Valencia welcome Osasuna to the Estadio de Mestalla this Sunday, with both sides eager to turn mid-table ambitions into a late-season La Liga charge.
The contest kicks off at 15:15 and pits a home side desperate to halt their slide against an Osasuna outfit who have quietly climbed the table on the back of key attacking contributions. With only one defeat for Osasuna in the last three head-to-heads and just seven points separating the teams, there’s more at stake than the league standings suggest.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Osasuna’s superior away form and Valencia’s defensive vulnerabilities, our leading recommendation is a result in favour of the visitors. We also see value in the anytime scorer and both teams to score markets, supported by goal trends and individual form. Here are our top betting recommendations for this match.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna Double Chance (Win or Draw) | 8/13 @ Betfred (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Osasuna are unbeaten in three of their last four against Valencia, and have a positive goal difference this season. Valencia’s home record has been inconsistent, with just six wins in 25 games and 39 goals conceded. This market gives us cover for a draw, which has occurred four times in the last 15 H2Hs. |
| Ante Budimir Anytime Scorer | 7/4 @ Bet365 (36.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Budimir is Osasuna’s top scorer and fourth in the league, with 12 goals in 24 matches. He’s scored in three of his last five starts and faces a Valencia side that’s kept just six clean sheets in 25, conceding over 1.5 goals per game on average. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Osasuna (9th, 33 pts) are trending upwards, while Valencia (16th, 26 pts) are in a downward spiral. Both teams have played 25 matches. Osasuna hold a +1 goal difference, Valencia -13. Recent form sees Osasuna with three wins and two draws in their last five, compared to Valencia’s two wins and three losses in the same period.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 9 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 33 |
| Valencia | 16 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Ante Budimir (Osasuna): 12 goals in 24 games, 0.5 goals per match, 5th in league for shots on target. A focal point for Osasuna.
- Hugo Duro (Valencia): 7 goals in 24, Valencia’s most clinical finisher, averaging 2.5 shots per 90 minutes.
- Ruben Garcia (Osasuna): 5 assists in 23, creates over 1.5 chances per 90, key to Osasuna’s ball progression.
- Luis Rioja (Valencia): 4 assists, highest for Valencia, and most completed dribbles in the squad.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six meetings between these sides have produced a balanced contest, with two wins each and two draws. Osasuna edged the most recent encounter, while five of those six games saw both teams on the scoresheet or a narrow one-goal margin.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 | Osasuna 1-0 Valencia | Primera División |
| 02/03/25 | Osasuna 3-3 Valencia | Primera División |
| 24/09/24 | Valencia 0-0 Osasuna | Primera División |
| 15/04/24 | Osasuna 0-1 Valencia | Primera División |
| 27/08/23 | Valencia 1-2 Osasuna | Primera División |
| 11/03/23 | Valencia 1-0 Osasuna | Primera División |
Conclusion
Valencia’s home advantage at Mestalla is offset by their leaky defence and Osasuna’s recent upturn in both results and attacking output. The value lies with Osasuna either to avoid defeat or to see their main man Budimir continue his fine run of form. Will Osasuna’s clinical edge and Valencia’s defensive frailties see the visitors claim more than a point? Our pick is the Osasuna Double Chance at 8/13 (61.9%) with Betfred as the standout value in a match that could prove pivotal for both clubs.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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