Sweden host Poland in a Nations League Group B4 tie at the Strawberry Arena in Solna on Monday (7.45pm), a rematch of March’s World Cup play-off final at the same ground, with the hosts top of the group and Poland still searching for their spark.
Anthony Eadson’s Sweden vs Poland predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson backs Viktor Gyokeres to fire Sweden to another win.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyokeres to score anytime | 13/8 (Sky Bet) | Viktor Gyokeres has scored seven goals in his last eight Sweden appearances, including a hat-trick in the 3-1 play-off semi-final win in Ukraine and the 88th-minute winner against Poland in March. He added the decisive second goal in Friday’s 2-1 win over Romania, and with Alexander Isak ruled out and sent back to Liverpool with a thigh problem, he is Sweden’s main striker and likely penalty taker. Poland conceded three in each of their last two meetings with Sweden, and Sky Bet’s 13/8 is a big price for a striker in this sort of form. |
| Sweden to win and both teams to score | 11/4 (bet365) | Both teams have scored in ten of Sweden’s last 11 internationals, and they have not kept a clean sheet in 16 games. Poland found the net in seven of their last eight World Cup qualifiers, and two of the last three meetings finished 3-2 to Sweden, at Euro 2020 and in March’s play-off final. Sweden are favourites and top of the group after beating Romania, while Poland are winless in four. Bet365’s 11/4 on a Sweden win with goals at both ends fits how this fixture tends to go. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Sweden go into the game
Sweden beat Romania 2-1 in Solna to go top of Group B4, Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres scoring, but Isak has since been ruled out with a thigh problem, and Emil Holm and Albin Ekdal have also left the squad.
Graham Potter’s side beat Poland 3-2 at this ground in March’s play-off final, but they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 16 games.
How Poland go into the game
Poland were held to a goalless draw by Bosnia in Warsaw, and they are now winless in four games and in their last six Nations League matches.
Robert Lewandowski, 38, is still hunting his first goal of the campaign after playing 87 minutes against Bosnia, and Jakub Kaminski went off injured in that game. Jan Urban’s side need a result on the road.
Sweden vs Poland head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 | Sweden | 3-2 | Poland |
| 29/03/22 | Poland | 2-0 | Sweden |
| 23/06/21 | Sweden | 3-2 | Poland |
Two of the last three meetings finished 3-2 to Sweden, at Euro 2020 and in March’s World Cup play-off final in Solna, while Poland won the 2022 play-off final 2-0. Across seven meetings, Sweden have won five and Poland two, with an average of more than three goals a game.
Sweden vs Poland predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyokeres to score anytime | 13/8 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Seven goals in his last eight Sweden games. |
| Sweden to win and both teams to score | 11/4 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | No Sweden clean sheet in 16 games. |
| Sweden to win | 13/12 (BoyleSports) | ⭐⭐ | Top of the group and at home. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 (BoyleSports) | ⭐⭐ | Meetings average more than three goals. |
Sweden vs Poland score prediction
Top of the group, at home and having beaten Poland here in March, the hosts can edge a rematch with goals in it against a Poland side yet to click. Score prediction: Sweden 2-1 Poland.
