San Marino host Belarus in the Nations League at the Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle on Thursday 12 November, a 7.45pm (UK time) kick-off that pits the group’s bottom side against promotion-chasing visitors.
Belarus won the reverse meeting 4-0 last month and sit well placed in League C, Group 1, while San Marino are still searching for their first point of the campaign. We have worked through the San Marino vs Belarus odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson has studied the San Marino vs Belarus odds and expects the visitors to control the game and add to their goal difference.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 6/4 (bet365) | Belarus put four past San Marino without reply when the sides met last month, and the hosts have conceded 16 goals across their four games in this group. With Belarus chasing goal difference in a tight promotion race and San Marino offering little resistance at the back, Over 3.5 goals at 6/4 looks a fair reflection of how one-sided this tie should be. |
| San Marino 0-4 Belarus | 15/2 (bet365) | This is the exact scoreline Belarus posted in the reverse fixture, and it fits the pattern of the group: the visitors have kept two clean sheets in their last four, while San Marino have scored just once all campaign. A repeat 0-4 at 15/2 is the standout price for backers who fancy another comfortable away win to nil. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How San Marino go into the game
San Marino earned a historic promotion to League C last season, their first step up the Nations League ladder, and the gap in level has told since. They sit bottom of Group 1 with no points from four matches, having conceded 16 and scored once.
Last time out they lost 2-1 away to Albania, a result that at least brought their only goal of the group. Before that came defeats to Belarus (0-4), Albania (0-3) and Finland (0-7), so Roberto Cevoli‘s side arrive knowing clean sheets and points have been hard to come by at this level.
How Belarus go into the game
Belarus are right in the promotion mix, having won two of their last four and kept a clean sheet in both. They beat San Marino 4-0 and then edged Finland 1-0, a run that has lifted them up Group 1.
Those wins followed a 0-0 draw with Finland and a 2-0 defeat to Albania, so Viktor Goncharenko‘s team have tightened up after a slow start. With a return game against the group’s weakest side next, Belarus will fancy another three points and a boost to their goal difference.
San Marino vs Belarus head-to-head
These sides met only last month in this same group, when Belarus ran out 4-0 winners. That remains their most recent and most relevant meeting, and it underlines the gulf between a Belarus side pushing for promotion and a San Marino team adjusting to life in League C. We expect the visitors to carry that form into Serravalle.
San Marino vs Belarus predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 1/7 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Belarus won the reverse 4-0 and have kept two clean sheets in their last four outings. |
| Both teams to score – No | 2/5 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | San Marino have managed just one goal in four group games and failed to score in three of them. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Belarus have scored five across their last two wins and face the group’s leakiest defence. |
| San Marino 0-4 Belarus | 15/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The exact scoreline Belarus posted when these teams met last month. |
San Marino vs Belarus score prediction
Belarus have the quality and the recent evidence on their side, having won this exact fixture 4-0 only last month, and they will be eager to pad their goal difference in a close promotion race. San Marino will dig in and a draw would be a result beyond their recent level, so we expect the visitors to win comfortably and keep another clean sheet. Score prediction: San Marino 0-4 Belarus.
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