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Squawka / News / World Cup / Netherlands vs Morocco: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

Netherlands vs Morocco: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

30 Jun · 02:00 Estadio BBVA · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Brian Brobbey
    3
  • 2
    Morocco
    Ismael Saibari
    3
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Crysencio Summerville
    2
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Cody Gakpo
    2
  • 5
    Morocco
    Gessime Yassine
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    10
  • 2
    Morocco
    Ismael Saibari
    10
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Cody Gakpo
    9
  • 4
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    5
  • 5
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    5
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    7
  • 2
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    6
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Denzel Dumfries
    5
  • 4
    Morocco
    Bilal El Khannouss
    4
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Frenkie de Jong
    4
Assists
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Denzel Dumfries
    2
  • 2
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    2
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Ryan Gravenberch
    2
  • 4
    Morocco
    Soufiane Rahimi
    1
  • 5
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    11
  • 2
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    6
  • 3
    Morocco
    Bilal El Khannouss
    6
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Tijjani Reijnders
    5
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Brian Brobbey
    5
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Jan Paul van Hecke
    288
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Virgil van Dijk
    271
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Frenkie de Jong
    180
  • 4
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    172
  • 5
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    172
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Morocco
    Bilal El Khannouss
    7
  • 2
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    6
  • 3
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    5
  • 4
    Morocco
    Azzedine Ounahi
    4
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Donyell Malen
    4
Interceptions
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Frenkie de Jong
    6
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Ryan Gravenberch
    5
  • 3
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    5
  • 4
    Morocco
    Chadi Riad
    3
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Virgil van Dijk
    3

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01
Verbruggen
15
van de Ven
04
van Dijk
06
Paul van Hecke
22
Dumfries
14
Reijnders
21
de Jong
08
Gravenberch
11
Gakpo
19
Brobbey
18
Malen
11
Saibari
23
El Khannouss
08
Ounahi
10
Díaz
04
Amrabat
24
El Aynaoui
26
Salah-Eddine
18
Riad
14
Diop
02
Hakimi
01
Bounou

League Standings table is not available yet.

Netherlands and Morocco clash in one of the standout Round of 32 fixtures at the 2026 World Cup on Tuesday. Kick-off is scheduled for 2am (UK time) on Tuesday 30th June at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.

The Netherlands won Group F with seven points, scoring 10 goals across three matches and emerging as one of the group stage’s most productive attacking sides. Morocco came through Group C unbeaten, level on seven points with Brazil and behind them only on goal difference. Two of the tournament’s most impressive sides face each other at the first knockout hurdle – and one of them goes home before the Round of 16.

Bet365 UK Netherlands VS Morocco
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Netherlands vs Morocco predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Cody Gakpo to score anytime5/2 @ Sky Bet
(28.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Gakpo has scored in all three group games and carries the momentum of a player in the form of his international career. The Liverpool forward operates from the left and consistently arrives into goalscoring positions with intelligent late runs. Ismael Saibari has scored a goal in each of Morocco’s group games and is a threat going forward, but Morocco’s defensive focus means Gakpo will receive the ball in space on the counter. His finishing quality and positioning make him the standout anytime scorer selection in Monterrey.
Both teams to score1/1 @ Spreadex
(50%)
⭐⭐Morocco have found the net in all three previous meetings with the Netherlands, and Saibari’s three tournament goals demonstrate they can score against any level of opposition. The Netherlands’ defence conceded twice in the group stage including against Japan. A goal came in the first 15 minutes in Morocco’s games against Scotland and Haiti, while it took them just 21 minutes to score in their opener with Brazil. The Dutch netted inside the first five minutes against both Sweden and Tunisia. Both sides carry a real cutting edge and the historical pattern supports goals at both ends.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Netherlands vs Morocco

Netherlands

The Netherlands have been among the most productive attacking sides at this tournament, scoring 10 goals across three group games and establishing themselves as genuine contenders for the title. A 2-2 draw with Japan on matchday one was followed by a breathtaking 5-1 demolition of Sweden and a controlled 3-1 win over Tunisia. Ronald Koeman’s side carry real momentum into the knockout rounds.

Each of the Netherlands’ three group games featured at least four goals, with both teams scoring in every match. That attacking output is extraordinary – but it also carries a warning. The Dutch have conceded four times across three games and Morocco carry the firepower to punish defensive lapses. Virgil van Dijk must lead his backline with authority against a Morocco side that scored in the first 21 minutes of their tournament opener against Brazil.

The Netherlands have famously reached three World Cup finals without ever winning the tournament, finishing runners-up in 1974, 1978 and 2010. Koeman’s squad carries the quality to finally end that wait. But Tuesday’s fixture represents the first genuine test of their knockout credentials – and Morocco are more than capable of derailing those ambitions in Monterrey.

Morocco

Morocco came through Group C unbeaten, drawing Brazil 1-1 before beating Scotland 1-0 and Haiti 4-2. Mohamed Ouahbi’s side demonstrated real quality across all three matchdays – competing with Brazil in a game they arguably should have won, and then showing ruthlessness in attack against Haiti. Seven points from three games reflects a side that knows how to win.

Morocco drew with Brazil on matchday one and Ouahbi has publicly insisted his side will fear nobody in the knockout rounds. That confidence is well-founded. Morocco’s defence is constructed to absorb pressure and beat teams on the counter – exactly the approach that caused Brazil problems on matchday one, when the Atlas Lions won the expected goals battle 1.4 to 1.3.

Saibari has scored in each of Morocco’s group games and now has five goals in his last four matches for the Atlas Lions. The incoming Bayern Munich signing has been the tournament’s most consistent individual performer outside the tournament favourites. Achraf Hakimi has been outstanding throughout and his combination with Brahim Díaz in transition gives Morocco a devastating counter-attacking weapon. Koeman knows exactly what is coming – and will need answers.

Netherlands team news

Ronald Koeman carries no confirmed injury concerns heading into Tuesday’s fixture. Bart Verbruggen continues in goal behind a back four of Denzel Dumfries, Virgil van Dijk, Jan Paul van Hecke and Micky van de Ven. Van Dijk captains the side and provides the leadership and aerial quality Morocco’s set-piece threat demands.

Ryan Gravenberch and Frenkie de Jong anchor the midfield with Tijjani Reijnders operating ahead of them. That trio provides defensive cover without sacrificing quality in possession. Donyell Malen is expected to start on the right, with Gakpo on the left and Brian Brobbey leading the line. Crysencio Summerville and Wout Weghorst offer genuine quality from the bench.

Morocco team news

Noussair Mazraoui, Issa Diop, Ayyoub Bouaddi and Azzedine Ounahi are all expected to return to the starting XI after being rested against Haiti. Ouahbi restores his strongest available side for the biggest game of his tenure as Morocco head coach. Yassine Bounou continues in goal with no fitness concerns confirmed.

Achraf Hakimi returns at right-back. Nayef Aguerd was ruled out of the entire tournament before kick-off with an injury sustained in pre-tournament preparation, so Issa Diop continues alongside Chadi Riad at centre-back with Mazraoui at left-back.

Saibari leads the attack once more, with Brahim Díaz returning alongside him. Bilal El Khannouss and Ounahi provide creative support from midfield. Bouaddi and Yahya El Aynaoui anchor the engine room. Sofyan Amrabat provides experienced defensive cover from the bench.

Head-to-Head

The Netherlands and Morocco have met three times previously. Morocco have scored in every encounter, but the Dutch have come out on top in two encounters. Their only competitive clash came in the group stage of the 1994 World Cup, which ended 2-1 to the Netherlands. Tuesday’s fixture in Monterrey is the first World Cup knockout encounter between these nations – and the historical pattern of Dutch victories combined with Moroccan goals makes for a genuinely compelling betting backdrop.

Which side will find the result they need in the Round of 32?

Both nations enter Tuesday’s fixture knowing that one of the tournament’s most anticipated knockout ties ends here for one of them. The Netherlands carry the attacking momentum and goal-scoring quality to advance. Morocco bring the tactical intelligence, defensive resilience and individual brilliance to cause a major upset.

We’re backing Cody Gakpo to continue his outstanding tournament in Monterrey. 5/2 with Sky Bet for Gakpo to score anytime reflects his relentless form and Morocco’s vulnerability to direct, pacy forwards running in behind their high defensive line.

We also like both teams to score at Evens with Spreadex reflects the attacking quality on both sides, the historical pattern of this head-to-head and the open, transition-heavy nature this fixture promises to deliver.

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