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Squawka / News / Previews / Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions and betting tips: Goals on the cards in Mapei relegation scrap

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions and betting tips: Goals on the cards in Mapei relegation scrap

Mon 2 November, 17:30 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Predictions are not available for this match yet.

Sassuolo
2 Sassuolo Wins
1 Draws
2 Fiorentina Wins
Fiorentina
Head to head stats
6 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 6
10 Yellow Cards 13
16 Corners Won 30
43 Shots 77
33 Tackles Won 32
Fiorentina
0 - 0
Sassuolo
Serie A · 26 Apr 2026
Sassuolo
3 - 1
Fiorentina
Serie A · 06 Dec 2025
Fiorentina
5 - 1
Sassuolo
Serie A · 28 Apr 2024
Sassuolo
1 - 0
Fiorentina
Serie A · 06 Jan 2024
Sassuolo
1 - 3
Fiorentina
Serie A · 02 Jun 2023
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Serie A 2026/2027
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Season Stats
9 Matches played 9
14 Goals 11
22 Goals Conceded 21
126 Shots 149
46 Shots On Target 44
46.7% Possession 46%
99 Chances Created 108
85 Fouls 101
62 Take-Ons Completed 82
144 Tackles Made 142
13 Yellow Cards 20
1 Red Cards 0
36 Corners Won 46
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Fiorentina Fiorentina

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

49
Muric
50
Bakola
18
Matic
17
Adzic
09
Bowie

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions point to goals at both ends when two of Serie A‘s leakiest defences meet at the Mapei Stadium on Monday 2 November, kick-off 5.30pm (UK time).

The hosts sit 15th and have lost five of their nine games, while the visitors are 19th and have taken just four points from eight. Neither side has kept a clean sheet all season, so the betting leans firmly towards goals.

A combined 41 goals have been conceded across the pair this season, and both teams go into a relegation six-pointer that could shape the lower reaches of the table for weeks to come.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson has found two bets that lean into the goals and the nerves at the Mapei Stadium.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Over 3.5 goals29/20 (William Hill)Neither of these sides has kept a clean sheet in Serie A this season, and the goals have flown in at both ends. Sassuolo have shipped 22 in nine games and scored 14 of their own, while Fiorentina have conceded 19 and found the net in six of their eight. Sassuolo’s matches have averaged four goals apiece, with a 6-2 home loss to Lazio last time out the latest example. With two leaky defences and plenty of nerves on show, the over 3.5 line looks the right side of a game that should stretch end to end.
Draw and both teams to score16/5 (William Hill)A score draw makes plenty of sense in a nervy relegation six-pointer. Sassuolo have drawn two of their nine games and were held 1-1 at home by Milan earlier in this run, so they are not without resistance at the Mapei. Both defences have leaked in every outing, with Sassuolo yet to keep a clean sheet and Fiorentina shipping 19 goals in eight. Fiorentina still carry a threat on the road, having won 4-2 at Venezia, so a 2-2 type finish with both teams scoring looks a fair price at better than 3/1.

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How Sassuolo go into the game

Sassuolo sit 15th in the Serie A table on eight points, a return of two wins, two draws and five defeats from their opening nine games. Home form has been their lifeline, with two wins and only one defeat in four at the Mapei, where they have scored eight and conceded 10. The concern is a defence that has yet to keep a clean sheet all season.

Recent weeks have been tough, with Sassuolo winless in their last five in the league. They were hammered 6-2 at home by Lazio last time out, and lost at Como and Frosinone earlier in that run. With goals a certainty at one end, the hosts will back themselves to cause problems again, even if shutting Fiorentina out looks beyond them.

How Fiorentina go into the game

Fiorentina arrive 19th in the table, with a single win and just four points to show from eight matches. It has been a wretched start for the Viola, who have conceded 19 goals already and are yet to register a clean sheet of their own. On the road they have won once, drawn none and lost three, scoring six and shipping 10 in those four away trips.

Fiorentina do at least carry a threat going forward, having scored in six of their eight games. They come into this one beaten 2-1 at Inter last time out, a third straight defeat that has left them deep in trouble. Their one bright spot on the road was a 4-2 win at Venezia, but they will need to defend far better if they are to climb clear of danger, up against a Sassuolo back line that concedes in every game.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: form guide and current league standing

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26Fiorentina0-0Sassuolo
06/12/25Sassuolo3-1Fiorentina
28/04/24Fiorentina5-1Sassuolo
06/01/24Sassuolo1-0Fiorentina
02/06/23Sassuolo1-3Fiorentina

Recent meetings between these two have been competitive and often tight. The sides shared a goalless draw at the Artemio Franchi last season, while Sassuolo won 3-1 at home in December 2025. Fiorentina’s heaviest win in the run was a 5-1 success in April 2024, and honours are even across the last five Serie A meetings, with two wins apiece and a draw.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Over 3.5 goals29/20 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐Neither of these sides has kept a clean sheet in Serie A this season, and the goals have flown in at both ends.
Draw and both teams to score16/5 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐A score draw makes plenty of sense in a nervy relegation six-pointer.
Draw11/4 (Betfred)⭐⭐⭐Neither side has won more than twice all season, and nervy six-pointers like this often settle for a share of the spoils.
Both teams to score8/15 (Betway)⭐⭐⭐⭐Sassuolo have conceded in every match this season, and Fiorentina have scored in six of their eight.
Over 2.5 goals3/5 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐⭐Sassuolo’s nine games have averaged four goals apiece, and clean sheets have been non-existent at both clubs.
2-210/1 (bet365)⭐⭐The pair have conceded 41 goals between them this season, and a high-scoring draw is a realistic outcome.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina score prediction

Expect goals at both ends at the Mapei. Neither of these sides can keep the ball out of their own net, and with both desperate for points a score draw looks the likeliest outcome. Score prediction: Sassuolo 2-2 Fiorentina.

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