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Squawka / News / World Cup / Scotland vs Brazil: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

Scotland vs Brazil: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

24 Jun · 23:00 Hard Rock Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Brazil
    Matheus Cunha
    2
  • 2
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    2
  • 3
    Scotland
    John McGinn
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Scotland
    Scott McTominay
    4
  • 2
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    4
  • 3
    Brazil
    Raphinha
    3
  • 4
    Scotland
    John McGinn
    3
  • 5
    Scotland
    Lawrence Shankland
    2
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Brazil
    Douglas Santos
    6
  • 2
    Scotland
    Lewis Ferguson
    5
  • 3
    Brazil
    Bruno Guimarães
    4
  • 4
    Brazil
    Casemiro
    3
  • 5
    Scotland
    Ryan Christie
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Brazil
    Bruno Guimarães
    1
  • 2
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    1
  • 3
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Brazil
    Raphinha
    3
  • 2
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    3
  • 3
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    3
  • 4
    Scotland
    Andy Robertson
    3
  • 5
    Scotland
    Ben Gannon-Doak
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Brazil
    Gabriel Magalhães
    159
  • 2
    Brazil
    Marquinhos
    156
  • 3
    Scotland
    Jack Hendry
    120
  • 4
    Scotland
    Lewis Ferguson
    101
  • 5
    Scotland
    Grant Hanley
    96
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Scotland
    Ben Gannon-Doak
    4
  • 2
    Scotland
    Scott McTominay
    3
  • 3
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    2
  • 4
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    2
  • 5
    Brazil
    Raphinha
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    4
  • 2
    Scotland
    Lewis Ferguson
    4
  • 3
    Brazil
    Casemiro
    2
  • 4
    Scotland
    Kieran Tierney
    2
  • 5
    Brazil
    Danilo
    2

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01
Gunn
03
Robertson
13
Hendry
05
Hanley
22
Patterson
06
Tierney
19
Ferguson
11
Christie
07
McGinn
04
McTominay
10
Adams
07
Júnior
09
Cunha
11
Raphinha
20
Paquetá
05
Casemiro
08
Guimarães
16
Santos
03
Magalhães
04
Marquinhos
13
Danilo
01
Becker

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Scotland face the greatest test in their modern history when they meet Brazil in Group C at the 2026 World Cup on Wednesday. Kick-off is scheduled for 11pm (UK time) on Wednesday 24th June at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

Steve Clarke’s side produced a spirited opening campaign, beating Haiti 1-0 before suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat to Morocco. Three points from their first two games leaves Scotland’s knockout qualification in their own hands. Only a result against Brazil will seal it. For this generation of Scottish players, Wednesday represents a defining moment.

Bet365 UK Scotland VS Brazil
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Scotland vs Brazil predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Player to be Booked – Grant Hanley13/5 @ bet365
(27.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Grant Hanley faces the sternest examination of his World Cup campaign when he lines up against Matheus Cunha and Vinícius Júnior on Wednesday. The Hibernian defender has accumulated bookings at a consistent rate throughout his career when tasked with containing elite forwards in tight spaces. Brazil’s front line will run directly at Hanley from the first whistle, and Clarke’s defensive setup demands physicality and aggression from his centre-backs. Hanley will need to make interventions early and often to keep Brazil’s attack at bay. At 38 years old, he cannot rely on pace to recover, making cynical challenges more likely. The combination of elite opposition, defensive pressure and Hanley’s combative style makes a booking a genuinely compelling proposition.
Scott McTominay 2+ shots on target and Vinicius Junior 2+ shots on target18/1 @ Spreadex
(5.3%)
⭐⭐Scott McTominay offers Scotland’s best route to goal, driving late into the box with the technique and determination to test Alisson on the counter. Vinícius Júnior, meanwhile, is the standout individual talent at this tournament and will torment Scotland’s defence all evening.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Scotland vs Brazil

Scotland

Scotland arrive in Miami carrying the weight of history and the hope of a nation. Clarke’s side beat Haiti 1-0 on matchday one thanks to John McGinn’s decisive goal. A 1-0 defeat to Morocco followed — a match settled inside 70 seconds by Ismael Saibari’s early strike. Clarke felt his side deserved at least one penalty in that game. Scotland did not register a single shot on target against Morocco but showed they could compete physically against a top-ten side.

The Scots enter this fixture knowing exactly what they need. A win sends them into the knockout rounds for the first time in their history across nine World Cup appearances. A draw could also suffice depending on Morocco’s result against Haiti. Clarke’s side have proven they can be difficult to break down. They have conceded just once in 180 minutes at this tournament, and that defensive resilience gives them a platform.

Scotland have never beaten Brazil in 11 attempts. But this squad – built around the experience of Robertson, McGinn and McTominay – carries a collective belief that previous generations simply did not possess. Clarke will set his side to frustrate, stay compact and hit Brazil hard on the counter. One moment of quality could change everything.

Brazil

Carlo Ancelotti’s side top Group C on four points and need only to match or better Morocco’s score against Haiti to confirm top spot. That relative comfort could prove a double-edged sword against a Scotland side playing for their lives.

The Selecao have not been at their devastating best in Florida. A 1-1 draw with Morocco suggested defensive frailties that Clarke will have studied in detail. The 3-0 win over Haiti restored some confidence, with Matheus Cunha’s brace underlining his growing influence as Brazil’s focal point in attack. Vinícius Junior remains the most dangerous player on the pitch whenever he receives the ball in space.

Raphinha has been ruled out with a hamstring injury sustained against Haiti. His absence is a significant blow to Brazil’s attacking options. Ancelotti has enough quality to cover that loss, but Raphinha’s creativity and work rate will be missed in Miami. Brazil’s recent World Cup history also carries a warning — their last three group-stage defeats have all come on matchday three. Scotland will know that statistic well.

Scotland team news

Clarke faces a fitness dilemma ahead of the biggest game in recent Scottish football history. Scott McKenna, Aaron Hickey and Lewis Ferguson all missed training over the weekend with a calf issue, an unspecified knock and fatigue respectively. All three could return in some capacity on Wednesday, with Ferguson likely to continue in central midfield if fit.

Andy Robertson captains the side at left-back and his attacking threat from wide areas remains Scotland’s most reliable creative outlet. John McGinn and Scott McTominay both start in advanced midfield positions. McGinn scored the winner against Haiti and carries enormous confidence into this fixture.

Clarke is expected to continue with either a 3-4-2-1 or 4-4-1-1 shape depending on his approach to managing Brazil’s wide threat. Che Adams leads the line as the central striker ahead of Lawrence Shankland and Lyndon Dykes on the bench. Ben Gannon-Doak could return to the starting line up to add some pace to their counter attacks.

Brazil team news

Ancelotti must reshuffle his attacking options following Raphinha’s hamstring injury. The Barcelona winger is ruled out for the remainder of the group stage, depriving Brazil of their most creative wide outlet. His replacement will be confirmed closer to kick-off.

Matheus Cunha leads the line after his brace against Haiti and starts again in Miami. Vinícius Junior continues on the left and remains Brazil’s single most dangerous attacking threat when given space to run. Casemiro and Bruno Guimaraes anchor the midfield and will be tasked with cutting off Scotland’s counter-attacking routes.

Gabriel and Marquinhos continue at centre-back. Ancelotti has no other confirmed injury concerns ahead of Wednesday. Brazil’s squad depth means Raphinha’s absence is manageable — but it does hand Scotland a slight psychological advantage heading into kick-off.

Head-to-Head

Scotland and Brazil have met five times previously, four of those contests being at the World Cup. Brazil claimed a 4-1 win in 1982, a 1-0 win in 1990, and a 2-1 win in France 1998 – that last defeat ending Scotland’s most recent World Cup campaign. Their only non-defeat came at West Germany 1974, a 0-0 draw. Brazil have scored nine goals and conceded just two across those five meetings.

DateResultCompetition
27/03/11Brazil 2-0 ScotlandFriendly
10/06/98Brazil 2-1 ScotlandWorld Cup
20/06/90Brazil 1-0 ScotlandWorld Cup
18/06/82Brazil 4-1 ScotlandWorld Cup
18/06/74Scotland 0-0 BrazilWorld Cup

Can Scotland make history or will Brazil break hearts?

Scotland enter this fixture knowing that history beckons. A win sends them into the knockout rounds for the first time ever. A draw could also advance them depending on Morocco’s result. Brazil need nothing more than a point to confirm top spot, but Ancelotti will not set up passively.

We’re backing Grant Hanley to pick up a booking at 13/5 with bet365. The defender could be given a torrid time by Brazil’s attackers and a booking looks a safe bet.

For a bigger price, we’re looking at the shots on target market. Scott McTominay and Vinicius Junior to have 2+ shots on target each at 18/1 with Spreadex looks overpriced.

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