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Squawka / News / Port Vale vs Crewe predictions and betting tips: Valiants edge derby

Port Vale vs Crewe predictions and betting tips: Valiants edge derby

Sat 29 August, 12:30 Vale Park
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 4'
  3. 88'
  4. 87'
  5. 87'
  6. 80'
  7. 78'
  8. 78'
  9. 70'
  10. T. Simpson on for B. Waine
    70'
  11. 63'
  12. Half Time
  13. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
59.7% Possession 40.3%
0 Goals 0
11 Shots 14
4 Shots On Target 3
3 Corners Won 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
0 Goals 0
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots On Target 3
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 0
1 Clean sheets 1
Passing
457 Total Passes 311
375 Accurate Passes 230
Possession
59.7% Possession 40.3%
3 Corners 1
Discipline
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
15 Fouls 16

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Port Vale vs Crewe is a League Two clash at Vale Park on Saturday, with the hosts marginally fancied in a local derby.

Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this League Two clash below.

Premium Tips

Andy narrowly favours Port Vale, whose home advantage tips a close derby their way.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Port Vale or draw (Double Chance) and under 2.5 goals3/2This is a fixture that consistently produces few goals and rarely goes Crewe’s way. Port Vale are unbeaten in the last six meetings, Crewe failing to win any of them, with several of those games settled by a single goal or finishing goalless. Backed by home advantage at Vale Park, the double chance provides a solid safety net. The under 2.5 is well supported too: Vale were among the lowest scorers at a higher level last season, and Crewe have opened this campaign with two clean sheets, all pointing to another tight, low-scoring afternoon.
Max Watters to score anytime and Josh March over 0.5 shots on target4/1March is the anchor of this bet. He was Crewe’s chief goal threat last season with 11 strikes and 30 shots on target, close to one on target every game, and he has already registered three on target across his opening two outings, so beating half a shot on target sits squarely in his range. Watters leads the Port Vale line and will be the focal point of the hosts’ attack at home, though in a fixture this tight he is the more speculative half. With both frontmen central to their side’s play, each has a platform to threaten.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Port Vale go into the game

Port Vale drew 1-1 with Tranmere last time out, a fair point. Vale Park should be lively for the derby against Crewe.

The Valiants are well-organised at home and derby days suit them. Three points would be a fine result.

How Crewe go into the game

Crewe won 1-0 against Northampton last time out, a solid start. They travel the short distance as underdogs.

The Railwaymen are dangerous on the counter but derbies are unpredictable. Nicking something at Vale Park is the aim.

Port Vale vs Crewe: 2025-26 by the numbers

Port Vale vs Crewe head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/25Crewe0-1Port Vale
25/11/24Port Vale1-1Crewe
29/08/23Port Vale0-0Crewe
02/11/19Crewe0-1Port Vale
06/04/19Port Vale1-0Crewe

Crewe have failed to beat Port Vale in the last five meetings, losing three and drawing two.

Port Vale vs Crewe predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Port Vale or draw (Double Chance)8/13⭐⭐⭐Home cover in a derby.
Under 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐⭐Cagey derby expected.
Port Vale to win11/10⭐⭐Marginal home favourites.
Both teams to score – No21/20⭐⭐A tight game is likely.
Port Vale to win 2-18/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Port Vale vs Crewe score prediction

Derbies are hard to call, but Port Vale’s home advantage should just about tip a tight contest their way. Score prediction: Port Vale 2-1 Crewe Alexandra.

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