There are a further 24 matches being played across Matchday Three at the 2026 World Cup. We’ve studied the form and data and come up with our three best bets with easyBet Predictions.
With so many matches taking place across such a short space of time, determining the value can be harder than it seems. We’ve done the hard work for you and, using easyBet Predictions new ‘yes’ or ‘no’ formula towards betting, picked our three best value fancies.
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Here are our three top tips in Matchday Three!
easyBet Predictions Matchday Three
Group D – Paraguay vs Australia (Thursday 26th June – 3am)
43% PLACE BETA draw between Paraguay in their crucial 2026 World Cup Group D clash offers excellent value at a 43%, where a £10 stake returns £23.26.
Australia hold second place on goal difference over Paraguay, meaning a draw sends them through while condemning Paraguay to an early exit. That asymmetry is the beating heart of this bet. Australia have every incentive to play conservatively and protect their lead — a point is all they need, and they know it. A win or draw against Paraguay would see Australia guarantee qualification for the knockouts. Expect Popovic’s side to sit deep, stay compact, and frustrate rather than flair.
Neither side can afford another defensive breakdown in transition, making mid-block communication and rapid vertical tracking the decisive elements. Australia will be happy to soak up pressure and hit on the break without overcommitting; Paraguay, minus Almirón, will struggle to break them down. The classic “one team needs a win, the other needs a point” dynamic in World Cup group deciders regularly produces exactly this kind of cagey, drawn-out contest – and at 43%, the market may well be underpricing it.
Group G – Egypt vs Iran (Saturday 27th June – 4am)
40% PLACE BETA Egypt win over Iran in their 2026 World Cup Group G clash offers outstanding value at a 40%, where a £10 stake returns £25.
Egypt have surprised many observers in Group G. Hossam Hassan’s side drew 1-1 with Belgium on Matchday 1 before beating New Zealand 3-1 in Vancouver, making it the first World Cup victory in the country’s modern era. Egypt sit top of Group G on four points and need only a draw against Iran to guarantee their place in the knockout rounds for the first time in their World Cup history. A side riding that wave of momentum and history – knowing a draw is enough – is unlikely to sit back passively. They’ll want to seize the moment and seal qualification with a win.
Iran must push forward and accept the risk that comes with it. Given Egypt’s defensive record in qualifying, where they conceded zero goals across six matches, there is genuine reason to believe they can handle whatever Iran throw at them. The more Iran commit forward in search of the win they desperately need, the more space they leave behind – and with Salah and Marmoush in the side, Egypt are perfectly equipped to punish teams on the counter.
Group L – Croatia vs Ghana (Saturday 27th June – 10pm)
57% PLACE BETA Croatia win over Ghana in their 2026 World Cup Group L clash represents outstanding value at a 57%, where a £10 stake returns £17.54.
Croatia are in danger of leaving the World Cup if they suffer defeat to Ghana, especially a heavy one. That eliminatory pressure typically brings the best out of experienced tournament sides, and Croatia have more experience of high-stakes knockout football than almost anyone in the competition. Croatia were runners-up in 2018 and took bronze medals last time out – this is a group of players who know how to raise their level when it matters most.
The collective belief that comes from a group of players who have won more than any previous Croatian generation is a genuine asset that does not appear in any statistical model. This group knows how to win tournament football. At 40%, the market is underestimating a side with world-class midfield quality, the hunger of a team fighting for survival, and a captain playing the game of his life.
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