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Squawka / News / Chelsea vs Ajax: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Chelsea vs Ajax: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Chelsea welcome Ajax to Stamford Bridge, with both sides seeking a crucial result in this early group stage encounter.

The 8:00 PM kick-off brings together two teams at opposite ends of their European fortunes: Chelsea have shown compact defensive resilience and clinical edge, while Ajax arrive still searching for their first goal and point of the campaign. Recent history between the sides is limited, but the stakes are clear—Ajax must find a spark, while Chelsea will look to capitalise on their opponent’s current misfiring form.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Chelsea’s efficient finishing and Ajax’s ongoing struggles in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Chelsea win given their organisation and Ajax’s lack of cutting edge.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Chelsea to Win2/9 @ SBK
(81.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Chelsea come into this match following three wins in a row and four victories in their last four games. Their last Champions League game saw them beat Benfica 1-0 and they’ve now scored seven in their last four in all competitions. Ajax have struggled in recent weeks, winning just one of their last five games and conceding 12 times in that period. All signs point to a narrow Chelsea victory.
Both Teams to Score – No19/20 @ SBK
(51.3%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Ajax have yet to score a goal in the Champions League team this season and have drawn a blank in two of their last three games in all competitions. Chelsea, by contrast, have kept two clean sheets in their last three games and have conceded just over a goal a game in all competitions this season.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Chelsea vs Ajax match odds

How both teams head into Chelsea vs Ajax

Chelsea come into this game in great form, having won their last three games in all competitions and winning four of their last five games. They’ve beaten Benfica, Liverpool and Nottingham Forest in that time, with their sole loss coming at the hands of Brighton. They’ve scored nine in their last five games, conceding five times, and have failed to score just once this season, back on the opening day of the Premier League season against Crystal Palace.

Ajax haven’t enjoyed the past few weeks, failing to win any of their last three and losing two of those without scoring a goal. That’s a theme in the Champions League too, where Ajax have failed to find the net and have lost both of their games to this point. It’s a worrying period for Ajax, who have fallen nine points behind Eredivisie leaders, Feyenoord. Another loss here could be catastrophic for the Dutch club, who are clinging to their Champions League lives.

Season Form & Standings

Chelsea have made a steady, if unspectacular, start—winning once and losing once from two games. Ajax, by contrast, have struggled badly: two straight defeats, no goals scored and six conceded leaves them rooted to the bottom of the group. Chelsea’s defensive discipline and Ajax’s attacking woes are stark in the numbers.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chelsea18210123-13
Ajax35200206-60

Chelsea team news

Chelsea will be missing Cole Palmer, Levi Colwill, Benoit Badiashile and Liam Delap whilst there are also question marks over Enzo Fernandez’s fitness. Moises Caicedo made his return from injury at the weekend and is expected to feature.

Ajax team news

Owen Wijndal will be missing after picking up an injury in Ajax’s last Champions League game, whilst Branco van den Boomen and Kasper Dolberg will also miss out.

Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings

These sides have met only twice recently in European competition, with Chelsea unbeaten (one win, one draw) and a combined nine goals across both encounters.

DateScoreCompetition
05/11/19Chelsea 4-4 AjaxUEFA Champions League
23/10/19Ajax 0-1 ChelseaUEFA Champions League

Conclusion

Will Chelsea’s clinical edge prove too much for an Ajax side yet to find the net in this group? With Chelsea’s efficiency and Ajax’s defensive frailties, all signs point to a home win. Our top pick: Chelsea to win at 2/9 with Bet365 (81.8%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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