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Squawka / News / Osasuna vs Villarreal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Osasuna vs Villarreal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Villarreal arrive at El Sadar for a Saturday La Liga clash with Osasuna, carrying the momentum of a top-four push and a dominant head-to-head record.

Kick-off is scheduled for 15:15, and with both sides coming off contrasting results last weekend, this fixture carries weight for both the race for Europe and mid-table security.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Villarreal’s clinical finishing and Osasuna’s inconsistency in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Villarreal to take all three points, given their superior season stats and strong record in this fixture.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Villarreal to WinBet365 6/4
(40.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Villarreal have won 8 of the last 14 meetings and are outperforming their expected goals by a significant margin, with 37 scored from 25.6 xG this season. Osasuna, by contrast, have scored just 24 from 27.8 xG and have lost 10 of 21 league matches.
Both Teams to Score – YesBet365 4/6
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Both teams have found the net in four of the last six encounters, and Osasuna have scored at least once in five of their last six league matches. Villarreal’s attack is in form, but their defence showed vulnerability in the recent 2-0 loss to Real Madrid.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Villarreal are mounting a charge for the European places with 41 points from 20 matches, boasting a +16 goal difference and a 65% win rate. Osasuna, meanwhile, are struggling for consistency, sitting in 9th with 25 points from 21 games and a negative goal difference.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Villarreal42013253721+1641
Osasuna92174102425-125

Potential Match-Winners

  • Gerard Moreno (Villarreal): The club’s leading striker brings experience and a knack for clinical finishing, helping Villarreal outperform their xG. Look for his movement in the box and ability to convert limited chances.
  • Sheraldo Becker (Osasuna): A key attacking threat, Becker’s pace and dribbling could trouble Villarreal’s back line, especially in transitions.
  • Dani Parejo (Villarreal): Dictates the midfield tempo, averaging high pass accuracy (team’s 83.2%), and regularly creates chances from deep.
  • Ante Budimir (Osasuna): Osasuna’s main target man, Budimir will be vital if the hosts are to turn their xG into goals here.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Villarreal have dominated this fixture, winning 3 of the last 6 meetings and losing just once in that span.

DateScoreCompetition
20/09/25Villarreal 2-1 OsasunaPrimera División
03/05/25Villarreal 4-2 OsasunaPrimera División
24/11/24Osasuna 2-2 VillarrealPrimera División
25/05/24Osasuna 1-1 VillarrealPrimera División
26/11/23Villarreal 3-1 OsasunaPrimera División
19/03/23Osasuna 0-3 VillarrealPrimera División

Will Villarreal’s efficiency prove too much for Osasuna?

With Villarreal’s attack firing and a proven edge in this matchup, the visitors look poised to take the points unless Osasuna can finally convert their chances at a higher rate. Backing Villarreal to win at Bet365 6/4 (40.0%) looks the value angle, while goals are likely at both ends given the historical trends and attacking form on show.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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