Roma welcome Cagliari to the Stadio Olimpico in a Monday Serie A clash, with both sides seeking to underline their credentials as the season enters a crucial phase.
Roma, chasing Champions League qualification, host a Cagliari team who have occasionally surprised but remain defensively vulnerable. Kick-off is set for 19:45 on 9 February 2026, and the capital club will be looking to continue their dominance in this fixture after a largely one-sided recent history.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Roma’s defensive solidity and Cagliari’s patchy away form, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Roma to win, given their home strength and the stark contrast in defensive records.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to Win | 4/9 @ Bet365 (69.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Roma at home because they’ve won 7 of the last 9 at the Olimpico against Cagliari and have conceded less than a goal every other game this season (14 in 23). Cagliari have only won 2 of their last 16 against Roma and have kept just 5 clean sheets all campaign. |
| Roma 1-0 Correct Score | 9/2 @ Bet365 (18.2%) | ⭐⭐ | Four of Roma’s league wins this term have come by a single-goal margin, including this exact scoreline last season. With both teams averaging just over a goal per game, a narrow home win is well within the data profile. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Roma have pushed into fifth with a strong defensive record, while Cagliari are in mid-table but have struggled for consistency. Roma have 43 points from 23 games (61% win rate), while Cagliari sit 12th with 28 points and a win rate of just 30%.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 5 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 43 |
| Cagliari | 12 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 28 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Donyello Malen (Roma): The attacker has been lively since his arrival at the club, and Roma’s 313 shots this season (13.6 per game) show they generate plenty of chances. With Roma’s shot accuracy at 49.3%, any front man is worth watching for an anytime scorer market if line-ups confirm his start.
- Semih Kilicsoy (Cagliari): Cagliari’s attack is more efficient than it is prolific, converting 28 goals from 235 shots (11.2 per game, 47.4% accuracy). Kilicsoy’s movement could trouble Roma if given space.
Neither side boasts a player among the league’s top three scorers, but both teams spread goals around and rely on collective threat rather than a single talisman.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Roma have dominated this fixture, winning 11 of the last 16 meetings. Cagliari have not won away against Roma in their last nine attempts. Here’s how the most recent six meetings have played out:
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 | Cagliari 1-0 Roma | Serie A |
| 16/03/25 | Roma 1-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
| 18/08/24 | Cagliari 0-0 Roma | Serie A |
| 05/02/24 | Roma 4-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
| 08/10/23 | Cagliari 1-4 Roma | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Roma’s defensive discipline and home advantage be enough to see off a Cagliari side that has found the net regularly but remains leaky at the back? All the signs point to a solid home victory, particularly with Roma’s record in this fixture and their superior underlying numbers. If you’re looking to add value, backing Roma to win at 4/9 @ Bet365 (69.2%) stands out as our strongest pick for this Serie A clash.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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