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Squawka / News / Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions and betting tips: Sorloth to fire hosts home

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions and betting tips: Sorloth to fire hosts home

23 Aug · 16:00 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano · Primera División
Marc Pubill   59' G. Simeone   85'
Gerard Moreno (P)   66' G. Mikautadze (P)   78'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 10'
    J. Foyth
  3. J. Giménez
    90 + 1'
  4. G. Simeone
    85'
  5. 84'
    T. Oluwaseyi on for Santi Comesaña
  6. J. Giménez on for A. Lookman
    79'
  7. 79'
    Carlos Maciá on for N. Pepe
  8. 79'
    I. Akhomach on for G. Mikautadze
  9. 78'
    G. Mikautadze (P)
  10. M. Hjulmand
    76'
  11. Robin Le Normand
    76'
  12. 75'
    G. Mikautadze Penalty awarded
  13. Marcos Llorente on for Koke
    66'
  14. J. Alvarez on for Marc Pubill
    66'
  15. Pablo Barrios on for Lee Kang-In
    66'
  16. 66'
    Gerard Moreno (P)
  17. 61'
    T. Buchanan on for Ayoze Pérez
  18. 60'
    Gerard Moreno on for Alberto Moleiro
  19. Marc Pubill
    59'
  20. Álex Baena
    54'
  21. 50'
    S. Mouriño
  22. Álex Baena on for Rodrigo Mendoza
    46'
  23. Half Time
  24. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
51.9% Possession 48.1%
2 Goals 2
19 Shots 13
4 Shots On Target 6
5 Corners Won 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
0.80 xG 3.11
Shooting
2 Goals 2
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots On Target 6
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
520 Total Passes 498
459 Accurate Passes 440
Possession
51.9% Possession 48.1%
5 Corners 3
Discipline
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
12 Fouls 13
Goals
  • 1
    Villarreal
    Gerard Moreno
    1
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    1
  • 3
    Villarreal
    Georges Mikautadze
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    6
  • 2
    Villarreal
    Georges Mikautadze
    5
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    4
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    3
  • 3
    Villarreal
    Santiago Mouriño
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    1
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Morten Hjulmand
    5
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    2
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Morten Hjulmand
    64
  • 2
    Villarreal
    Pape Gueye
    63
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    62
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Villarreal
    Nicolas Pepe
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    2
  • 3
    Villarreal
    Alberto Moleiro
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Villarreal
    Juan Foyth
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    2
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    2
13
Oblak
22
Grimaldo
17
Hancko
24
Le Normand
18
Pubill
04
Mendoza
23
Hjulmand
06
Koke
20
Simeone
07
Kang-In
11
Lookman
09
Mikautadze
22
Pérez
10
Moleiro
18
Gueye
14
Comesaña
19
Pepe
20
Romero
12
Veiga
08
Foyth
15
Mouriño
01
Júnior
Substitutes
46 Jorge Castillo 
05 Johnny Cardoso 
30 Dani Martinez 
02 José María Giménez 
16 Arnau Ortiz 
10 Álex Baena 
01 Juan Musso 
08 Pablo Barrios 
19 Julián Alvarez 
14 Marcos Llorente 
27 Jorge Domínguez 
12 Carlos Martín 
Substitutes
 Gerard Moreno 07
 Nizar 27
 Tani Oluwaseyi 21
 Cheikh Thiam 30
 Péter Gulácsi 25
 Sergi Cardona 23
 Logan Costa 02
 Alex Freeman 03
 Ilias Akhomach 11
 Pau Navarro 06
 Tajon Buchanan 17
 Carlos Maciá 26

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal is a Sunday fixture at the Metropolitano, with the hosts favoured in a meeting of two of La Liga’s leading sides.

Atletico have home advantage, but Villarreal hammered them 5-1 in the reverse fixture last season and will not be feared lightly. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 4pm BST on Sunday, August 23rd.

Premium Tips

Andy leans towards the hosts and goals, with Atletico strong at home but Villarreal always a threat in this fixture.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Atletico Madrid to win, both teams to score and over 3.5 goals5/1Atletico finished fourth last season and are formidable at the Metropolitano, where Sorloth and Julian Alvarez give them a genuine goal threat. Villarreal, though, finished third and travel with real quality of their own; they hammered Atletico 5-1 in the reverse fixture and have shown they can hurt this defence. The head-to-head record backs up an open, high-scoring fixture, with five goals shared in the most recent meeting and just two clean sheets across the last five clashes. Backing the hosts to edge a helter-skelter affair, with both teams finding the net and the goals flowing beyond 3.5, looks the right way to attack the 5/1 price.
Alexander Sorloth to score anytime and Georges Mikautadze over 0.5 shots on target2/1Sorloth leads the Atletico line and looks the player most likely to get on the scoresheet in a fixture Andy expects to open up. He’s Simeone’s first-choice striker and faces a Villarreal defence that shipped five goals in the reverse fixture, so the goal threat is obvious. At the other end, Mikautadze offers low-risk value: he’s a regular starter for the Yellow Submarine and rarely goes long without registering a shot on target, even on the road. Pairing Atletico’s spearhead with a shots marker for Villarreal’s forward line is a smart way to boost the returns on Sorloth’s threat without loading up on risk, making the 2/1 price appealing.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid finished fourth last season on 69 points and remain one of Spain’s heavyweights under Diego Simeone. The Metropolitano is one of the toughest venues in the country.

Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez give them a fearsome strike pairing. Atletico won this fixture at home last season and will look to make amends for a heavy defeat in the reverse.

How Villarreal go into the game

Villarreal finished third last season on 72 points and will play Champions League football, confirming their status among the division’s best. They travel with genuine quality.

The Yellow Submarine hammered Atletico 5-1 in the reverse fixture last season and carry a real attacking threat. Backing that up at the Metropolitano is a tougher task, however.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: 2025-26 by the numbers

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26Villarreal5-1Atletico Madrid
13/09/25Atletico Madrid2-0Villarreal
25/01/25Atletico Madrid1-1Villarreal
19/08/24Villarreal2-2Atletico Madrid
01/04/24Villarreal2-1Atletico Madrid

A closely fought fixture, with Atletico winning two of the last five and Villarreal one, but the Yellow Submarine won the most recent meeting 5-1. Two draws complete the recent record.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atletico Madrid to win10/11⭐⭐⭐Home advantage at a tough Metropolitano.
Alexander Sorloth anytime scorer11/10⭐⭐⭐Leads the Atletico line.
Both teams to score4/5⭐⭐⭐Both carry a threat in an open fixture.
Over 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐Goals expected between two strong attacks.
Atletico Madrid to win 2-115/2⭐⭐Our headline scoreline for a home win.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal score prediction

Villarreal humiliated Atletico in the reverse fixture and will be dangerous, so the hosts have a point to prove. Home advantage and Simeone’s know-how should just about tell, though, in an open game with goals at both ends. Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal.

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