With Bologna outperforming their expected goals and Hellas Verona languishing near the foot of the table, this Serie A clash at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi on Sunday promises a revealing test of finishing quality versus grit. Kick-off Thursday 15 January at 5:30pm, can Verona finally convert chances, or will Bologna’s clinical edge prove decisive?
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on form and underlying stats, our top betting recommendations are below. Our strongest confidence is with Bologna to win, fuelled by their attacking efficiency and Verona’s struggles in both boxes.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna to Win | 14/5 @ Betfair (26.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Bologna are nine places and 14 points above Verona, have scored 11 more, and are converting at a remarkable rate (26 goals from 12.14 xG). Verona have just two wins all season and a -16 goal difference. |
| Riccardo Orsolini Anytime Scorer | 2/1 @ bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Orsolini is Bologna’s top threat (6 goals, 41.9% shot accuracy), facing a Verona defence conceding 31 in 19. He also averages 0.5 big chance assists per game. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
Bologna have established themselves in the top half with a blend of attacking verve and defensive solidity, while Hellas Verona are mired in a relegation scrap, winning just two of their 19 games. Bologna’s goal difference (+6) is a stark contrast to Verona’s (-16), underlining the gulf in performance.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 9 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| Hellas Verona | 19 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 13 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna): 6 goals (0.32 per game), 41.9% shot accuracy, 16 big chance assists – Bologna’s main creative and scoring threat.
- Giovane Santana (Hellas Verona): 4 assists, 26 big chance assists, 65.5% shot accuracy – Verona’s chief creator and also a goal threat.
- Ciro Immobile (Bologna): 2/1 anytime scorer with CopyBet (33.3% implied) – still a proven poacher if given chances.
- Thijs Dallinga (Bologna): 2/1 anytime scorer with Betfred (33.3% implied) – adds depth to Bologna’s attacking options.
Head-to-Head
Last 6 Meetings
Bologna hold the upper hand recently, with three wins and just one defeat in the last six meetings, though draws have also been common.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09/03/25 | Hellas Verona 1-2 Bologna | Serie A |
| 30/12/24 | Bologna 2-3 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| 23/02/24 | Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| 18/09/23 | Hellas Verona 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| 21/04/23 | Hellas Verona 2-1 Bologna | Serie A |
| 21/08/22 | Bologna 1-1 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Bologna’s clinical finishing and superior form overcome Verona’s home resistance? The gulf in efficiency and quality between the teams is hard to ignore, with Riccardo Orsolini offering both goals and creativity for the visitors. For those seeking value, backing Bologna to win at 14/5 with Betfair (26.3% implied) looks the standout option, while the offer from Betfred is well worth considering for new punters.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
