A spot in the play-off final is on the line as Notts County host Chesterfield in a high-stakes League Two clash at Meadow Lane this Friday, 15 May, with kick-off scheduled for 8pm (UK time).
Both sides have delivered strong attacking seasons, but it’s the recent head-to-head record and razor-thin margins in the standings that make this fixture especially intriguing for punters.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form and statistical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing both teams to score, given each side’s firepower and defensive vulnerabilities.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 10/11 @ Betfair (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have scored 70+ goals this season and their last four meetings have produced goals at both ends. Notts County average 1.6 goals per game, Chesterfield 1.5, and neither side is consistently keeping clean sheets. Odds of 10/11 (52.4%) look fair for goals at both ends. |
| Notts County to Win | 7/5 @ Betfair (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Notts County boast the best shot accuracy in League Two (44.3%) and have won their most recent home meeting against Chesterfield. With home advantage and a marginally better defence, there could be value at 7/5 (41.7%). |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Notts County and Chesterfield have both impressed, finishing 5th and 6th respectively and separated by just a single point. Notts County edge Chesterfield on goals scored (75 vs 71) and overall win percentage (52% vs 46%), although Chesterfield have lost fewer matches and drawn more. Both teams have posted 14 clean sheets, but Notts County have shown greater attacking efficiency and a slightly tighter defence.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 52 | +22 | 80 |
| Chesterfield | 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71 | 56 | +15 | 79 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Alassana Jatta (Notts County) – Regular starter, likely to play a key role up front. Notts County have the league’s top shot accuracy (44.3%), and Jatta’s movement will be vital in breaking Chesterfield’s back line.
- Jodi Jones (Notts County) – Offers creativity and is among the side’s most consistent attacking threats, contributing to Notts County’s 48 assists (1.02 per game).
- Lee Bonis (Chesterfield) – Key striker with a strong record for shots per 90 and likely to be targeted in the final third, given Chesterfield’s 568 total shots this season (over 12 per game).
- Liam Mandeville (Chesterfield) – Creative force in midfield, contributing to Chesterfield’s 49 assists and a 76.7% pass accuracy. His delivery from set-pieces could be decisive.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Chesterfield have had the better of this fixture in recent years, winning four of the six seven meetings, while Notts County have picked up just a single victory, although this game in the first leg of this tie.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | Chesterfield 0-1 Notts County | League Two |
| 14/03/26 | Notts County 2-3 Chesterfield | League Two |
| 26/12/25 | Chesterfield 2-0 Notts County | League Two |
| 15/03/25 | Notts County 1-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| 12/10/24 | Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County | League Two |
| 25/03/18 | Chesterfield 3-1 Notts County | League Two |
Conclusion
With so little to separate these teams in the table and a history of goal-laden encounters, the stage looks set for another tight, entertaining affair at Meadow Lane. Will Notts County’s clinical finishing and home advantage swing it their way, or can Chesterfield’s resolute attack spoil the party? For those looking to back goals, Both Teams to Score at 10/11 (52.4%) with Betfair is our strongest recommendation.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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