Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/KY/MD/OH/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV) or (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), (800)-327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), or visit 1800gambler.net (WV)
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/KY/MD/OH/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV) or (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), (800)-327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), or visit 1800gambler.net (WV)
Squawka / News / Charlton vs Derby: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Charlton vs Derby: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Charlton Athletic welcome Derby County to The Valley in a Championship clash on Tuesday 20 January 2026. Kick-off is at 7:45pm, and recent meetings between the sides have been finely balanced. Find our match preview and predictions below. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Derby’s clinical forward play and Charlton’s creative edge in midfield, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the ‘Both Teams To Score’ market due to both sides’ attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams To Score – Yes1/1 @ Bet365
(50.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐There could be value here due to both teams averaging over a goal per game and showing defensive frailties (Charlton have conceded 32, Derby 35). Derby’s attack is the more prolific, but Charlton’s creativity and xG suggest they will create good chances at home. Six of the last seven meetings have also produced goals from both sides.
Derby County to Win6/4 @ Bet365
(40.0%)
⭐⭐⭐We’re backing Derby due to their sharper finishing (36 goals, 47.85% shot accuracy on target) and the presence of two in-form attackers in Morris and Agyemang. Charlton have lost ten league matches and have conceded more than they’ve scored, while Derby look more dangerous in front of goal this season.

BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in bonuses when you bet £10

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:

  1. Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
  3. Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
  4. Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
  5. When it settles, unlock £40 in bonuses

New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10 at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x £10 Free Bets. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ GambleAware.org


Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date

Both teams find themselves in the lower mid-table, with Derby County currently holding 12th place and Charlton Athletic sitting 18th. Derby have a slight points and goal advantage, but neither side has managed consistent winning runs, making this a real six-pointer as the campaign enters its decisive phase.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Derby County122710893635138
Charlton Athletic182688102632-632

Potential Match-Winners

  • Carlton Morris (Derby County): 10 goals in 16 starts, converting 8 big chances and netting 3 headers. Specialist in the box with 62 touches in the area this season.
  • Patrick Agyemang (Derby County): 7 goals and the main threat on fast breaks with 10 shots from counters, 137 touches in the penalty area, and a 40% shot accuracy.
  • Sonny Carey (Charlton Athletic): 6 goals from midfield, 25 key passes (most in match), and a creative spark with a 77.3% pass accuracy.

Head-to-Head

Last 6 Meetings

The last six encounters between Charlton and Derby have been tightly contested, with three wins apiece and a single draw, and neither side able to establish dominance.

DateScoreCompetition
30/09/25Derby 1-1 CharltonLeague One
27/02/24Derby 1-2 CharltonLeague One
03/02/24Charlton 0-1 DerbyLeague One
18/02/23Derby 2-0 CharltonLeague One
06/08/22Charlton 1-0 DerbyLeague One
30/12/19Derby 2-1 CharltonChampionship

Conclusion

With both teams evenly matched in recent head-to-heads and Derby holding the edge in attacking output, the big question is whether Charlton’s creative midfield can unlock Derby’s defence or if the visitors’ clinical forwards will once again make the difference. For those looking for a strong betting angle, ‘Both Teams To Score – Yes’ at 1/1 via Bet365 (50.0% implied probability) looks a value play given the attacking strengths and defensive records of both sides.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Read more: