Alaves and Athletic Bilbao meet in a Basque clash with both sides eager to finish the La Liga season on a high.
With just five points separating them in the table and a history of tightly contested matches, all signs point to another cagey but compelling contest. The match takes place at Mendizorrotza on Saturday, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, head-to-head trends and key underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the Double Chance (Alaves or Athletic Bilbao) market, given how often these teams have shared the points or seen narrow wins.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance: Alaves or Athletic Bilbao | 3/10 @ Bet365 (76.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Six of the last 17 meetings have ended in draws, and both sides have a near-identical record this season. This market covers both in-form teams and the high draw frequency in H2H. |
| Both Teams To Score: Yes | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams average over a goal per game and concede at a similar rate. With each side scoring in three of the last five meetings, this looks like a value play. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are in the lower mid-table, separated by just five points. Athletic Bilbao sit 10th on 41 points (36 scored, 48 conceded), while Alaves are 16th with 36 points (38 scored, 49 conceded). Neither side has found much consistency, but both have been competitive, with Alaves showing slightly more attacking output and Bilbao marginally stronger at the back. Recent form lines suggest both are capable of taking something from this fixture.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 41 |
| Alaves | 16 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 36 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Lucas Boyé (Alaves) – A regular threat up front, often leading the line and averaging strong involvement in the box per game.
- Alejandro Berenguer (Athletic Bilbao) – Consistently among the most dangerous for Bilbao, with a knack for finding space and shooting accuracy approaching 47%.
- Asier Hierro (Athletic Bilbao) – Brings energy and pressing from advanced positions, often forcing defensive errors and generating chances.
Neither side features a player among the league’s top scorers or assist leaders, highlighting their collective-oriented approach. Watch for set-piece and midfield creativity to be decisive.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao have edged things over the past five meetings, winning three and picking up one draw. Alaves’ only victory in this time came in the last meeting between the two sides.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 | Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Alaves | La Liga |
| 11/05/25 | Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| 15/12/24 | Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao | La Liga |
| 16/03/24 | Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| 22/09/23 | Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao | La Liga |
Conclusion: Who Holds the Basque Bragging Rights?
With both Alaves and Athletic Bilbao boasting near-identical records in attack and defence, this fixture has all the makings of another close call. Set pieces and discipline could tip the scales, but with past meetings so often ending all square, the value lies in the Double Chance market. Will Bilbao edge it, or can Alaves take advantage at home? Our tip: cover both with 3/10 @ Bet365 (76.9%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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