Chelsea welcome Leeds United to Stamford Bridge in what promises to be a fascinating FA Cup contest between one of the Premier League’s dominant passing sides and a Leeds outfit looking to punch above their weight.
The hosts have been in imperious attacking form, while Leeds arrive hoping to disrupt Chelsea’s rhythm and make the most of their own counter-attacking strengths. Chelsea recently parted company with Liam Rosenior and Callum McFarlane will be in the dugout for this contest, albeit in an interim capacity. Kick-off is set for Sunday, with both teams aiming to reach the FA Cup final.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Chelsea’s outstanding attacking stats and Leeds’ ability to create chances on the break, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in this one ending in a stalemate, with Chelsea lacking in the dugout and Leeds struggling to beat top-level opposition.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 13/5 @ Betfair (27.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | A draw between Chelsea and Leeds in the FA Cup is a strong bet given their history and recent encounter. Their head-to-head record shows 31 draws, indicating closely contested matches. Notably, their last meeting in February 2026 ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge, with Leeds recovering from a two-goal deficit. This suggests both teams are capable of battling to a stalemate, making a draw a plausible outcome for their Wembley clash. |
| Both Teams To Score – Yes | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both Teams to Score is a strong bet for Chelsea vs Leeds. Their last encounter in February ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, showcasing both sides’ attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Chelsea recently scored seven in the FA Cup, while Leeds netted two against West Ham and beat Manchester United 2-1. This indicates both teams are in scoring form, making BTTS highly probable. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Chelsea vs Leeds match odds
How both teams head into Chelsea vs Leeds
Chelsea’s 2025/26 FA Cup campaign has been marked by dominant performances, showcasing their intent to lift the prestigious trophy. Their journey to the semi-finals began with a commanding 5-1 victory over Charlton Athletic in the Third Round. This was followed by a comprehensive 4-0 win against Hull City in the Fourth Round, demonstrating their attacking prowess.
The Fifth Round presented a sterner test against Wrexham, which Chelsea ultimately navigated with a hard-fought 4-2 win after extra time, highlighting their resilience. Their most emphatic display came in the quarter-finals, where they thrashed Port Vale 7-0 at Stamford Bridge, with Jorrel Hato, Joao Pedro, Tosin Adarabioyo, Andrey Santos, Estevao Willian, and Alejandro Garnacho all finding the net.
Leeds United’s 2025/26 FA Cup campaign has been nothing short of historic, as the Whites have reached their first semi-final in the competition since 1987. Under the guidance of Daniel Farke, Leeds began their journey in January with a convincing 3-1 away victory against Derby County. The Fourth Round proved more challenging, requiring a tense 4-2 penalty shootout win over Birmingham City following a 1-1 draw at St Andrew’s.
Momentum continued to build in the Fifth Round with a dominant 3-0 triumph over Norwich City at Elland Road. However, the standout moment occurred in the Quarter-Finals at the London Stadium. After a pulsating 2-2 draw against West Ham United, Leeds again displayed remarkable composure to win 4-2 on penalties. Midfielder Ao Tanaka has been a key figure, netting twice during the run.
Chelsea team news
Chelsea enter Sunday’s FA Cup semi-final under interim head coach Calum McFarlane following Liam Rosenior’s sacking on Wednesday. The Blues hope to welcome back striker Joao Pedro, though Cole Palmer remains a doubt with a hamstring issue. Reece James, Estevao, and Levi Colwill are definitely sidelined, alongside Jamie Gittens and Filip Jorgensen. McFarlane is expected to revert to a 4-2-3-1 formation at Wembley as Chelsea seek to salvage their season after five consecutive league defeats.
Leeds team news
Leeds United face a significant blow ahead of Sunday’s FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea, with midfielder Ilia Gruev ruled out for the season following a meniscus injury. Daniel Farke is hopeful that Anton Stach can return to the squad after resuming team training. Elsewhere, Jayden Bogle and Sebastiaan Bornauw are being monitored after picking up minor knocks this week. Farke remains optimistic both will be available for the Wembley clash as Leeds seek an upset.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Meetings between these two sides have been fairly even over the last six, with Leeds winning two and Chelsea picking up three victories. The last meeting ended in a draw.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 | Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 03/12/25 | Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| 28/02/24 | Chelsea 3-2 Leeds United | FA Cup |
| 04/03/23 | Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 21/08/22 | Leeds United 3-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| 11/05/22 | Leeds United 0-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Chelsea’s attacking firepower overwhelm Leeds’ counter-attacking ambitions? With Pedro Neto in electric form, the Stamford Bridge faithful will expect another home win. Leeds United are capable of landing a punch and we think a draw at odds of 13/5 @ Betfair (27.8%) is a standout pick.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.