As Blackburn Rovers welcome Leicester City to Ewood Park for a 12:30 kick-off on Saturday, both sides will be desperate to end their Championship season with a flourish.
The head-to-head narrative tilts towards Blackburn, who have won three of the last four meetings, but Leicester arrive as the more potent attacking force, led by the goal contributions of Jordan James and Issahaku Abdul Fatawu. With defensive frailties on both sides, particularly Leicester’s low clean sheet tally, this fixture promises goals and drama as both teams look to salvage pride and climb the table before the campaign concludes.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent performance metrics and historical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in both teams to score, given the attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities on show.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing both teams to score because Leicester average 1.27 goals per game but have just five clean sheets, while Blackburn’s defensive resilience (12 clean sheets) is offset by a tendency to concede (55 against). Both sides rank well for attacking output and have key creative threats. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Leicester’s high scoring games (125 goals total in 45 matches; 2.77 goals per game combined with Blackburn), plus both teams’ shot accuracy rates (Leicester 36.3%, Blackburn 32.3%) suggest finishing quality. |
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are mired in the lower reaches of the table, with Blackburn 20th on 52 points and Leicester 23rd with 43 points from 45 games, with their relegation already confirmed. Blackburn have struggled to turn leads into wins, dropping 26 points from winning positions, while Leicester have thrown away 32 points from ahead and only won 24% of their matches. Defensive issues are clear from both teams’ negative goal differences, but Leicester’s attacking stats (57 goals, 44 assists) are more impressive than Blackburn’s (42 goals, 31 assists).
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | 20 | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 52 |
| Leicester City | 23 | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 43 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Jordan James (Leicester City): The midfielder leads all scorers in this fixture with 11 goals and a 38.1% shot accuracy. His eye for goal from deep makes him a real threat.
- Yuki Ohashi (Blackburn Rovers): The Japanese striker has 10 goals at a clinical 45.5% shot accuracy, regularly making the most of limited opportunities.
- Issahaku Fatawu (Leicester City): A creative hub with 9 goals and 7 assists, Fatawu is Leicester’s busiest contributor, logging over 3700 minutes and featuring in both scoring and chance creation.
- Ryoya Morishita (Blackburn Rovers): As a striker with 9 assists, Morishita is central to Blackburn’s best attacking moves, combining finishing and creativity.
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
Blackburn have had the edge in recent encounters, winning three of the last four matches against Leicester. Their most recent meeting in November saw Blackburn claim a 2-0 away win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 | Leicester City 0-2 Blackburn Rovers | Championship |
| 04/05/24 | Leicester City 0-2 Blackburn Rovers | Championship |
| 01/10/23 | Blackburn Rovers 1-4 Leicester City | Championship |
| 28/02/23 | Leicester City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers | Championship |
Conclusion: Will Leicester’s attack outshine Blackburn’s defensive edge?
This match pits Leicester’s superior attacking numbers against Blackburn’s relatively sound defensive base. With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring, error-prone games, the data clearly points towards a lively fixture. For those seeking value, Both Teams to Score at 4/6 (60.0%) with Bet365 looks the best bet, given the trends in both teams’ recent results and the statistical likelihood of goals at both ends.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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