States
    Chris Richards
    3
  • 5
    United States
    Tyler Adams
    3
Assists
  • 1
    United States
    Malik Tillman
    1
  • 2
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Ivan Basic
    1
  • 3
    United States
    Sebastian Berhalter
    1
  • 4
    United States
    Alex Freeman
    1
  • 5
    United States
    Christian Pulisic
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    United States
    Weston McKennie
    7
  • 2
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Ivan Basic
    6
  • 3
    United States
    Malik Tillman
    5
  • 4
    United States
    Sebastian Berhalter
    5
  • 5
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Kerim Alajbegovic
    4
Passes Completed
  • 1
    United States
    Chris Richards
    175
  • 2
    United States
    Tim Ream
    152
  • 3
    United States
    Alex Freeman
    128
  • 4
    United States
    Weston McKennie
    110
  • 5
    United States
    Tyler Adams
    110
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Kerim Alajbegovic
    8
  • 2
    United States
    Sergiño Dest
    7
  • 3
    United States
    Weston McKennie
    6
  • 4
    United States
    Antonee Robinson
    6
  • 5
    United States
    Christian Pulisic
    5
Interceptions
  • 1
    United States
    Tyler Adams
    6
  • 2
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Tarik Muharemovic
    5
  • 3
    United States
    Weston McKennie
    5
  • 4
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    Esmir Bajraktarevic
    4
  • 5
    United States
    Malik Tillman
    4

No price boosts for this event.

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01
Turner
06
Trusty
22
McKenzie
12
Robinson
23
Scally
07
Reyna
14
Berhalter
08
McKennie
21
Weah
09
Pepi
11
Aaronson
11
Dzeko
10
Demirovic
19
Alajbegovic
13
Basic
06
Tahirovic
20
Bajraktarevic
05
Kolasinac
04
Muharemovic
18
Katic
24
Malic
01
Vasilj

League Standings table is not available yet.

The United States look to extend their home World Cup adventure when they face Bosnia-Herzegovina in the Round of 32 on Thursday. Kick-off is scheduled for 2am (UK time) on Thursday 2nd July at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California.

The Stars and Stripes topped Group D with six points, beating Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0 before a much-changed side lost 3-2 to Turkey in a dead-rubber final group game. Bosnia-Herzegovina clinched a Round of 32 berth by finishing third in Group B with four points, securing one of the tournament’s eight best third-place spots after beating Qatar 3-1. Mauricio Pochettino’s side carry home advantage; Sergej Barbarez’s Dragons carry the spirit of a nation making only their second-ever World Cup appearance.

United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Folarin Balogun to score anytime6/5 @ bet365
(25%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Balogun has two goals in the group stage off an expected goals figure of 0.88 and three shots on target, making him the USA’s most reliable finisher. He has already netted twice in the tournament and leads the line as the focal point of Pochettino’s attack. Bosnia’s defence looked exposed for large parts of the group stage, conceding heavily to Switzerland. With home advantage and a fully rested front line, Balogun is the standout anytime scorer selection in Santa Clara.
USA to win and under 2.5 goals5/2 @ Sky Bet
(26.7%)
⭐⭐Bosnia have leaned on the experience of veteran striker Edin Dzeko without consistently finding the net. Dzeko has not scored in his two appearances at this World Cup despite 73 international goals to his name. Bosnia receive a boost with centre-back Tarik Muharemovic returning from suspension, which should stabilise a backline that looked exposed during the group stage. A controlled, home win where the USA manage the tie reflects the most likely shape of this fixture.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina

United States

The USA were highly impressive in their opening two matches, beating Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0 to secure their spot in the knockout stage with a match to spare. A 3-2 defeat to Turkey followed in a dead-rubber finale, but six points from three matches still proved enough to top Group D. Pochettino used that final game to rest his key players ahead of the knockout rounds – a decision that now pays off with a fully refreshed squad available for Santa Clara.

Tyler Adams, Folarin Balogun and Chris Richards all return to the side after being managed carefully against Turkey, giving Pochettino his strongest possible XI for the biggest game of the tournament so far. The USA reached the semi-finals of the 1930 World Cup and the quarter-finals in 2002, alongside last-16 appearances in 1934, 1994, 2010, 2014 and 2022 – Thursday offers the chance to add another chapter to that history on home soil.

The tactical battle centres on midfield dominance and transition speed, with the USA looking to control tempo through Christian Pulisic’s creativity in the half-spaces. Pulisic featured only sparingly across the group stage but made a substitute appearance against Turkey and played more than half an hour, easing any lingering fitness concerns. A raucous home crowd at Levi’s Stadium gives the hosts every reason for confidence.

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina finished third in Group B behind Switzerland and Canada, opening with a 1-1 draw against Canada before losing 4-1 to Switzerland. A crucial 3-1 win over Qatar on matchday three proved decisive, securing their place among the tournament’s eight best third-placed sides. The Dragons were knocked out in the group stage in 2014 and failed to qualify for 2018 and 2022 – reaching the knockout rounds represents a genuine success story for Bosnian football.

This is just the second World Cup in Bosnia-Herzegovina’s history, and the emotional weight behind this squad runs deep. Edin Dzeko, 40, remains the heartbeat of this team – a national hero whose career has carried enormous symbolic significance for Bosnian fans following the Siege of Sarajevo. His presence alone galvanises a passionate travelling support that has made itself heard throughout the tournament.

Bosnia-Herzegovina made this World Cup the hard way, squeezing into the knockouts as one of the best third-placed teams. They built their campaign on defensive solidity and effective counter-attacking play, though that approach briefly deserted them against Switzerland, a game also influenced by a red card for centre-back Tarik Muharemovic. His return from suspension gives Barbarez’s defence renewed stability heading into Santa Clara.

United States team news

Tyler Adams, Folarin Balogun and Chris Richards all return to the side after being rested or managed carefully during the dead-rubber defeat to Turkey. Pochettino has his strongest possible group available for the Round of 32 and faces few selection dilemmas given the clarity provided by the group stage.

Matt Freese continues in goal behind a back four of Alex Freeman, Tim Ream, Chris Richards and Antonee Robinson. Tyler Adams and Malik Tillman anchor the midfield, with Sergiño Dest, Weston McKennie and Christian Pulisic providing creative width and energy ahead of them. Balogun leads the line and has already netted twice at this tournament.

Bosnia-Herzegovina team news

Bosnia-Herzegovina receive a significant boost with 23-year-old centre-back Tarik Muharemovic returning from suspension, heavily stabilising a backline that looked exposed during the group stage. His reinstatement is the single biggest team news story for Barbarez ahead of Santa Clara.

Nikola Vasilj continues in goal behind a back four of Riad Dedic, Toni Sunjic, Muharemovic and Sead Kolasinac. Amar Bajraktarevic, Sanjin Sunjic, Toni Basic and Kerim Alajbegovic operate across midfield, with Dzeko and Demirovic leading the attack. Alajbegovic is one of the few Bosnia attackers to have found the net in the group stage and offers a spark from deeper areas.

Head-to-Head

The United States and Bosnia-Herzegovina have played three friendlies over the years, with United States coming on top twice. Bosnia-Herzegovina have yet to win in this fixture. Thursday’s Round of 32 fixture in Santa Clara is the first-ever competitive encounter between the two nations.

Which side will advance to the Round of 16?

The United States enter Thursday’s fixture as heavy favourites, backed by home advantage, a settled spine and the firepower of Balogun and Pulisic. The winner books a Round of 16 tie against either Belgium or Senegal. Bosnia-Herzegovina arrive with the spirit of a side already exceeding expectations and the experience of Dzeko to call upon when it matters most.

We’re backing Folarin Balogun to extend his impressive tournament form in Santa Clara. 6/5 with bet365 for Balogun to score anytime reflects his clinical edge, his expected return to the starting XI and Bosnia’s defensive vulnerabilities exposed against Switzerland.

For a combined play, USA to win and under 2.5 goals at 5/2 with Sky Bet reflects home advantage, Pochettino’s settled spine and the controlled, low-scoring nature knockout football against a well-organised underdog often produces.

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