Newcastle United welcome Leeds United to St James’ Park for a Saturday showdown, with both sides desperate for points as the Premier League campaign enters its decisive phase.
The hosts are searching for a return to winning ways to strengthen their position in the top half, while Leeds arrive under pressure, hovering just above the relegation zone. Kick-off is set for 8:15 PM, and recent history between these sides suggests another closely fought encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season-long trends and player stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing both teams finding the net.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The data strongly favours both teams scoring. Leeds have a high Both Teams To Score (BTTS) rate of 65% in the Premier League this season, with their matches seeing 13 BTTS results in 20 games. Newcastle’s BTTS rate is also high at 60%. Furthermore, Leeds concede an average of 1.65 goals per game, while Newcastle concede 1.2. Both sides possess attacking threats, with Newcastle averaging 1.4 goals per game and Leeds 1.3, making a clean sheet for either side unlikely. |
| Nick Woltemade Anytime Scorer | 5/4 @ Midnite (44.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nick Woltemade is Newcastle’s top scorer, having netted 7 goals in 17 Premier League appearances this season, with an Expected Goals (xG) of 5.89. His average xG per match is a solid 0.35. Leeds’ defence is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.65 goals per game. Crucially, Leeds have one of the worst records for conceding goals from set-pieces, an area where Woltemade’s aerial presence and Newcastle’s delivery could prove decisive, making him a strong candidate to score. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
- Fantastic Promotions
- Fun Social Media Content
- New Bookmaker
#AD 18+ *New customers only. Bet £5+ in a single real-money bet within 7 days of registration to receive £20 in Free Bets and 2 Rocket Odds Boosts, credited within 24 hours of qualifying bet settlement. Free Bets and Rocket Odds Boosts expire 7 days after credit. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. Gambleaware.org
- Bet £10 get £30
- Excellent Football Betting Options
- Extensive Bet-Builder
- Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker
New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.
Newcastle vs Leeds match odds
How both teams head into Newcastle vs Leeds
Newcastle United’s 2025/26 season has been solid, positioning them in 9th place in the Premier League with 29 points from 20 matches. Their record stands at 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, yielding an average of 1.45 points per game. The Magpies have scored 28 goals (1.4 per game) and maintained a respectable defensive record, conceding 24 goals (1.2 per game).
Recent form has been encouraging, with a crucial 2-0 home win against Crystal Palace in their last outing, following a 3-1 victory over Burnley. They are currently on a five-match unbeaten run in the league, scoring in all five. Nick Woltemade leads the scoring with 8 goals, contributing significantly to their attacking output and demonstrating a positive trajectory heading into the second half of the season.
Leeds United’s 2025/26 Premier League season has been a battle for mid-table security, with the club currently sitting in 16th place after 20 matches as of January 5, 2026. Their record is modest, with 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, giving them an average of 1.1 points per game. The team has scored 26 goals (1.3 per game) but has struggled defensively, conceding 33 goals (1.65 per game), resulting in a -7 goal difference.
Recent results show a mixed bag, including a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Manchester United in their last outing, following a 2-0 loss to Newcastle. Despite a seven-game unbeaten run in the league, their high concession rate and low win percentage underscore the challenges they face in moving away from the relegation zone. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads their scoring with 8 goals.
Newcastle team news
Newcastle United have a relatively clean bill of health compared to their rivals, with no players absent due to the Africa Cup of Nations. However, they are still missing key defensive depth with Emil Krafth (knee) and Dan Burn (chest) ruled out. William Osula (ankle), Anthony Elanga (knock), and Jacob Murphy (unspecified) are all listed as doubtful and will face late fitness tests. Newcastle have no players suspended for the match against Leeds.
Leeds team news
Leeds United have no players absent due to the Africa Cup of Nations, a significant boost. However, they face a defensive crisis with Joe Rodon (ankle/foot) ruled out until mid-January. Daniel James (thigh) is also a confirmed absentee, not expected back until the end of the month. Crucially, captain Ethan Ampadu is suspended after accumulating five yellow cards. These absences severely limit options for the trip to St James’ Park.
Season Form & Standings
Newcastle United’s greater consistency and defensive solidity see them sitting comfortably in the top half, while Leeds continue to struggle for traction, especially at the back.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 24 | +4 | 29 |
| Leeds United | 16 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings
Draws have been a recurring theme in this fixture, with 5 of the last 8 encounters ending level. Leeds edge the win column 2-1, but Newcastle have often held firm at home.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 | Leeds United 0-0 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 13/05/23 | Leeds United 2-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 31/12/22 | Newcastle United 0-0 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 22/01/22 | Leeds United 0-1 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 17/09/21 | Newcastle United 1-1 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 26/01/21 | Newcastle United 1-2 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 16/12/20 | Leeds United 5-2 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 14/04/17 | Newcastle United 1-1 Leeds United | Championship |
Conclusion: Will Newcastle’s balance beat Leeds’ firepower?
This meeting pits Newcastle’s collective strength and balance against Leeds’ flashes of individual brilliance. With Newcastle boasting more clean sheets, a higher xG and better passing stats, the expectation is for the home side to control proceedings. However, Leeds have shown they can trouble Newcastle and will rely on Calvert-Lewin to break through. For punters, both teams to score at 4/5 (55.6%) with Bet365 stands out as the top value play.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
