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Squawka / News / Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Liverpool welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Anfield in a FA Cup clash that continues a one-sided rivalry.

The Reds have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning 11 of the last 19 meetings, and arrive with a statistical edge in both attack and possession. With Brighton aiming to upset the odds on Merseyside, Saturday’s encounter promises high drama and tactical intrigue under the Anfield lights.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Liverpool’s overwhelming possession, chance creation, and Brighton’s struggles in big away games, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Liverpool win, given their superiority in nearly every metric and recent head-to-head dominance at Anfield.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Liverpool to Win8/15 @ Bet365
(65.2%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Backed by 75% possession, 4 goals scored in recent games, and 11 wins in last 19 H2Hs.
Correct Score: 2-1 Liverpool8/1 @ Bet365
(11.1%)
⭐⭐⭐Scoreline hit twice in last 5; Brighton pose threat but Reds edge it.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Liverpool vs Brighton match odds

How both teams head into Liverpool vs Brighton

It has been a mixed season for Liverpool under manager Arne Slot, but they have made a solid start to their FA Cup campaign. The Reds entered the competition in the third round, where they were drawn at home to League One side Barnsley. It was a comfortable afternoon at Anfield as they dispatched their lower-league opponents with a 4-1 victory, with goals from Hugo Ekitike, Dominik Szoboszlai, Jeremie Frimpong and Florian Wirtz.

Their reward is another home tie in the fourth round, this time against fellow Premier League outfit Brighton & Hove Albion. With the team currently sitting a disappointing sixth in the league and already out of the EFL Cup, fans will be hoping for a deep run in this competition to bring some silverware back to Anfield in a challenging season.

Brighton & Hove Albion have navigated a tough route to the FA Cup fourth round, with their campaign defined by impressive away performances. The Seagulls entered the competition in the third round and were handed a daunting trip to Old Trafford to face Manchester United. However, they produced a superb display to win 2-1, with goals from Brajan Gruda and Danny Welbeck securing a memorable victory.

Their reward is another difficult away tie, this time against fellow Premier League side Liverpool at Anfield. While their league form has been inconsistent, leaving them in 14th place, Fabian Hürzeler’s side have shown they can compete with the best in this competition. Fans will be hoping their team can produce another upset on the road and continue their cup run, which has provided a welcome distraction from their mid-table league campaign.

Liverpool team news

Liverpool are facing a significant injury crisis ahead of their FA Cup clash with Brighton. The Reds will be without key midfielder Wataru Endo, who is facing a long spell on the sidelines after suffering an ankle injury against Sunderland. He joins a lengthy absentee list that includes Jeremie Frimpong, Alexander Isak, and Conor Bradley. With no suspensions, manager Arne Slot will need to shuffle his pack, but the mounting injuries will be a major concern for the home side.

Brighton team news

Brighton have been handed a major boost with the return of influential midfielder Mats Wieffer, who is available after seven weeks out with a toe injury. Jan Paul van Hecke is also an option to start despite being withdrawn against Aston Villa, as his substitution was pre-planned. However, Yasin Ayari and Solly March remain sidelined. Manager Fabian Hurzeler may rotate his squad, but the return of Wieffer is a significant plus for the Seagulls.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

Liverpool have held the advantage in this fixture, winning 11 of the last 19 encounters with Brighton, who have managed just 4 victories. Recent meetings have often been closely fought, but the Reds generally prevail at Anfield.

DateScoreCompetition
13/12/25Liverpool 2-0 BrightonPremier League
19/05/25Brighton 3-2 LiverpoolPremier League
02/11/24Liverpool 2-1 BrightonPremier League
30/10/24Brighton 2-3 LiverpoolPremier League
31/03/24Liverpool 2-1 BrightonPremier League

Conclusion

Will Liverpool’s relentless possession and creative firepower prove too much for Brighton yet again, or can the Seagulls find a way to disrupt the Anfield rhythm? All signs point towards another Liverpool victory, especially with recent home dominance and a clear statistical advantage. If you’re backing the home side, 8/15 @ Bet365 (65.2%) is the standout price for a Reds win.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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