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Squawka / News / Previews / Serbia vs Germany predictions and betting tips: Germany to tighten their grip in Belgrade

Serbia vs Germany predictions and betting tips: Germany to tighten their grip in Belgrade

Serbia host Germany in Belgrade on Friday 13 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with the Nations League visitors heavy favourites to make it a miserable campaign even worse for their hosts.

Germany have been in control of League A Group 2, while Serbia have yet to get off the mark and prop up the table. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and the smart money is firmly on the visitors.

Premium Tips

Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Serbia vs Germany, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Germany to win to nil7/5 (William Hill)Germany are as short as 2/7 just to win, which holds little appeal, so we would rather take them to win to nil at a far bigger price. Julian Nagelsmann’s side have been comfortably the class act in this group, and they beat Serbia 1-0 in the reverse fixture without ever looking troubled. Serbia have struggled badly throughout the campaign, so another clean sheet for a well-drilled Germany looks a live possibility. At 7/5 with William Hill, this is where the value lies against a backdrop of such a short outright price.
Germany to win 3-08/1 (bet365)Serbia are pointless and struggling at the foot of the group, while Germany have the firepower to run up a score when they get on top. We are expecting the visitors to take control and add to their lead as the game opens up, so a comfortable 3-0 away win is our headline score prediction. At 8/1 with bet365 it is a tempting price on a scoreline that would surprise nobody given the gulf in form between these two.

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How Serbia go into the game

Serbia have endured a campaign to forget, sitting bottom of League A Group 2 and still searching for their first point of the section. Veljko Paunovic took over the national side in October 2025 after Dragan Stojkovic’s departure, and turning things around has proved a steep task.

Last time out they were beaten 2-1 by group leaders Netherlands, and that defeat followed a 1-0 loss at home to Germany earlier in the campaign. The goals have dried up and the results have not come, leaving them in danger of a relegation play-off.

On home soil in Belgrade they will hope for a reaction from a passionate crowd, but the task of containing Germany is about as tough as it gets in this group.

How Germany go into the game

Germany have been in a different class to much of this group under Julian Nagelsmann, who signed a contract extension that keeps him in charge through to Euro 2028. His side have looked a well-oiled unit and go into this round among the group’s leading contenders.

They beat Serbia 1-0 in the reverse fixture and ground out a disciplined 0-0 draw away to Greece last time out, a result that underlined their defensive organisation. That solidity, allied to their attacking talent, makes them a formidable proposition on the road.

Nagelsmann has used these games to develop his squad with an eye on the next World Cup, and the strength in depth at his disposal means he can freshen things up without any real drop in quality.

Serbia vs Germany head-to-head

Germany got the better of Serbia 1-0 when the pair met earlier in this Nations League campaign, and that result reflects the recent balance of power between them. Serbia can point to a famous 1-0 win over Germany at the 2010 World Cup, but meetings have been rare and the visitors arrive as strong favourites to make it two wins from two against them this season.

Serbia vs Germany predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Germany to win2/7 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐⭐Germany beat Serbia 1-0 in the reverse fixture and have been the group’s standout side.
Both teams to score – No11/10 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐Serbia have yet to pick up a point and the goals have dried up at the wrong end.
Over 2.5 goals2/5 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐⭐Nagelsmann’s side carry a serious attacking threat and should get on top here.
Serbia 0-3 Germany8/1 (bet365)⭐⭐The visitors have the depth to pull clear once the game opens up.

Serbia vs Germany score prediction

It is hard to make a case for the hosts here. Serbia are rooted to the bottom of the group without a point to their name, their confidence is low and the goals have deserted them. Germany, by contrast, have been excellent, beating Serbia already this campaign and backing it up with a battling draw in Greece. We expect Nagelsmann’s side to dominate possession, keep things tight at the back and pull away as the game wears on, so a comfortable and clean away win is our call, with Anthony Eadson backing a 3-0 Germany victory. Score prediction: Serbia 0-3 Germany.

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