Crystal Palace host Burnley in a contest where defensive solidity meets desperation for points at the bottom of the Premier League.
Palace have been far more secure at the back than Burnley this season, and recent head-to-heads show a slight Palace edge. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Wednesday 11 February at Selhurst Park, in a game where both teams’ finishing could decide the outcome.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Palace’s defensive numbers and Burnley’s tendency to concede, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in opposing goals due to both teams’ issues in attack and Palace’s ability to keep matches tight at home.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average just over a goal per game, and Palace have kept 9 clean sheets already this season. Burnley have managed only 25 goals in 25 games and rarely look threatening away from Turf Moor. With Palace underperforming their xG, a low-scoring encounter looks likely. |
| Both Teams To Score – No | 5/6 @ BetMGM (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Palace have kept clean sheets in over a third of their games, while Burnley are among the league’s lowest scorers. With neither side boasting a prolific striker, there’s a strong case for at least one blank. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Crystal Palace vs Burnley match odds
How both teams head into Crystal Palace vs Burnley
It has been a rollercoaster season for Crystal Palace, who sit thirteenth in the Premier League with thirty-two points from twenty-five games. The Eagles started the season in sensational style, winning the FA Community Shield and reaching fourth place in the league by early December.
However, a nine-game winless run saw them plummet down the table. Unusually, their away form has been far superior to their home form, with six of their eight wins coming on the road. Jean-Philippe Mateta is their top scorer with eight league goals but faces a spell on the sidelines with a knee problem.
It has been a difficult return to the Premier League for Burnley, who find themselves in a relegation battle, sitting nineteenth with just fifteen points from twenty-five games. The Clarets have managed only three wins all season and have been particularly poor away from home, with just one victory on their travels.
A leaky defence has been a major issue, with the team conceding forty-nine goals, nearly two per game. Despite a summer of heavy investment, including the club-record signing of Lesley Ugochukwu, Scott Parker’s side have struggled for consistency. Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming are the joint-top scorers with five league goals each.
Crystal Palace team news
Crystal Palace are boosted by a triple injury return ahead of their clash with Burnley. Daichi Kamada, Borna Sosa and Adam Wharton are all available again for manager Oliver Glasner. Justin Devenny is a doubt but should be fit enough to feature. However, top scorer Jean-Philippe Mateta is out with a knee injury, alongside Cheick Doucoure and Eddie Nketiah.
Burnley team news
Burnley are facing a significant injury crisis ahead of their trip to Crystal Palace. Scott Parker will be without at least six first-team players for the clash at Selhurst Park. Josh Cullen (knee), Zeki Amdouni (knee), Jordan Beyer (thigh), Mike Tresor (ankle), Connor Roberts (heel), and Axel Tuanzebe (Achilles) are all confirmed to be out.
Season Form & Standings
Crystal Palace sit 13th with 32 points from 25 matches, showing a solid if unspectacular campaign. Burnley, by contrast, are 19th with just 15 points, facing a real battle to avoid the drop. Palace’s negative goal difference is modest (-3), while Burnley’s -24 highlights their defensive troubles. Recent form sees Palace slightly on the up, moving up two places, while Burnley continue to struggle.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 13 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 |
| Burnley | 19 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 15 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Crystal Palace have edged the last six meetings, winning three to Burnley’s one and two draws, with the most recent clash seeing Crystal Palace take all three points at Turf Moor.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 03/12/25 | Burnley 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 24/02/24 | Crystal Palace 3-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 04/11/23 | Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 26/02/22 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| 20/11/21 | Burnley 3-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 13/02/21 | Crystal Palace 0-3 Burnley | Premier League |
Final Thoughts
Will Crystal Palace’s defensive edge be enough to see off a Burnley side fighting for their lives? With both teams struggling for goals and Palace boasting a much tighter back line, a low-scoring match looks the most likely scenario. Backing Under 2.5 Goals at 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) could be the smart play for this encounter.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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