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Squawka / News / World Cup / Portugal vs Croatia: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

Portugal vs Croatia: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

Portugal take on Croatia in for a place in the last 16 of the 2026 World Cup on Friday morning. The game will take place in Toronto, with kick-off scheduled for 12:00am (UK Time). Find our Portugal vs Croatia predictions and best bets below.

03 Jul · 00:00 BMO Field · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Portugal
    Cristiano Ronaldo
    2
  • 2
    Portugal
    Rafael Leão
    1
  • 3
    Croatia
    Petar Sucic
    1
  • 4
    Croatia
    Martin Baturina
    1
  • 5
    Portugal
    João Neves
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Portugal
    Cristiano Ronaldo
    13
  • 2
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    6
  • 3
    Portugal
    João Félix
    6
  • 4
    Croatia
    Mario Pasalic
    3
  • 5
    Croatia
    Marco Pasalic
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    4
  • 2
    Croatia
    Ivan Perisic
    3
  • 3
    Portugal
    João Félix
    3
  • 4
    Portugal
    Nuno Mendes
    3
  • 5
    Croatia
    Mateo Kovacic
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Portugal
    João Cancelo
    1
  • 2
    Croatia
    Ivan Perisic
    1
  • 3
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    1
  • 4
    Croatia
    Josip Stanisic
    1
  • 5
    Portugal
    Pedro Neto
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Portugal
    Nuno Mendes
    6
  • 2
    Croatia
    Ivan Perisic
    5
  • 3
    Croatia
    Luka Modric
    5
  • 4
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    4
  • 5
    Portugal
    Francisco Conceição
    3
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Portugal
    Vitinha
    270
  • 2
    Croatia
    Josip Sutalo
    213
  • 3
    Portugal
    Renato Veiga
    203
  • 4
    Croatia
    Luka Modric
    178
  • 5
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    169
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Croatia
    Martin Baturina
    9
  • 2
    Portugal
    Rafael Leão
    5
  • 3
    Croatia
    Marco Pasalic
    5
  • 4
    Portugal
    João Félix
    4
  • 5
    Portugal
    Nuno Mendes
    4
Interceptions
  • 1
    Portugal
    Renato Veiga
    6
  • 2
    Croatia
    Josip Sutalo
    4
  • 3
    Portugal
    João Cancelo
    3
  • 4
    Croatia
    Ivan Perisic
    3
  • 5
    Portugal
    Rúben Dias
    3

No price boosts for this event.

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01
Costa
25
Mendes
13
Veiga
03
Dias
20
Cancelo
23
Vitinha
15
Neves
11
Félix
08
Fernandes
18
Neto
07
Ronaldo
11
Budimir
16
Baturina
17
Sucic
13
Vlasic
08
Kovacic
10
Modric
14
Perisic
03
Pongracic
06
Sutalo
02
Stanisic
01
Livakovic

League Standings table is not available yet.

Portugal vs Croatia predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Match result Draw13/5 @ Spreadex
(27.8%)
⭐⭐⭐Portugal have flattered to deceive so far, with their only group-stage win coming against World Cup debutants Uzbekistan. They also needed extra time in both of their Euro 2024 knockout matches. Croatia rarely make life easy for opponents in knockout football. Five of their last seven World Cup knockout ties finished level after 90 minutes, and another tight contest looks likely.
Bruno Fernandes 1+ assist16/5 @ Ladbrokes
(23.8%)
⭐⭐Bruno Fernandes set a new record for the amount of assists in a single Premier League season, by notching 21 in total last term. If Portugal are to unlock what could potentially be a stubborn Croatian defence, Bruno is the man with the keys. With one assist already to his name at this tournament, 16/5 he looks too big a price with Ladbrokes, while other firms have him as 2/1.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Portugal vs Croatia

Portugal arrived at World Cup 2026 with high expectations, but they have yet to produce a consistently convincing performance. Roberto Martinez’s side opened with a frustrating draw against DR Congo before recording their only group-stage victory against tournament debutants Uzbekistan.

A goalless draw with Colombia then saw Portugal surrender top spot in Group K, leaving them to settle for second place. While they remain one of the tournament favourites, they will need to raise their level as the knockout rounds begin.

Croatia’s campaign has followed a very different path. Zlatko Dalic’s side suffered a disappointing 4-2 defeat to England in their opening match, conceding three second-half goals after staying in the contest for long periods.

However, Croatia responded in typical fashion by grinding out a 1-0 win over Panama before producing a clinical display to beat Ghana 3-1. Those back-to-back victories secured second place in Group L and gave the 2018 finalists plenty of momentum heading into the last 32.

Portugal team news

Roberto Martinez is expected to recall his strongest XI after making changes for the final group match. Joao Neves should return to the midfield alongside Vitinha, allowing Bruno Fernandes to operate in his preferred advanced role.

Cristiano Ronaldo is set to lead the attack once again, with Pedro Neto and Joao Felix providing support from the flanks. At the back, Ruben Dias should continue alongside Renato Veiga in central defence, while Joao Cancelo, Nuno Mendes and Diogo Costa are all expected to retain their places.

Croatia team news

Zlatko Dalic is unlikely to make many changes after Croatia finished the group stage with back-to-back victories. Ante Budimir should continue to lead the attack, while Nikola Vlasic and Martin Baturina are expected to keep their places after impressing against Ghana. Petar Sucic also strengthened his claim for a starting role with his goal last time out and should line up ahead of Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic in an advanced midfield role.

Croatia could remain unchanged at the back too. Ivan Perisic is expected to continue at left-back after replacing Josko Gvardiol in the previous match, with Josip Stanisic on the opposite flank. Marin Pongracic and Josip Sutalo should start in central defence, while Dominik Livakovic continues between the posts.

Head-to-head

CompetitionDateHomeScoreAway
UEFA Nations League17/11/2020France4-2Sweden
UEFA Nations League05/09/2020Sweden0-1France
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)09/06/2017Sweden2-1France
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)11/11/2016France2-1Sweden
International Friendly18/11/2014France1-0Sweden

Extra time on the cards?

Both of these teams have not set the tournament on fire so far and a low scoring cagey affair is expected. Back the draw at 13/5, or for those looking for something from the player props markets, take the 16/5 with Ladbrokes for Bruno Fernandes to provide an assist.

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