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Squawka / News / World Cup / Czech Republic vs Mexico: predictions, betting tips, latest odds and stats

Czech Republic vs Mexico: predictions, betting tips, latest odds and stats

25 Jun · 02:00 Estadio Azteca · FIFA World Cup
M. Chávez 55' J. Quiñones 61'

Betting markets are not available yet.

  1. Live
  2. T. Souček on for T. Holeš
    64'
  3. P. Schick on for A. Hložek
    64'
  4. 64'
    E. Álvarez
  5. 63'
    O. Vargas on for L. Romo
  6. 63'
    S. Giménez on for G. Martínez
  7. 61'
    J. Quiñones
  8. L. Provod on for D. Višinský
    56'
  9. 55'
    M. Chávez
  10. Kick Off
0
Goals
2
10
Shots
8
1
Shots On Target
3
4
Corners Won
0
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
51.9%
Possession
48.1%
0.79
xG
1.42

Match Momentum is not available yet.

01
Kovár
07
Krejcí
04
Hranác
03
Holes
21
Doudera
18
Sadílek
12
Cerv
05
Coufal
26
Visinsky
15
Sulc
09
Hlozek
16
Quiñones
22
Martínez
25
Alvarado
07
Romo
04
Álvarez
19
Mora
20
Chávez
15
Reyes
03
Montes
02
Sánchez
01
Rangel
Substitutes
11 Jan Kuchta
Guillermo Ochoa 13
25 Hugo Sochurek
Jesús Gallardo 23
16 Jindrich Stanek
Érik Lira 06
08 Vladimír Darida
César Huerta 21
17 Lukás Provod
Brian Gutiérrez 26
22 Tomás Soucek
Raúl Jiménez 09
23 Lukás Hornícek
Alexis Vega 10
24 Alexandr Sojka
Álvaro Fidalgo 08
02 David Zima
Johan Vásquez 05
20 Jaroslav Zeleny
Santiago Giménez 11
19 Tomás Chory
Orbelín Pineda 17
10 Patrik Schick
Armando González 14
13 Mojmír Chytil
Carlos Acevedo 12
06 Stepán Chaloupek
Luis Chávez 24
Obed Vargas 18

League Standings table is not available yet.

Czech Republic and Mexico meet in their final Group A fixture at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off scheduled for 2am (UK time) on Thursday at Estadio Banorte. With qualification places still to be finalised, both teams have plenty at stake heading into the final round of group-stage matches.

Mexico have enjoyed an excellent start to the tournament on home soil, winning both of their opening fixtures, including an impressive victory over South Korea last time out. Another positive result here would cement their status as one of the standout teams in the group.

The Czech Republic, meanwhile, were unable to make it back-to-back wins in their second outing, being held to a draw by South Africa. That result leaves them with work to do if they are to guarantee progression to the knockout stages.

Read on for our Czech Republic vs Mexico predictions, best bets and betting tips.

Bet365 UK Czech Republic VS Mexico
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Czech Republic vs Mexico predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Erik Lira 2+ tackles4/5 @ bet365
(55.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Erik Lira has quietly become one of Mexico’s most reliable performers in the middle of the park. The midfielder has completed at least two tackles in both of his World Cup appearances so far, underlining his importance both in and out of possession. With Czech Republic expected to see plenty of the ball, Lira should have further opportunities to showcase his defensive qualities. Given his consistency across the opening two matches, backing him to complete two or more tackles again at 5/6 with bet365 looks a strong play.
Under 2.5 Goals5/6 @ Ladbrokes
(54.5%)
⭐⭐Neither side has been particularly prolific in front of goal at this World Cup. Mexico are averaging 12 shots per game, while Czech Republic have managed just 10.5, suggesting clear-cut chances could be at a premium in this contest. Furthermore, low-scoring matches have become a familiar theme for Mexico. Eight of their last 10 games have produced two goals or fewer, so another tight encounter could be on the cards when these sides meet in their final Group A fixture.

How both teams go into Czech Republic vs Mexico

Czech Republic head into their final Group A match knowing only a win is likely to keep their World Cup hopes alive. Miroslav Koubek’s side have collected just one point from their opening two games and cannot afford another slip-up against tournament hosts Mexico.

Narodak suffered a narrow defeat to South Korea despite taking the lead, before drawing with South Africa after conceding a late equaliser. They currently sit third in the group, but history offers some encouragement, with Czech Republic winning their only previous meeting with Mexico 2-1 back in 2000.

Mexico have enjoyed the perfect start to their home World Cup, winning both of their opening matches without conceding a goal. Victories over South Africa and South Korea have lifted Javier Aguirre’s side to the top of Group A and secured their place in the knockout rounds with a game to spare.

El Tricolor now have the opportunity to seal top spot in the group and secure a more favourable path through the knockout stages. Avoiding defeat against Czech Republic would achieve that objective, and Mexico will take confidence from the form that has seen them score three goals and keep two clean sheets so far.

Czech Republic team news

Miroslav Koubek is unlikely to make many changes after Czech Republic produced an improved display against South Africa. With victory essential to keep their World Cup hopes alive, the manager may stick with the side that looked far more balanced in their second group match.

Adam Hlozek and Patrik Schick formed an effective partnership in attack and are expected to continue together, with Vladimir Darida operating behind them. Elsewhere, Michal Sadilek should retain his place after scoring last time out, while Alexandr Sojka is set to continue at left wing-back following an impressive performance against South Africa.

Mexico team news

Mexico have already secured their place in the knockout rounds, so Javier Aguirre faces a decision over how heavily he rotates his side. Several squad players could come into contention, while regular starters may receive a well-earned rest ahead of the round of 32.

Cesar Montes is available again and could return in defence, while Guillermo Ochoa may get an opportunity in goal. Further forward, Santiago Gimenez is pushing to start in attack, with Gilberto Mora, Luis Chavez and Luis Romo also among those hoping for more minutes. Even so, Aguirre is unlikely to make wholesale changes as he looks to maintain momentum and secure top spot in Group A.

Head-to-head

The Czech Republic and Mexico have only ever played once. The game came in the Lunar New Year Cup that was played in Hong Kong in 2000. Czech Republic came out 2-1 winners.

A low-scoring affair on the cards

With qualification and group positions still on the line, a cautious contest could be in store at the Estadio Banorte. Czech Republic need a positive result to keep their World Cup hopes alive, while Mexico have little reason to take unnecessary risks after securing their place in the knockout rounds.

As a result, chances may be limited and patience could prove key. Both teams have generally kept games tight during the group stage, making under 2.5 goals at 5/6 with Ladbrokes an appealing option.

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