- Full Time
- C. Bragg on for K. Matsuki90 + 5'
- R. Akachukwu on for F. Azaz90 + 5'
- R. Manning (P)90 + 4'
- 90 + 3'S. Ingelsson
- S. Edozie on for T. Fellows90'
- D. Mubama89'
- 86'S. Ingelsson
- 82'M. Talovierov
- 81'M. Talovierov on for E. Bocat
- 81'T. Rigo on for D. Soumaré
- L. Dobbin on for Léo Scienza78'
- D. Mubama on for C. Larin78'
- 70'S. Ingelsson on for S. Gallagher
- 62'R. Boženík on for G. Hirst
- 62'E. Galbraith
- R. Manning52'
- F. Downes50'
- Half Time
- 38'S. Gallagher
- 26'E. Galbraith
- J. Bree19'
- C. Larin8'
- Kick Off
-
1
Cyle Larin1 - 2Ryan Manning1
- 3
Ethan Galbraith1
- 1Cyle Larin5
- 2Ryan Manning5
- 3George Hirst3
- 1Ryan Manning3
- 2Finn Azaz2
- 3Cyle Larin1
- 1Flynn Downes1
- 2Finn Azaz1
- 3Sam Gallagher1
- 1Sorba Thomas5
- 2Finn Azaz4
- 3Bae Jun-Ho3
- 1Jack Stephens66
- 2Flynn Downes50
- 3Nathan Wood48
- 1Léo Scienza3
- 2Bae Jun-Ho2
- 3Kuryu Matsuki1
- 1Sam Gallagher3
- 2Flynn Downes2
- 3Kuryu Matsuki2
Southampton vs Stoke City is a 3pm kick-off at St Mary’s, with the promotion-chasing hosts strong favourites against a mid-table Stoke side.
Southampton reached the play-offs last season and start among the promotion favourites, while Stoke will look to frustrate. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 3pm BST on Saturday, August 22nd.
Premium Tips
Andy is with the hosts, whose quality should tell at home, though Stoke have a habit of springing a result in this fixture.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton to win, Cyle Larin to score anytime and Ben Pearson to be booked | 9/2 | Southampton’s superior quality should prove decisive at St Mary’s, even with Stoke’s habit of springing a result in this fixture. Larin leads the home attack and is the obvious focal point to open the scoring, while Pearson’s combative, high-tempo approach in central midfield makes a card a constant threat against a Southampton side well-drilled on the ball. |
| Divin Mubama, Finn Azaz and Samuel Edozie over 0.5 shots on target each | 9/5 | Both sides carry attacking threat, so chances for each of these three to test the goalkeeper look plentiful. Mubama offers a lively outlet alongside Larin in a Southampton attack expected to dominate the ball, while Azaz and Edozie should get regular joy in wide and counter-attacking areas, giving each a fair route to at least one shot on target. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Southampton go into the game
Southampton finished fourth last season on 80 points, losing out in the play-offs but confirming their status among the division’s strongest. Promotion is very much the aim again this term.
Cyle Larin leads the line, with Divin Mubama and Lewis Dobbin adding to a dangerous attack. Making St Mary’s a fortress is central to their promotion push.
How Stoke City go into the game
Stoke finished 17th last season on 55 points, a mid-table campaign short of their ambitions. Kicking on towards the top half is the target this term.
The Potters are well organised and have a good recent record against Southampton, winning at St Mary’s last season. Springing another surprise is the plan.
Southampton vs Stoke City head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 | Stoke City | 0-2 | Southampton |
| 23/08/25 | Southampton | 1-2 | Stoke City |
| 29/10/24 | Southampton | 3-2 | Stoke City |
| 27/04/24 | Southampton | 1-0 | Stoke City |
| 03/10/23 | Stoke City | 0-1 | Southampton |
Southampton edge the recent record with three wins to Stoke’s two, but the Potters won this exact fixture 2-1 at St Mary’s last season and will not fear the trip.
Southampton vs Stoke City predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton to win | 8/13 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Promotion favourites at home. |
| Cyle Larin anytime scorer | 6/5 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Leads the Southampton line. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8/13 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Southampton’s firepower at home. |
| Both teams to score | 8/13 | ⭐⭐ | Stoke have found the net in this fixture. |
| Southampton to win 2-1 | 17/2 | ⭐⭐ | Our headline scoreline for a home win. |
Southampton vs Stoke City score prediction
Stoke won at St Mary’s last season and will make it awkward, but Southampton’s quality and promotion ambitions should tell over 90 minutes. We expect the Saints to make a winning start at home. Score prediction: Southampton 2-1 Stoke City.
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