Alaves welcome Sevilla to Mendizorrotza on Saturday (5.30pm) in a clash that pits one of La Liga’s most stubborn defences against a Sevilla side searching for attacking consistency.
Both teams are keen to build momentum after contrasting starts to the 2025/26 La Liga campaign. Last season’s meetings proved tightly contested, and with both squads boasting standout individuals, this fixture could swing on fine margins.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the early-season stats and recent head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Alaves to avoid defeat, given their defensive strength and Sevilla’s defensive vulnerabilities.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves Draw No Bet | 29/20 @ Betfair (40.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Alaves have lost just one of their last four; Sevilla’s defence has leaked seven goals. |
| Both Teams To Score – Yes | 21/20 @ Bet365 (48.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS has landed in five of the last seven head-to-heads. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Evens @ Bet365 (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Alaves average just 1 goal per game, with strong defensive numbers. |
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Our approach: Start with Alaves Draw No Bet for a safety net, add Both Teams To Score for accumulator potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
Alaves have started brightly, sitting 7th after four games with a solid defensive record. Sevilla, in contrast, have shown attacking flair but sit mid-table after some costly defensive lapses.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Antonio Sivera (Alaves): Averaging 3.75 saves per game, he leads La Liga in shot-stopping early this season and has already kept one clean sheet.
- Ruben Vargas (Sevilla): A creative force with 3 assists in 3 starts and 5 big-chance assists. He delivers end product and unlocks defences, even with modest pass accuracy (68.3%).
- Lucas Boyé (Alaves): The focal point in attack, Boyé will be key if Alaves are to capitalise on Sevilla’s leaky back line.
Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings
Recent encounters between these sides have been tight, with six draws in the last 15 meetings and both sides taking wins on home soil. Last season saw a pair of high-scoring draws and narrow victories for each club.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20/04/25 | Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alaves | La Liga |
| 20/09/24 | Deportivo Alaves 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| 12/01/24 | Sevilla 2-3 Deportivo Alaves | La Liga |
| 21/08/23 | Deportivo Alaves 4-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| 04/03/22 | Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| 20/11/21 | Sevilla 2-2 Deportivo Alaves | La Liga |
| 23/05/21 | Sevilla 1-0 Deportivo Alaves | La Liga |
Conclusion: Will Defence or Attack Prevail?
With Alaves boasting one of the best defensive records in the league and Sevilla’s attack firing but leaving gaps at the back, this contest should deliver both tension and opportunity for punters. The head-to-head record hints at another close game, but with Alaves showing early resilience, backing them Draw No Bet at 29/20 with Betfair (40.8%) is our standout selection for those seeking value.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.