Two sides fighting to escape the bottom end of the Bundesliga table meet as Augsburg host St Pauli this weekend.
Both have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity, but Augsburg’s slightly better attacking output sets up an intriguing battle at the WWK Arena. Kick-off is set for Saturday at 14:30, with both teams desperate for points to move away from the relegation zone.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on current form, head-to-head trends, and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Augsburg to win, given their home advantage and higher goal output, but both teams’ shaky defences suggest value elsewhere too.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg to Win | 20/21 @ Bet365 (51.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Augsburg because they have scored 22 goals (1.16 per game) compared to St Pauli’s 16, and have already beaten St Pauli at home in the last three meetings. Their attacking edge and home advantage tilt it their way. |
| Michael Gregoritsch Anytime Goalscorer | 11/5 @ Bet365 (31.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Gregoritsch is Augsburg’s most reliable goal threat and faces a St Pauli side that has conceded 31 goals in 18 matches. With neither defence offering much resistance, he looks a solid candidate to get on the scoresheet. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are in a relegation dogfight, but Augsburg’s haul of 19 points from 19 games keeps them just outside the drop zone, while St Pauli remain in deeper trouble with only 14 points from 19. Neither side has managed a consistent run, with win percentages of 26% and 17% respectively.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 13 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 19 |
| St Pauli | 17 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 14 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Michael Gregoritsch (Augsburg): The main attacking outlet with a proven track record this season. Look for him to exploit St Pauli’s defensive frailties.
- Anton Kade (Augsburg): Creative spark, with a role in chance creation and assists. Backed at 4/1 (20.0%) to register an assist.
- Ricky Jade Jones (St Pauli): Likely to lead St Pauli’s line and test a leaky Augsburg back four.
- Nikola Vasilj (St Pauli): With 61 saves this season, he could be busy again. However, his workload also signals how exposed St Pauli’s defence often is.
Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings
There have only been three recent encounters between Augsburg and St Pauli, with each side claiming a win and one match drawn. Goals have flowed, with both teams finding the net in every fixture.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 | St Pauli 2-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 01/02/25 | St Pauli 1-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 15/09/24 | Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli | Bundesliga |
Conclusion: Will Augsburg’s firepower be enough?
This is a true relegation six-pointer, with Augsburg’s greater scoring threat pitted against a St Pauli side that have shown slightly more defensive discipline but remain vulnerable. Augsburg’s home record and attacking edge, plus the fact that neither side keeps many clean sheets, point towards value in both the home win and goals markets. If you’re after a confident punt, Augsburg to win at 20/21 @ Bet365 (51.2%) stands out.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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