The start of the Premier League season is always a popular time for spread betting and with the 2025-26 campaign fast approaching, Spreadex have rolled out the markets that spread bettors will want to dig into.
New to Spread Betting?
The main difference with spread betting is that a punter is given a spread of numbers and will then pick whether what will happen is above or below that spread. The amount of ‘points’ you win or lose is multiplied by your stake.
In regular betting, if you have a £5 bet and it loses, you have lost £5. In spread betting, if you are wrong by 10 points, that is multiplied by your stake, so you are down £50. This is a huge difference and why spread betting has a niche clientele.
Manchester City V Bournemouth might have a total goal spread of 4.25-4.4, given the expected margin of victory for a high-scoring team with home-field advantage. You sell if you think there will be four goals or less and buy if there are five goals or more.
The most significant difference is that when you win or lose, your stake is multiplied by how many points the result was on either side of the spread.
An easier way to show this is cricket. Take a Kent V Hampshire Twenty20 game where the total game runs spread is 365-375.
If we place a £5 stake on buy and there are 380 runs, we win £5 X 5 runs, so a £25 profit. If there are only 355, then our £5 is multiplied by 10, and we lose £50! It’s crucial to understand that, unlike a standard bet, we won’t lose our stake if we get it wrong – we lose it multiplied by how far wrong we were!
SpreadEx Sign-Up Offer:
SpreadEx are offering new customers the chance to get £60 in free bets when they join and place £10 in qualifying bets.
To claim this offer, follow these steps:
- Create your account by clicking this link or the image below.
- Register for your account by adding your details. It only takes a few minutes.
- Make your first deposit then place a £10 single or £10 each-way fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2
- Get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets on consecutive days and a £1 racing Race Index spread bet
Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. 18+ www.gambleaware.org. Place a £10 fixed odds single or £10 each-way bet at minimum odds of 1/2 and get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets and a £1 racing Race Index spread bet.
Liverpool won their 20th title last season finishing with 84 points with Arsenal 10 points back in second and Man City a further three points back in third. The current spread for Liverpool’s total points for the upcoming season is 79-80.5 points so those who fancy The Reds to equal or better last term’s performance can buy at 80.5 and make a profit if they reach 81 points or more regardless of their finishing position.
Other interesting teams to note in the Points market are Arsenal (78-79.5) and Man City (77.5-79) who are both predicted to improve upon their tallies of 74 and 71 points respectively from last season and Chelsea (69-70.5) who are expected to perform similarly to last season’s fourth place finish with 69 points.
Manchester United’s endured their worst ever Premier League season in 24/25 finishing with just 42 points and they are expected to gain 57-58.5 this time around. With no European distractions and a promising pre-season there may be a few buyers at 58.5 points with the expectation that they could be challenging for the top four which would generally mean hitting well above 60 points. But the risk is that they perform similarly to last year which would generate a significant loss.
Southampton finished at the foot of the 24/25 Premier League table with just 12 points and the lowest rated team for the upcoming season is Burnley who have been given a 27.5-29 point spread. If you think they’ll register fewer points, you can sell and make a profit if the Clarets finish with 27 points or fewer. The Premier League outright index operates on a 60-40-20-10-5-0 point scale, based on finishing position, with Liverpool commanding the favourite spot and available to sell at 33 or buy at 37. Man City are quoted at 31-35 and Arsenal at 30-34.
On the flip side, the relegation index is based on the teams who generate the fewest points on a scale of 50-25-10-0. Burnley (25-29) and Sunderland (22-26) are the teams expected to be the main contenders here.
Beyond team markets, Spreadex’s player goals spreads offer some more potential. Take Everton’s new signing Thierno Barry, available to sell at 8.25 or buy at 9.25 goals. With 61 career goals in 130 appearances so far, including 11 in La Liga last season, the 22 year old is clearly on an upward trajectory. Backing the buy side may pay off handsomely if he hits the ground running in the Premier League.
Contrast that with Bruno Fernandes, available to sell at 9.5 goals. Last season, Fernandes carried a heavy goalscoring load amid shaky support from Hojlund and Zirkzee but only finished the campaign with eight goals to his name in the Premier League. With fresh recruits Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbuemo arriving to share the burden, Fernandes’s may find himself in a deeper role, making the sell side an astute position.
Spreadex’s season specials could also provide fertile ground. The total goals spread at 1130-1150 suggests a modest bump in scoring compared to last year’s 1115 tally. The hat-trick market, with a sell at 12 and buy at 13.5, looks balanced given the dozen hat-tricks recorded last season. Meanwhile, the red card spread at 52 could offer value, with just one more sending-off required than last term for punters to make a profit on that particular market.
For those who know how to interpret spreads, manage stakes, and exploit inefficiencies, these markets offer more than just bets—they offer calculated opportunities. The key is to stay sharp, size your positions carefully, and keep an eye on early season form to pivot quickly.