Tottenham are potentially facing a historic relegation down to the second-tier of English football and Roberto de Zerbi’s side travel to Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday. Kick-off is at 7:00pm and below you can find our match preview and best bets for the occasion.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why I’m Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins 2+ Fouls committed | 14/5 @ Bet365 (26.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Ollie Watkins looks potentially overpriced in the player fouls market on Sunday. Taking a look at his record in home league matches and this bet has landed in four of his last five at Villa Park. His foul totals in that period read 3,3,2,0,2, and at 14/5 he looks a cracking price with his team having plenty to play for. |
| Pedro Porro Over 1.5 Shots | 9/4 @ Bet365 (42.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Pedro Porro should enjoy a more attacking role under Roberto de Zerbi, and he looks a cracking bet to let off two or more shots in a game where Spurs need to win. In away matches, this bet has landed in five of Porro’s last six with shot totals of 2,3, 2,1,3,2. At 9/4 with Unibet, punters should get a good run for their money here. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing.
How both teams go into Aston Villa vs Tottenham
Aston Villa were beaten 1-0 in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final against Nottingham Forest at the City Ground on Thursday evening. Prior to the weekend’s top-flight matches, Unai Emery’s men sit fifth in the table and hold an eight-point lead over Brighton in sixth.
Tottenham head into the weekend staring down the barrel, as they remain inside the relegation zone on 34 points in 18th. West Ham sit two places above them, but face Brentford on Saturday afternoon. Spurs got the better of Wolves last weekend, but will face a much stuffer test at Villa Park.
Aston Villa team news
Aston Villa remain without Boubacar Kamara as the midfielder continues a long-term knee injury that is expected to rule him out for the rest of the season, while Amadou Onana is also unavailable after a fresh knee issue picked up a setback, with scans confirming he will miss the weekend and sit out again this time around.
Tottenham team news
Tottenham are still dealing with a long injury list, headlined by Xavi Simons and Wilson Odobert who are both ruled out long term with ACL injuries, while Mohammed Kudus, Dejan Kulusevski and Cristian Romero also remain unavailable, alongside Dominic Solanke and Ben Davies, while there are late calls over Guglielmo Vicario and Destiny Udogie who are both being assessed ahead of the next match.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 5th | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 42 | +5 | 58 |
| Tottenham | 18th | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 34 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Meetings
Villa and Spurs have met eight times in the last three years, and it’s been even — four wins apiece, no draws. Villa have won the last three, including a 2-1 away win in the FA Cup this January. Goals are never in short supply when these two meet.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 | Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa | FA Cup |
| 19/10/25 | Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 16/05/25 | Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 09/02/25 | Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham | FA Cup |
| 03/11/24 | Tottenham 4-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 10/03/24 | Aston Villa 0-4 Tottenham | Premier League |
Can Villa Exploit Spurs’ Defensive Woes? Final Thoughts
Spurs can’t keep the back door shut, and Villa have the firepower to punish them. The numbers all point the same way, but after Villa were in Europa League action, we have stayed clear of the match result market. Instead, get behind Ollie Watkins to give away 2+ fouls at 14/5 or Pedro Porro to let off 2+ shots at 9/4.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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