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Squawka / News / Atletico Madrid vs Malaga predictions and betting tips: Sorloth to fire hosts clear

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga predictions and betting tips: Sorloth to fire hosts clear

19 Aug · 20:00 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano · Primera División
Lee Kang-In   70' Álex Baena   85'
  1. Full Time
  2. 88'
    Ramón Enríquez
  3. Álex Baena
    85'
  4. 80'
    Eneko Jauregi on for Dani Lorenzo
  5. 80'
    Ramón Enríquez on for Einar Galilea
  6. 80'
    Juan Cruz
  7. M. Hjulmand on for Koke
    78'
  8. 72'
    José Salinas on for Carlos Puga
  9. Lee Kang-In
    70'
  10. 67'
    Rafa Rodríguez on for Carlos Dotor
  11. 67'
    Juan Cruz on for Joaquín Muñoz
  12. G. Simeone on for Rodrigo Mendoza
    57'
  13. Lee Kang-In on for Carlos Martín
    57'
  14. Álex Baena on for Arnau Ortiz
    57'
  15. Marcos Llorente on for Jorge Domínguez
    46'
  16. Half Time
  17. 45 + 4'
    Carlos Puga
  18. Jorge Domínguez
    37'
  19. D. Hancko
    15'
  20. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
53.3% Possession 46.7%
2 Goals 0
15 Shots 5
6 Shots On Target 1
6 Corners Won 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1.23 xG 0.25
Shooting
2 Goals 0
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots On Target 1
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 2
1 Clean sheets 0
Passing
520 Total Passes 467
455 Accurate Passes 395
Possession
53.3% Possession 46.7%
6 Corners 1
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
17 Fouls 11
Goals
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    1
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Rodrigo Mendoza
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    3
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    3
  • 2
    David Larrubia
    3
  • 3
    Carlos Dotor
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Arnau Ortiz
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    2
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    1
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    91
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Koke
    59
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    51
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Dani Martinez
    4
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    3
  • 3
    Dani Lorenzo
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Rafita
    3
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Robin Le Normand
    3
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    3
13
Oblak
30
Martinez
17
Hancko
24
Le Normand
27
Domínguez
06
Koke
16
Ortiz
08
Barrios
04
Mendoza
12
Martín
11
Lookman
09
Chupe
11
Muñoz
22
Lorenzo
08
Dotor
10
Larrubia
23
Merino
31
Rafita
04
Galilea
15
Recio
03
Puga
01
Herrero
Substitutes
22 Alejandro Grimaldo 
46 Jorge Castillo 
29 Cubo 
05 Johnny Cardoso 
23 Morten Hjulmand 
02 José María Giménez 
20 Giuliano Simeone 
10 Álex Baena 
01 Juan Musso 
07 Lee Kang-In 
14 Marcos Llorente 
18 Marc Pubill 
Substitutes
 Ramón Enríquez 06
 Juani 32
 José Salinas 12
 Carlos López 13
 Juan Cruz 19
 Julen Lobete 24
 Eneko Jauregi 17
 Joseph Otu 28
 Haitam Abaida 07
 Rafa Rodríguez 14
 Álex Pastor 05

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga sees the newly promoted visitors travel to the Metropolitano on Wednesday, with Diego Simeone’s side overwhelming favourites to make home advantage count.

Atletico finished fourth in La Liga last season and have far too much firepower on paper for a Malaga side back in the top flight. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 7pm BST on Wednesday, August 19th.

Premium Tips

Andy is siding firmly with the hosts, whose forwards should have the beating of a promoted defence adjusting to life back in La Liga.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Score with a Header – Alexander Sorloth13/4Sorloth’s height and aerial power make him a constant goal threat from crosses and set-pieces, and Malaga’s back line is still adjusting to the physicality of La Liga. With Atletico’s wide players expected to dominate a deep, nervous defence, service into the box should be frequent.
Atletico Madrid to win, Carlos Puga to be booked and Ademola Lookman over 1.5 shots on target13/2The class gap points firmly to a home win, backed by four straight victories in this fixture. Puga faces a tough shift against Atletico’s movement and is a booking risk defending in transition, while Lookman should see enough of the ball to clear 1.5 shots on target.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid finished fourth in La Liga last season on 69 points, scoring 62 and conceding just 44 under Diego Simeone. They remain one of Spain’s heavyweights and will expect to sweep aside a promoted side at home.

Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez give them a fearsome strike pairing, with Alex Baena adding creativity behind them. Anything less than a comfortable win at the Metropolitano would count as a surprise.

How Malaga go into the game

Malaga are back in La Liga after winning promotion from the Segunda Division, and this is exactly the daunting away day that comes with the step up. Survival, rather than results at grounds like this, will define their season.

Keeping the score down and building confidence for more winnable home games is the realistic aim here. A clean sheet at the Metropolitano would be a major achievement against Atletico’s attack.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga: 2025-26 by the numbers

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
10/02/18Malaga0-1Atletico Madrid
16/09/17Atletico Madrid1-0Malaga
01/04/17Malaga0-2Atletico Madrid
29/10/16Atletico Madrid4-2Malaga

The sides last met in 2017-18, before Malaga’s relegation, with Atletico winning all four of the most recent meetings and keeping three clean sheets. Malaga have not won this fixture in the games on record.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atletico Madrid to win3/10⭐⭐⭐⭐Heavy favourites against a promoted side.
Alexander Sorloth anytime scorer8/11⭐⭐⭐Leads the line against a promoted defence.
Over 2.5 goals8/11⭐⭐⭐Atletico’s firepower at home.
Both teams to score – No8/13⭐⭐⭐Atletico strong favourites for a clean sheet.
Atletico Madrid to win 2-05/1⭐⭐Our headline scoreline for a controlled home win.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga score prediction

Malaga will set up to contain and frustrate, but the gulf in quality is significant and Atletico have the forwards to break them down. We expect a controlled home win with a clean sheet at the Metropolitano. Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga.

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