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Squawka / News / Liverpool vs PSG: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Liverpool vs PSG: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Following a one sided first leg, Liverpool and PSG go head-to-head once more at Anfield in a high-stakes Champions League quarter-final second leg on 14 April, with kick-off set for 20:00.

PSG hold the edge in recent meetings and arrive with the competition’s most dominant possession game, but Liverpool’s defensive steel and outstanding shot efficiency mean this tie is finely poised. With both clubs chasing continental glory, expect a tactical battle that could hinge on a moment of brilliance.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Liverpool’s resilient home form and PSG’s attacking intent, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in goals flowing at Anfield, given both teams’ impressive attacking metrics and tendency to create chances in Europe.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Over 2.5 Goals4/9 @ Bet365
(69.2%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Trailing 2-0 from the first leg, Liverpool must attack relentlessly at Anfield, guaranteeing an open, chaotic encounter. The Reds average 2.19 goals per Champions League match this season, while Paris Saint-Germain boast a formidable 2.77 goals per game. Arne Slot’s expansive approach will inevitably leave spaces for PSG’s electric counter-attacking trio to exploit. With both sides possessing elite firepower and Liverpool desperate to overturn the deficit, over 2.5 goals is highly likely.
Liverpool to Win7/5 @ Betfair
(41.7%)
⭐⭐⭐Liverpool are primed to overturn their 2-0 deficit and beat Paris Saint-Germain at Anfield. The Reds are formidable at home, averaging 3.0 goals per Champions League match on their own turf this season. Furthermore, Liverpool have historically troubled PSG at Anfield, famously winning 3-2 in 2018. With Arne Slot’s men desperate for a result and roared on by a ferocious home crowd, Liverpool’s intense attacking play will simply overwhelm the Parisian defence.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Liverpool vs PSG match odds

How both teams head into Liverpool vs PSG

It has been a typically eventful Champions League campaign for Liverpool under Arne Slot. The Reds finished third in the newly formatted league phase with 18 points, winning six of their eight matches and scoring 20 goals. Standout moments included a dramatic 3-2 victory over Atlético Madrid and a 6-0 thrashing of Qarabağ at Anfield.

Despite a 1-0 defeat to Galatasaray in the first leg of the round of 16, Liverpool responded emphatically with a 4-0 home win, during which Mohamed Salah scored his milestone 50th Champions League goal. Summer signing Hugo Ekitike has also impressed, contributing three goals in Europe.

However, the quarter-finals present a massive challenge. Following a 2-0 first-leg defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, Liverpool now trail on aggregate. The fans will be hoping for another famous European night at Anfield to keep their European dreams alive.

Paris Saint-Germain’s 2025/26 Champions League campaign has been highly impressive under Luis Enrique. The French champions finished 11th in the league phase, winning four of their eight matches and scoring 21 goals to secure a knockout phase play-off spot. After edging past Monaco, PSG ruthlessly dismantled Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the round of 16.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been the standout performer, netting eight Champions League goals so far this season. The Georgian winger was instrumental in the quarter-final first leg against Liverpool, scoring the second goal in a 2-0 victory after Désiré Doué had opened the scoring.

Heading into the second leg at Anfield, PSG hold a commanding aggregate lead. With their potent attacking trio of Kvaratskhelia, Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé, the Parisians are perfectly positioned to reach the semi-finals and continue their pursuit of European glory.

Liverpool team news

Liverpool face a mounting injury crisis ahead of their Champions League quarter-final second leg against Paris Saint-Germain. Arne Slot has confirmed that Curtis Jones is a major doubt after suffering a groin problem during Saturday’s victory over Fulham.

Furthermore, Alisson Becker remains sidelined with a hamstring issue and will not feature on Tuesday. The Reds are also without long-term absentees Wataru Endo, Conor Bradley, and Giovanni Leoni for the Anfield clash.

PSG team news

Paris Saint-Germain have received a significant fitness boost ahead of their Champions League quarter-final second leg at Anfield. Bradley Barcola is expected to be available for the tie after recovering from an ankle injury sustained against Chelsea in March.

However, Luis Enrique remains without midfielder Fabián Ruiz, who is still working on his individual training programme following a knee issue. Forward Quentin Ndjantou also remains sidelined as he continues his treatment

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

PSG have won three of the last five Champions League meetings between these sides, including a 2-0 home win in the most recent encounter. Liverpool, however, have taken two wins in Paris and at Anfield, showing this rivalry is far from one-sided.

DateScoreCompetition
08/04/26PSG 2-0 LiverpoolChampions League
11/03/25Liverpool 0-1 PSGChampions League
05/03/25PSG 0-1 LiverpoolChampions League
28/11/18PSG 2-1 LiverpoolChampions League
18/09/18Liverpool 3-2 PSGChampions League

Will Liverpool’s Defence Stop PSG’s Possession Machine?

This tie brings together PSG’s slick, possession-heavy approach – leading the Champions League for ball retention and pass accuracy – against a Liverpool side that has been more clinical and defensively robust. Liverpool have outperformed their expected goals defensively, while PSG have converted chances at a high rate. The question is whether Liverpool’s home advantage and defensive solidity can blunt PSG’s attack, or if PSG’s technical edge will see them through. Our strongest angle is goals, with Over 2.5 at 4/9 (69.2%) with Bet365 looking the standout bet for a night of attacking football.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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