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Squawka / News / Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions and betting tips: Atleti edge Pizjuan test

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions and betting tips: Atleti edge Pizjuan test

29 Aug · 20:30 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Primera División
Miguel Sierra   66'
Álex Baena   4', 33' A. Lookman   26'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 5'
    Marc Pubill
  3. G. Suazo
    90 + 1'
  4. Isaac Romero
    89'
  5. 85'
    Rodrigo Mendoza on for Álex Baena
  6. 85'
    J. Cardoso on for M. Hjulmand
  7. Alfon González on for Miguel Sierra
    80'
  8. 72'
    Koke on for Lee Kang-In
  9. Isaac Romero on for Peque Fernández
    68'
  10. 66'
    Arnau Ortiz on for A. Lookman
  11. 66'
    J. Giménez on for Marcos Llorente
  12. Miguel Sierra
    66'
  13. G. Kochorashvili on for Jon Guridi
    55'
  14. C. Ejuke on for Julio Díaz
    55'
  15. Half Time
  16. 45 + 4'
    Marcos Llorente
  17. 33'
    Álex Baena
  18. 26'
    A. Lookman
  19. 4'
    Álex Baena
  20. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
42.4% Possession 57.6%
1 Goals 3
20 Shots 12
5 Shots On Target 5
4 Corners Won 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1.20 xG 1.17
Shooting
1 Goals 3
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots On Target 5
Defending
3 Goals Conceded 1
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
371 Total Passes 532
302 Accurate Passes 455
Possession
42.4% Possession 57.6%
4 Corners 2
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
20 Fouls 16
Goals
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    2
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Ademola Lookman
    1
  • 3
    Sevilla
    Miguel Sierra
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    4
  • 2
    Sevilla
    Miguel Sierra
    4
  • 3
    Sevilla
    Peque Fernández
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Morten Hjulmand
    2
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    2
  • 3
    Sevilla
    Lucien Agoumé
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    1
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    1
  • 3
    Sevilla
    Robbie Ure
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Sevilla
    Gabriel Suazo
    5
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    3
  • 3
    Sevilla
    Peque Fernández
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    71
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    62
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Marc Pubill
    51
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Sevilla
    Chidera Ejuke
    6
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    4
  • 3
    Sevilla
    Miguel Sierra
    4
Interceptions
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Marcos Llorente
    3
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    2
01
Vlachodimos
17
Suazo
04
Salas
05
Castrín
02
Iglesias
18
Guridi
06
Agoumé
03
Díaz
10
Fernández
30
Sierra
09
Ure
10
Baena
07
Kang-In
11
Lookman
23
Hjulmand
08
Barrios
20
Simeone
22
Grimaldo
17
Hancko
18
Pubill
14
Llorente
13
Oblak
Substitutes
34 Iker Munoz 
28 Manu Bueno 
13 Fran González 
16 Isaac Romero 
08 Giorgi Kochorashvili 
22 José Ángel Carmona 
21 Chidera Ejuke 
26 Manuel Ángel Castillo 
07 Alfon González 
27 Nico Guillén 
12 Arouna Sangante 
37 Ibrahima Sow 
Substitutes
 Jorge Castillo 46
 Rodrigo Mendoza 04
 Cubo 29
 Cristian Romero 21
 Johnny Cardoso 05
 Dani Martinez 30
 José María Giménez 02
 Arnau Ortiz 16
 Juan Musso 01
 Koke 06
 Jorge Domínguez 27
 Carlos Martín 12

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid is a La Liga clash at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan on Saturday, with the visitors fancied despite a battling start from the hosts.

Sevilla won at Athletic Club last time out while Atletico were held by Villarreal, setting up a tough test. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Andy leans towards Atletico Madrid, whose greater strength in depth should tell at a demanding Pizjuan.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score16/5Atlético have dominated this fixture, winning six of the last eight with no draws and outscoring Sevilla 19-8. Last season they scored 62 and conceded 44, while Sevilla managed 46 but shipped 60, so Atlético’s attack meets a defence conceding 1.6 per game, backing the win. Both teams to score is supported by Sevilla scoring 1.2 per game against an Atlético side that still conceded 44, and four of the last eight meetings saw both teams net. The caveat is venue: Sevilla won two of their last four home games against Atlético, including 2-1 last season.
Giuliano Simeone to score anytime and be booked14/1This is the thinnest selection on the data. Simeone scored just four league goals in 33 appearances last season, around one every eight games, operating more as a creator with six assists, 36 shots and 14 on target, so the anytime price is speculative rather than grounded. The booking leg is weaker still: he collected only three yellow cards across those 33 matches while committing 21 fouls, a low-discipline profile for a wide midfielder averaging under one foul per game. Both parts require him to beat his established rates in a single match rather than reflecting any pattern.

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How Sevilla go into the game

Sevilla impressed with a 3-1 win at Athletic Club last time out, an eye-catching away display. The Pizjuan will be rocking as they look to take a scalp against Atletico.

Sevilla can be dangerous at home and that win will breed confidence. Upsetting one of the title contenders would mark a fine start to the season.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid were held to a 2-2 draw by Villarreal last time out, dropping points they will have expected to win. Diego Simeone’s side will be eager to respond.

Well-drilled and deep in quality, Atletico have the squad to challenge for the title. The Pizjuan is a tough venue, but they should have enough to take something.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: 2025-26 by the numbers

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26Sevilla2-1Atlético Madrid
01/11/25Atlético Madrid3-0Sevilla
06/04/25Sevilla1-2Atlético Madrid
08/12/24Atlético Madrid4-3Sevilla
11/02/24Sevilla1-0Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid have edged the recent series, winning three of the last five with Sevilla taking two.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atletico Madrid or draw (Double Chance)4/9⭐⭐⭐Cover on the title contenders.
Both teams to score4/5⭐⭐⭐Both carry a threat.
Atletico Madrid to win21/20⭐⭐Quality edge on the road.
Over 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐An open game is possible.
Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid7/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid score prediction

Sevilla will make it difficult at a raucous Pizjuan, but Atletico’s greater quality and depth should just about tell. Expect a competitive contest the visitors edge. Score prediction: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid.

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