- Full Time
- 78'
- L. Oakes on for H. Kite78'
- 71'
- 70'A. Loupalo-Bi on for L. McCann
- 70'J. Robertson on for C. McLean
- 64'
- E. Sutherland on for A. Scully63'
- 61'
- 61'
- 61'
- 60'
- 58'
- 46'
- Half Time
- 35'
- Kick Off
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1 Luca Woodhouse 1
- 2 Ronan Coughlan 1
- 3 Charlie Cummins 1
- 1 Ronan Coughlan 3
- 2 George Birch 2
- 3 Crispin McLean 2
- 1 Harrison Neal 2
- 2 Luca Woodhouse 2
- 3 Jake Batty 2
- 1 George Birch 1
- 2 Crispin McLean 1
- 3 Reece Cole 1
- 1 George Birch 2
- 2 Crispin McLean 2
- 3 Ched Evans 2
- 1 Conor Haughey 45
- 2 Luca Woodhouse 42
- 3 Harry Kite37
- 1 Josh Robertson3
- 2 Crispin McLean 2
- 3 George Birch 1
- 1 Jake Batty 4
- 2 Jack Taylor 3
- 3 Harrison Neal 2
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town predictions focus on the meanest home defence in League Two: Exeter City have conceded just once at St James Park all season and remain unbeaten there. Fleetwood Town arrive leaking goals on the road and short of away wins. Kick-off at St James Park is 3pm on Saturday.
Exeter are not a side that overwhelms you, but they are a side that is extremely difficult to beat at home. Only one goal has gone past them at St James Park across six matches, and that stinginess shapes everything about how we approach this one.
Fleetwood have moments in them going forward, yet their travel record is a worry. We build the tips below around the home side’s defensive platform rather than any goal glut.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson builds around the division’s stingiest home record at St James Park.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter City to win to nil | 7/2 (bet365) | Exeter have turned St James Park into a fortress, conceding just once in six home games and keeping seven clean sheets across the campaign. Each of their three home wins has arrived without conceding, so the shut-out is baked into the way they win rather than being a happy accident. Fleetwood travel badly, with one win in six on the road and 11 goals shipped in the process, and they have failed to score twice already this season. At 7/2, Exeter to win to nil rewards a defensive profile among the best in League Two against an opponent who struggles to find the net on its travels. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4/5 (bet365) | Exeter City matches have been low on goals all season. Only one of their 12 League Two games has produced more than two goals, with just 14 scored in total, and they have conceded only once at home. Fleetwood Town’s games have stayed under 2.5 goals in eight of 12. Exeter have scored just eight goals themselves, so even a home win is likely to be narrow. bet365’s 4/5 on two goals or fewer fits the pattern of both sides’ seasons. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Exeter City go into the game
Exeter City come in 10th on 16 points from 12 games, but the standout number is their home record. St James Park has been a fortress, delivering three wins, three draws and no defeats, with just a single goal conceded there all season and seven clean sheets across the campaign.
Form is strong, with three wins in their last five. The run features 2-0 and 1-0 home victories over Crewe Alexandra and Rotherham United, a 1-0 win at Shrewsbury Town and a 0-0 at Colchester United, with only a 1-0 loss at Bristol Rovers to blot the copybook. The flipside is a blunt attack: eight goals in 12 and six blanks.
How Fleetwood Town go into the game
Fleetwood Town sit 18th on 14 points and travel as the more vulnerable side. Their away record is a concern, reading one win, two draws and three defeats, with 11 goals conceded in those six games on the road.
Recent form is patchy too, with one win, one draw and three defeats in the last five. Most recently they were beaten 4-2 at Cheltenham Town, a result that followed a 2-0 home win over Rotherham United. Before that run came a 1-1 home draw with Walsall, a 1-0 defeat at Salford City and a 2-1 home loss to Rochdale. Fleetwood have at least kept finding the net in most games.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/24 | Exeter City | 1-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 11/11/23 | Fleetwood Town | 3-0 | Exeter City |
| 01/04/23 | Fleetwood Town | 2-2 | Exeter City |
| 22/10/22 | Exeter City | 2-1 | Fleetwood Town |
The last four meetings are split evenly, with one win apiece and two draws. The most recent ended 1-1 at St James Park in February 2024, though Fleetwood Town will recall a 3-0 win over Exeter City at Highbury in November 2023. On this season’s evidence, Exeter’s home solidity looks the decisive factor rather than any pattern in the history.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City to win to nil | 7/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Exeter have conceded once in six home games. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | 11 of Exeter’s 12 games have had two goals or fewer. |
| Exeter City win | 13/8 (Paddy Power) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Exeter are unbeaten at home (3W-3D-0L); Fleetwood have won once in six on the road. |
| Both Teams To Score – No | 1/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Exeter have conceded once at home all season, and Fleetwood have blanked twice already. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Exeter’s matches are famously tight, with just 14 goals scored and conceded across their 12 outings. |
| Correct Score 1-0 | 8/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | Exeter have ground out several single-goal home wins; Fleetwood’s away defence has shipped 11. |
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town score prediction
Exeter’s immovable home record, one goal conceded in six, and Fleetwood’s leaky away form point to a narrow home win, most likely by a single goal and without the visitors scoring. Score prediction: Exeter City 1-0 Fleetwood Town.
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